Um, no they don't. In fact, my election prediction in the predictions thread assumes Romney gets Florida. And VA and CO, for that matter. Obama just needs NH, PA, MI, WI, IA and OH. If he gets VA and CO -- or gets FL -- he doesn't even need OH. That's why analysts have been saying all along that Obama has more paths to victory than Romney.
My wife called earlier and said she had just voted. She reported she had a line of cars to sit in that stretched from the High School, (where the voting is taking place) to the middle school which is about 1/4 mile away waiting to get in to park and vote. I've never seen a line like that to vote in our town, and maybe it was time of day for her...who knows, I'll be going after work around 4 and see what i run into. Seems alot of people are showing up. It's Massachusetts, so i dont expect much to change here, but there seems to be high turnout.
I am hopeful this is a sign of heavy GOP turnout everywhere. Obviously in 2008 the heavy turnout favored the Dems and Obama, but today I think a heavy turnout represents a desire to vote out the incumbent.
Just checked some Ohio news and they too are reporting higher than expected turnout. I know the common thinking is that the Dems are favored with higher turnout and that may ultimately hold true here, but I am a believer that Americans have had enough of the failure occupying the White House and have decided it is time to fire him. That is surely my hope anyway.
I have all my props in order on my sample ballot, I have researched everything, and I am off to give my vote to the only one who can get this country on the right track, and that would be Mitt Romney! Go Romney!
Look at a map! Assume Romney takes FL, but not OH. Assume he also takes NC, CO and VA. That still leaves him short, at 257 votes. He thus needs to take PA, or some 14-vote combination of NH, IA and WI. That just isn't going to happen. If he wins Ohio, he *might* win PA if he seriously overperforms his polls. But if he loses Ohio, he's not going to win PA. Romney needs both OH and FL. Obama doesn't. While an OH loss probably signals an Obama loss, he can plausibly win without Ohio by taking CO or VA instead.
I see Romney with Florida, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, North Carolina, and possibly New Hampshire and biggest surprise - Michigan. Hey, if you are going to dream big...
Just got back from Voting, and put out my "Fire the Liar", and "Fire Obama" signs in my front yard... Its a nice day today... Talked to a lot of people in line who obviously want the Mo Fo out...
Does Romney have a path that includes California? No. Does Obama have a path that includes Texas? No. That's why. Not all the states are equal to the candidates.
That's just silly. We already know the destiny of most states. Bringing up California and Texas means absolutely nothing.
Normally about ten or fifteen people are at my polling place on most elections. I counted 125 this morning with a line out the door. Romney rocks the vote!
You can't possibly be this obtuse. Obama has more combinations of states where he is favored that add up to 270 EV than Romney does. It's that simple.
Lines were very short here in North Texas, wonder what the real voter turnout will be. The race should be over by 7pm EST, once the majority of swing state results are in, Obama can go to bed early knowing he has another four years to drive the far right even nuttier than they already are.
If Hamilton county Ohio goes for Romney by more than 20,000 votes, Romney has won. We will know by 9:30 who has won this election.
Actually, Romney has more. All one has to do is accurately slate the states. If Romney racks up over 300 EV's tonight, then your statement would seem to be folly, would it not ?
Every Republican in Ohio is itching to vote. Hell, I'd go vote again if that didn't automatically turn me into a Democrat.
While my polling place is also slow as such go, there were twice as many folks there at 10:30 AM today as past general elections. I am in a heavy GOP district. Romney will carry FL by 6 or more. Prolly closer to 8.
I feel like a genius in voting as the polls opened. I was the third vote counted in my precinct. Now the line is out the door and halfway around the block.