Trump easily wins CPAC 2024 GOP presidential nomination straw poll

I already read that. The majority of seats in play are Republican. So do you honestly think Democrats can win OH?

Trump won Ohio by over 475,000 votes so what makes you think all of those voters will switch to Biden?

Just because a seat is in play does not mean it's likely to switch. The Dems chances of actually taking OH is very small. You have to look at everything and not just seats in play.

Historically the midterms will favor Republicans. Let's not forget that.

 

You do know the other Senator is a Dem, right? He won in 2018, for the 2nd time. Clearly a Dem can win a senate seat in Ohio

 

2018 was the midterms for Trump. The Republican party was at a disadvantage historically.

 

I agree on Florida, I almost didn't add it. NH, could be a tossup is Sununu runs, if not, Hassan is safe. NV, fairly safe. WI, Johnson is in trouble. Portman retired in Ohio, but Ohio is going from swing, purple to red. That seat looks fairly safe in my book. NC, pure tossup, PA Democratic win very likely.

But so much depends on who is running. GA, Warnock is a very slight favorite. GA is turning blue with all the influx of Northeasterners. But the GOP is trying to get Hershel Walker to run, the ex Bulldog star and NFL player. If he runs, the GOP will regain GA's seat. I pretty sure about that. If he doesn't, GA could remain blue.

The Trump factor lost those two GA seats last January. A lot of Republicans stayed home thinking and believing Trump that their vote wouldn't be counted. Independents who don't like Trump, sided with both Democratic candidate in the runoff 51-43 letting both Dems squeak by.

 

That is called whataboutism. Favoring Biden.

 

I had already read Ballotpedia but they have only 7 seats in play. They have FL as likely GOP and don't even have Missouri as a battleground state. I thought it was funny CNN had that state as flippable. Wishfull thinking.

BP has New Hampshire as likely Democrat but Sunnunu the current Republican govenor is very popular there and if he runs that state becomes a toss up.

I'm just not seeing anything that says the Democrats will take back the Senate. Regardless Republicans have 4 possible gains and the Democrats have 6 possible gains but that includes OH, FL and IA that Republicans have a big advantage in and NC and WI that are toss ups at best.

Likely flippable seats are 1 Democrat, 2 Republican and 3 if Sunnunu runs in NH.

 

GA is turning blue? Between Collins and Loefler they had over 1.6 million votes for that seat. Warnock won because Republicans stayed home as you said.

I agree that it all depends on who is running and alot can change. Dems here seem to think the Senate is a given and I still think it's a toss up at best for both sides.

 

Hillary is still lying. When will you call her out for lying?

 

When she becomes President.

 

The victory margin here in Georgia for the GOP has been declining for the last 10-15 years. From 15% down to 10% down to 5% down to basically even in 2020 in both the presidential and senate. Kemp won the governorship by 2 points if I remember right. Georgia has went from red to at least purple and the trend is toward the blue.