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The Democrats’ Wave Could Turn Into A Flood

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by MrTLegal, Dec 23, 2017.

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  1. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-democrats-wave-could-turn-into-a-flood/

    Democrats are now favorites to win the house. When Republicans held a 7 point advantage going into the 2010 midterms, there were 101 seats controlled by Democrats in districts where the Democrat lead was 7 points or less. Republicans won 65 of those seats. Currently, there are 58 Republican seats in districts where the Republican lead is 12 or less. If the CNN poll is accurate though, there are 103 Republican seats in districts where the Republican lead is 18 or less.

    Democrats only need to net 24 seats to flip the house.
     
    MrTLegal, Dec 23, 2017
    #1
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  2. waltky

    waltky Well-Known Member

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    Granny says, "Dat's right...

    ... an' already the flood is...

    ... lappin' at our heels."
     
    waltky, Dec 23, 2017
    #2
  3. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    Not to worry!

    Trump could divert public attention from his abysmal polls numbers, what the Trump Justice Department Special Counsel might expose, the widespread loathing for congressional Republicans, and their squalid legislative agenda, by contriving a war any day.

    He could grab his tweeter and rave that his investigators had found stockpiles of WMD in Hawaii before "Day Care" Kelly could administer his Ritalin®.
     
    Natty Bumpo, Dec 23, 2017
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  4. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    While your faith in Ritalin is charming I seriously doubt that it is sufficient to control the man-boy's desires to become emperor of the world.
     
    Derideo_Te, Dec 23, 2017
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  5. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    If Trump and Kim Jung-un could share in a Yucca Mountain retirement facility, the world would be a safer, pleasanter place.
     
    Natty Bumpo, Dec 23, 2017
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  6. gc17

    gc17 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Didn't 538 predict that the Beast had a 93% chance to win the presidency? Think I'll wait for the votes to be counted. I have a feeling that when Americans see the effects of the tax law in their paychecks for 9 months things may just change. I won't make predictions because we see how silly that can turn out to be.
     
    gc17, Dec 23, 2017
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  7. Llewellyn Moss

    Llewellyn Moss Well-Known Member

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    What is this fractal style you have ?
     
    Llewellyn Moss, Dec 23, 2017
    #7
  8. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    If Republicans are trying to rely on the "wait until you see what's in the bill before deciding if you like it," then Obamacare demonstrates that they will be waiting a long time.
     
    MrTLegal, Dec 23, 2017
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  9. gc17

    gc17 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    What else is there to do, hand wring until the elections? You and most of the left know what it's like to celebrate at the 10 yard line (see 2016 election). We know what's in the bill unlike barrycare.
     
    gc17, Dec 23, 2017
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  10. waltky

    waltky Well-Known Member

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    L.Moss wrote: What is this fractal style you have ?

    Actually it's a fraction...

    ... of a fractal.
     
    waltky, Dec 23, 2017
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  11. btthegreat

    btthegreat Well-Known Member

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    Can we get out our vote with democratic party resources divided up in all those elections, like we did targeting special elections like Alabama? It takes a lot of energy to get our constituency to show up on a midterm election. I want to believe but I still think we will need four years and two election cylces to do the job.
     
    btthegreat, Dec 23, 2017
    #11
  12. wgabrie

    wgabrie Well-Known Member Donor

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    Incumbent fatigue is a Democrat's only hope to win the election.
     
    wgabrie, Dec 23, 2017
    #12
  13. Mac-7

    Mac-7 Banned

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    I thought the liberal who wrote the headline was going to say tsunami

    Thats a touchy-feely liberal term that liberals are fond of

    BUt I guess flood sums up their hopes and dreams almost as well

    For myself I’m content to just wait and see what happens
     
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2017
    Mac-7, Dec 23, 2017
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  14. Guno

    Guno Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    oh it is happening now

     
    Guno, Dec 23, 2017
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  15. FreshAir

    FreshAir Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    we have Trump in the white house and that was a result of dems not getting out to vote... I think they have learned their lesson
     
    FreshAir, Dec 23, 2017
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  16. FreshAir

    FreshAir Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    exactly, even when you think a idiot like Trump could never win, you still need to get out and vote.. or they will win
     
    FreshAir, Dec 23, 2017
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  17. Mac-7

    Mac-7 Banned

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    White Christians as opposed to what?

    Brown and black muslims?
     
    Last edited: Dec 23, 2017
    Mac-7, Dec 23, 2017
    #17
  18. TheGreatSatan

    TheGreatSatan Banned

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    The "blue wave" is coming. Tell your friends.
     
    TheGreatSatan, Dec 23, 2017
    #18
  19. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Meh, wait until February when working folks see the increase in take home pay the democrats fought so hard to stop.
     
    Hoosier8, Dec 23, 2017
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  20. TheGreatSatan

    TheGreatSatan Banned

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    Let them cling to their landslide fantasy. Russians are not banned from Facebook yet, so Putin is likely to crush the DNC's blue wave with a hand full of Facebook ads nobody will see or remember.
     
    TheGreatSatan, Dec 23, 2017
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  21. MrTLegal

    MrTLegal Well-Known Member

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    The bottom 20% are getting an increase of 50$ per year. Good luck getting "working folks" motivated to ignore all Trump's other dumb **** off that increase in take home pay.
     
    MrTLegal, Dec 23, 2017
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  22. Moi621

    Moi621 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Rely on Democrats not to adequately express their message.

    They are pretty good at that.
     
    Moi621, Dec 24, 2017
    #22
  23. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Dems are energized nationwide by the BLOTUS. The Dems found themselves inundated with volunteers when they should have been having a snooze fest. The OP shows that have something like a +18 advantage in the House. All it takes would be to flip 24 seats.

    Yes, it will take a 2nd election cycle to fumigate the Oval office but no point in waiting until then to get started.
     
    Last edited: Dec 24, 2017
    Derideo_Te, Dec 24, 2017
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  24. gc17

    gc17 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I am they, I voted.:winner::winner::winner:
     
    gc17, Dec 24, 2017
    #24
  25. gc17

    gc17 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    They 20% with children will get back more than they paid in.
     
    gc17, Dec 24, 2017
    #25
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