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Brexit predictions

Discussion in 'Western Europe' started by Sab, Apr 25, 2016.

  1. Sab

    Sab Active Member

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    Your brexit vote predictions here NOT your desired outcome but your prediction.

    I think remain by about 5-10% margin
     
    Sab, Apr 25, 2016
    #1
  2. Deckel

    Deckel Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I think they will stay by a 15% margin +/- 2 (but they shouldn't)
     
    Deckel, Apr 25, 2016
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  3. Sab

    Sab Active Member

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    Interesting...why such a high margin?
     
    Sab, Apr 25, 2016
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  4. Baff

    Baff Well-Known Member

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    I think either... 45% leave 55% stay.
    Or 65% leave 35% stay. (or any other kind of landslide result for leave).

    in the first case I think this because the TV tells me to think this. The last referendum on the EEC went this way.
    In the second case, the landslide outcome. I think this because all the people I speak to want out and the depth of conviction shown by outters should translate into a turn out that in voters aren't publicly displaying.
     
    Baff, Apr 25, 2016
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  5. Deckel

    Deckel Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Some combination of me wanting to be disagreeable when I otherwise agree and because I think there will be a ton of 11th hour fear-mongering about what happens if there is an exit.
     
    Deckel, Apr 25, 2016
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  6. Sab

    Sab Active Member

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    Fair enough. I'm sure there will be lots of fear mongering
     
    Sab, Apr 25, 2016
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  7. Deckel

    Deckel Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    If Britain exits, they will not be able to get access to French chemo drugs and they will all die of butt cancer. <-----how is that for my first attempt at Brexit fear-mongering?
     
    Deckel, Apr 25, 2016
    #7

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