Latest Rasmussen Poll: Biden 48/Trump 36

https://justthenews.com/politics-po...ws-biden-48-36-trump-biden-now-leads-14-among

So glad to hear that all of Trump's Supporters have such faith in Rasmussen.

Trump is in Big Trouble.

EC Projection: Biden 339/Trump 199

 

Trump lost the voters that didn't want either him or Hillary in the last election but held their noses and voted for Trump against their better judgement. Those people aren't going to vote to re-elect him. No president has ever won re-election with poll numbers under 40. I don't see any way he's going to be able to bring up his polling numbers unless he personally develops a miraculous vaccine for Covid-19.

4.4 million Obama voters sat out the 2016 election and didn't vote but this year those black voters will be out in full force.

 

Well said and EXACTLY..

Not only is your statement 100% spot-on, BUT Trump seems to be completely oblivious to the FACT that he is headed to the Biggest Loss by an Incumbent since Jimmy Carter.

 

Seems to be, yes. But he knows what's up, and he's not happy.

 

Actually it was 25% of all Americans who didn't like or want either Trump nor Clinton in 2016. This included 54% of independents.

https://news.gallup.com/opinion/pol...mericans-dislike-presidential-candidates.aspx

In the end 6% of those 25% voted third party against both major party candidate which included 12% of independents or some 9 million voters. Independents went for Trump 46-42 with 12% voting third party. So among independents 54% of them voted against Trump while 58% voted against Clinton.

My point, the Republican Party is still the smaller of the two major parties. Trump and Company must win the independent vote or lose the election. I highly doubt that any of those 12% who disliked both and wanted neither one to become the next president have changed their mind about Trump. I was one of those 9 Million voters, I certainly haven't. Biden has always been a fairly moderate Democrat, as long as he remains as such, he'll have my vote. I think the same applies to most of the 9 Million third party voters in 2016.

Most independents political ideologically wise falls somewhere in-between the ideology of the two major parties. Hillary stayed left in 2016 trying to placate Sanders supporters, hopefully Biden has learned from history and won't repeat it.

You're right about those who disliked both major party candidates going for Trump. They made up 25% of the electorate, went to Trump 50-39 over Hillary with 11% voting third party.

https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls

I'll leave you with this on how a friend of mine described 2016. We voted for the devil we didn't know, Trump was a businessman, a reality TV show host, no one knew how he would govern. With Hillary, the devil we knew, everyone knew exactly how she would govern. Perhaps she was too well know. So we voted for the devil we didn't know over the devil we did.

I think that sums up 2016 in a nutshell.

 

You can win with 40 % if you reduce the majority turnout by 20 points. I don't know if the Republicans can do it. but you can be assured that they will expend a great of energy and money to suppress the vote. Democracy doesn't work very well for them.

 

Democracy works too well for them, that's the problem and that's why they're going to suppress the vote, dig out every dirty trick in the book and whatever happens with Trump on election day is going to happen to the entire party right down the line. It's the 'coat-tail effect', when the popularity of a candidate at the top of the ticket, boosts the fortunes of candidates from the same party lower down on the ballot. And that also works in reverse. This is why as November gets closer, if Trump's polling numbers are still low, there will be a huge exodus from the GOP Congress and they will attempt to distance from him in order to win their own elections.

 

Ever notice the difference between independent pollster Scott Rasmussen (whose company is named RMG Research) and the polling company named Rasmussen Reports? LOL

https://scottrasmussen.com/for-second-week-in-a-row-trump-approval-at-41/

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/

 

Yeah

They can go further downhill for Trump

 

Hmmm I did think that approval rating was higher than I had seen on 538

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

 

The only poll that will matter is the one a week before the election that asks if each voter thinks they were better off now or 4 years ago.

 

From "the real" Rasmussen Reports...

 

He is now BELOW 30 %“strong approval” and THAT is his base. Seems like even they are taking the rats route

 

Nate Silver was very accurate in 2016....throughout the entire campaign season.

 

I want to save time here Andrew. Just ask Hillary about those polls....

Edit Damn, I am late. Way late at post number 17.

 

I hope that polling question gets one hell of a sample size answer. Its going to lead to one hell of a repudiation of this administration.

 

2020 is NOT 4 Years Ago...

And, anybody trying to hang their hat on "the polls were wrong about Hillary" is going to be in for a long (and sad) Election Night...

Totally LMAO at anybody using that absurd "The Polls were wrong about Hillary" line.

Trump is going to get thoroughly swamped.

At this point, holding Biden under 300 EV would be a miracle.

 

The model at 538 gave Trump the best chance of winning out of any of the models as far as I am aware.

 

Trump doesn't talk about Rasmussen anymore. He's moved onto "OAN", as they promised him a bogus poll that would show him doing well. They recanted, however, when said poll didn't show the results the orange idiot wanted. Oh well.

 

https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_jun16

Cheeto is history.

P.S. Re: "When debate is lost, slander becomes the tool of the loser."
Don't tell the con man in the Oval, OK? He would be lost if he couldn't slander everyone who says hurtful yet truthful things about him.

 

IT'S OVER MAN, IT'S OVER, WE ARE DONE FOR, AUUUUGGHHH!