Lets see them! I will start, I have commented multiple times about my distrust of polling I am closing in on 50 and for at least the last 25 years I have not witnessed a poll that was not slanted 3 to 8 points to the left. I remember watching the media on Election Day 2004 tripping over themselves in a frenzy to announce Kerry is winning by a landslide according to exit polls in an effort to get American sheep to vote for the winner. That said after the 1st debate I realized the Republicans do actually have a chance, all they have to do is call him out on his record and we can do this! My gut says if Obama wins it will be by a very small margin, but if Romney wins it will be a borderline mandate. So my prediction is Romney will win and he will win by a very comfortable margin.
President Obama wins re-election, The Senate remains in the hands of the Democrats, The House remains in the hands of the Republicans, The People of America get four more years of Republicans not compromising on anything, the Democrats doing the same and the President helpless to get either side to stop harming the Nation.
Obama 332, Romney 206. All the swing states except NC go to Obama. Pretty easy call. You simply have to not rely on conspiracy theories and wishful thinking, and instead use reason and look at the polls, understanding how historically accurate those polls have been. The only judgement call I make is handing the currently tied Florida to President Obama, but I base that on all the current momentum being with President Obama.
I think you are right. While it looks close, the wagering sites are giving odds of more or less 2-1 favoring the President. This isn't someone talking to a pollster but people putting actual money at stake. The momentum is clearly now with the President and while it will be close it looks like he will be re-elected.
Obama will lose, Republicans will say Romney was not conservitive enough, and congress stays the same.
Obama carries all of the swing states save FL and NC. The GOP spends the next two years suing every state they lost for "voter fraud"
Obama carries all of the swing states save FL and NC. The GOP spends the next two years suing every state they lost for "voter fraud"
My guess is Obama is reelected winning the states he won in 2012 minus IN, NC, and FL. This would be a 303-235 result in the electoral college. The Senate stays about the same as it is now. Democrats gain a few seats in the house but not enough for control or to make much difference.
Obama by a very slim majority of electoral college; House remains in hands of Republicans/Tea Party Senate remains under democrat control. Since neither party cooperates, nothing will get done for another four years and the country will become even further polarized.
