The liberal polls are doing their best to give the perception Obama is winning, but the reliable polls keep ticking up for Romney. He would be just fine tied, right now, but he's actually increasing his lead slowly. Rasmussen +5 (Likely Voters) Gallup +2 (Registered Voters) Meanwhile, all the liberals polls Associated Press, Pew Research, Reuters have him with a slight lead. Bloomberg actually did a push poll where they offered up some propaganda first, tweaked the sample, and were able to get him a 13 point lead. But this one was even dismissed by liberal newspapers like the LA Times.
Meanwhile, Obama's down to 43% approval rating. And to think, Romney hasn't even picked his VP. And most people aren't even paying attention yet. With a good VP pick (I think Rubio would DEMOLISH Biden in debates, plus deliver Florida, independents, Tea Party voters and other crucial states) and pounding Obama on his record and offering a good alternative, Obama is in for a very rough campaign. Now he is still the incumbent and there is a lot of work to do, but I am cautiously optimistic at this point.
Honestly none of these polls mean (*)(*)(*)(*) until late July or even late August. Most public polling is just noise anyway, look at the recent one by Selzer for Bloomberg. 13 points off the average for 4 other polls conducted during the same time period and Selzer swears it is accurate.
this is what I was referring to. Average Pew, AP, Gallup and Rasmussen and you get net zero. Bloombergs which was conducted by Selzer give a plus 13 to Obama......umm yeah right
2 things, any poll is just a snapshot in time and teh second thing is I can point out any number of polls taken during this part of the cycle whose results flipped in a month or two. What was Hillary polling against Obama in August of 2007?Try 48 to 26...my my wasn't that a accurate predictor. Late July - October polls for a November election should be taken serious, anything prior to that are worth is fund raising tools and give the talking heads something to demonstrate their ignorance and fill up a 60 second news bite with
I don't think Rub is a possibility at this point. I'm kinda hoping for an older VP, so he won't run in 2020. If not I like Jinda. Always thought he was a very smart guy.
However, the incumbent should be leading at this time. Until Romney is well known, he should have several polling advantages. Yet he's losing. Im not just angling for a loss here, I'm looking for an epic Carter style blowout, with 30% of the black vote, and 50% of the latino vote. That would be a boost to america like we haven't seen in years. It would usher in a new era.
I don't think it will be anyone whose name is being batted around but Jindal is as good a guess as any or maybe Portman, or maybe Ayotte, or maybe DeMint....LOL
The Obama Hillary fued was quite exciting for Dems ... especially when Rushbo initiated Operation Chaos ... which was a tragic conservative failure and ignited and juiced-up the Dem base ...
I don't think it will happen, but I wouldn't rule out Newt. Elder statesman, smart, great debater, and his negatives are not as bad as most claim. Newt would probably even be a bigger help than Chaney was. As an attack dog, he would rip Obama a new one!
maybe, I would agree Obama should be 5 points up going into August, with the race being decided in September and October. Guess that is why the Dems are sweating like a hooker in a Pentecostal church
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting 48% of the vote, while President Obama earns 43%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and another three percent (3%) are undecided. The president picks up support from just 35% of white voters overall. ThatÂ’s eight points below the 43% of the white vote he won in 2008. Among white Democrats, 17% currently plan to vote for Romney.
People are doing the exact same thing republicans did in the primaries. They wanted Perry and he was a leader, then they got to know him. They wanted santorum, then they got to know him. Right now they are wanting Romney, but once they get to know him, he will fall.
Yes, I think that people are forgetting how weak Romney's policies are. Yes, people are starting to turn on Obama... but he still will demolish Romney in the debates.
[video=youtube;Aqxl9qiFonc]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Aqxl9qiFonc&feature=player_embedded[/video] _
