Polls find Trump leading Biden in four battleground states

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Professor Peabody, Nov 1, 2020.

  1. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    The number in Michigan is ridiculously off.

    Trump has ZERO Chance in Michigan.
     
  2. LoneStarGal

    LoneStarGal Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Maybe.

    From 538....

    upload_2020-11-2_14-29-29.png
     
  3. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    What did you think about his chances in MI last time?
     
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  4. StarFox

    StarFox Banned

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    I don't understand these polls, the other day I was standing around drinking beer with some buddies, we were manufacturing fake ballot boxes to put in minority neighborhoods, one guy was filling squirt guns with lighter fluid to spray on Biden yard signs, (assuming we can find any) another guy was putting on a Biden mask to go around and kick minority babies in the teeth, we were mounting a 50 caliber machine gun on the back of a big scary pick up with a giant TRUMP flag attached to go park down at the local polling place, and I said "hey Bubba's (they are all named Bubba) how many is ya voting for Trump? and they all said "burp" which is Yes .

    So these polls is wrong, 100% of the people are voting Trump. 3% to 4% margin of error.
     
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  5. Shonyman32

    Shonyman32 Well-Known Member

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    Kinda seems like none of the polls are accurate or should be taken serious
     
  6. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    They did Hillary too.
     
  7. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    So the left becomes over confident like in 2016 when the last Democrat lost to Trump.
     
  8. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Last time?

    I thought Clinton would win.

    But, that was then, this is NOW.

    Trump can't thread the needle twice. Period.
     
  9. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Too bad for "Big Guy gets 10%" Biden, Trump has MORE support than he did in 2016.
     
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  10. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    So your credibility on these things is ahem, a bit suspect?
     
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  11. jhil2020

    jhil2020 Well-Known Member

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    You very much remind me of Mike Royko. :) https://www.upi.com/Archives/1984/03/15/Royko-urges-voters-to-lie-fool-pollsters/4317448174800/

    The salt will be unreal if this effect is pronounced. Lots of voter behavior models are going to be updated if the polling misleads again. Most telephone interviews are legit if the interviewer discloses the name of the polling firm and their name, but of course I fully encourage people to do whatever they meme necessary to keep safe.

    As an aside, George Gallop said in 1939 that an election is the only "official and binding measure of the people's will" and it is true; public opinion is a science of a thousand details that measure likelihoods, probabilities, estimations, etc. At the end of the day, there is only so much we can know even when asking basic questions to a person, such as "How many children do you have?". What's to say they aren't just Royko-ing you? You can't know.

    As another aside, this is also why the UN does not factor in exit polling data when rating the integrity of an election, no matter what people were saying about Sanders during the Dem primaries this season. Misinformation of the highest, most arithmetically ignorant level. See TDMS reporting on that. Even then, a UN investigation would be headed by members of the executive's cabinet, so that doesn't seem very satisfactory if the incumbent is up for reelection. Toothless.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
  12. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    For the left, polls are tools to gauge how effective their propaganda campaign really is. If a particular issue seems to be resonating, they spend their donated dollars on that issue. Myself I would prefer they waste their time and money. If I can facilitate that by providing them with false information all the better. Please don't forget I didn't call them, they called me.
     
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  13. The Mello Guy

    The Mello Guy Well-Known Member

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    I’m starting to think rally size doesn’t matter
     
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  14. The Mello Guy

    The Mello Guy Well-Known Member

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    He does, But Biden has way more
     
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  15. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Why? This is NOWl

    I said Biden Would WIN, and he WON...

    This is a game of "What have you done lately?".

    I called it for Biden, Biden WON...
     
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  16. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It should be easy to identify the questionable ballots during the recount. They will vote for President only and all down ballot will be left blank. It's the reasons the Republicans gained seats in congress. If anything propels this country to enact a real voter ID, this will be it.
     
  17. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Dead and ineligible voters don't count.
     
  18. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    For now. There will be recounts. Ballot scrutiny will be much higher then.
     
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  19. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Won't change a thing. Trump WON!
     
  20. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Biden's ahead by 13,000 votes in PA. PA counted some 700,000 late ballots, lawsuit already filed.
     
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  21. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    WON'T Change a Thing...
     
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  22. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    This didn't weather well.
     
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  23. Ddyad

    Ddyad Well-Known Member

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    Time to make protest signs and hit the streets.
     
  24. Yulee

    Yulee Well-Known Member

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    False.
     
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  25. The Mello Guy

    The Mello Guy Well-Known Member

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    Georgia has voter ID
     

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