There's a high probability that Germans want to take over Italy. They sacked Rome in 1527.
There's a high probabilty that France wants to take over their southern neighbour. Napoleon sent his troops south to conquer Spain.
There's a high probabilty that Serbia is going to attack Austria soon. A Serbian terrorist already killed an Austrian future head of state in 1914.
There's a high probabilty that the French want to expand into Britain (despite the (*)(*)(*)(*)ty food & weather), they proved to be successful in 1066.
And very soon the US is going to bring communism in Vietnam to a halt, their first attempt wasn't carried out very smartly, so they'll try again.