This is from last fridays PBS Newshour and I thought they made a lot of very good points. As usual with them it's actually fair and balanced lol. Best point I thought they made was how whoever wins neither will have much of a mandate to do much. http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/politics/july-dec12/shieldsbrooks_10-26.html
Looks like the two candidates are concentrating efforts in Hamilton County (Cincinnati) and Cuyahoga County (Cleveland). Like a lot of other Midwestern states, there was a fair-sized counter-migration of illegals out of the Midwest because there were no low end jobs and the cost of living was much higher than home. Some went to Texas. Some went back south of the border. Turnout will matter and Tea Partiers would crawl across broken glass in a blizzard to get rid of Obama.
Interesting OP. I too think Ohio is going to be crucial and very, very close. Whoever organizes better in getting out the vote and in swaying a comparatively few undecideds there should win the whole thing.
I cannot imagine anyone who is sober and undecided in Ohio right now. The question is: How many dead people will vote in Cuyahoga County?