Tremor Points To A Nuclear Test In North Korea

Questerr · Dec 21, 2016

Mircea said: ↑

Intelligence estimates suggest that in the best case scenario, with North Korea running hits reactors at the highest possible efficiency, they would have generated 60 kg of weapons grade plutonium.

North Korea has used at least 35 kg of weapons grade plutonium in its 5 nuclear test-shots...

1] 4.5 kg = < 2 kt
2] 4.5 kg = < 2 kt
3] 8 kg = ~20 kt
4] 8 kg = ~20 kt
5] 10 kg = ~30 kt

...leaving 25 kg of weapons grade plutonium remaining, enough for three 20 kt warheads or about 6 back-pack nukes (>2 kt) or a combination of small yield warheads and back-pack nukes.

Sorry, but North Korea has not tested an "H-bomb."

You're suggesting Israeli strike aircraft can hit North Korea, or are you claiming Israel has ICBM capability?

You can easily effect "Regime Change."

And you probably would if North Korea had oil or figured into US Geo-Political Strategy.
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The Jericho 3's newest version has an estimated range of 11,000 miles, so yeah, they do..

Mircea · Dec 21, 2016

Questerr said: ↑

The Jericho 3's newest version has an estimated range of 11,000 miles, so yeah, they do..
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Most intelligence estimates place the range at 11,500 km, not miles.

Questerr · Dec 22, 2016

Mircea said: ↑

Most intelligence estimates place the range at 11,500 km, not miles.
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You are correct.

However, Israeli submarines can reach North Korea and they are believed to be able to carry nuclear cruise missiles, so yes, they have a deterrent even against North Korea.

waltky · Jan 1, 2017

Fatboy gonna set off an ICBM...

North Korea Preparing to Test Intercontinental Ballistic Missile, Kim Says
JAN. 1, 2017 — North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-un, said on Sunday that his country was making final preparations to conduct its first test of an intercontinental ballistic missile — a bold statement less than a month before the inauguration of President-elect Donald J. Trump.

Although North Korea has conducted five nuclear tests in the last decade and more than 20 ballistic missile tests in 2016 alone, and although it habitually threatens to attack the United States with nuclear weapons, the country has never flight-tested an intercontinental ballistic missile, or ICBM. In his annual New Year’s Day speech, which was broadcast on the North’s state-run KCTV on Sunday, Mr. Kim spoke proudly of the strides he said his country had made in its nuclear weapons and ballistic missile programs. He said North Korea would continue to bolster its weapons programs as long as the United States remained hostile and continued its joint military exercises with South Korea. “We have reached the final stage in preparations to test-launch an intercontinental ballistic rocket,” he said.

Analysts in the region have said Mr. Kim might conduct another weapons test in coming months, taking advantage of leadership changes in the United States and South Korea. Mr. Trump will be sworn in on Jan. 20. In South Korea, President Park Geun-hye, whose powers were suspended in a Parliamentary impeachment on Dec. 9, is waiting for the Constitutional Court to rule on whether she should be formally removed from office or reinstated. If North Korea conducts a long-range-missile test in coming months, it will test Mr. Trump’s new administration; despite years of increasingly harsh sanctions, North Korea has been advancing toward Mr. Kim’s professed goal of arming his isolated country with the ability to deliver a nuclear warhead to the United States.

Mr. Kim’s speech on Sunday indicated that North Korea may test-launch a long-range rocket several times this year to complete its ICBM program, said Cheong Seong-chang, a senior research fellow at the Sejong Institute in South Korea. The first of such tests could come even before Mr. Trump’s inauguration, Mr. Cheong said. “We need to take note of the fact that this is the first New Year’s speech where Kim Jong-un mentioned an intercontinental ballistic missile,” he said. In his speech, Mr. Kim did not comment on Mr. Trump’s election.

Doubt still runs deep that North Korea has mastered all the technology needed to build a reliable ICBM. But analysts in the region said the North’s launchings of three-stage rockets to put satellites into orbit in recent years showed that the country had cleared some key technological hurdles. After the North’s satellite launch in February, South Korean defense officials said the Unha rocket used in the launch, if successfully reconfigured as a missile, could fly more than 7,400 miles with a warhead of 1,100 to 1,300 pounds — far enough to reach most of the United States. North Korea has deployed Rodong ballistic missiles that can reach most of South Korea and Japan, but it has had a spotty record in test-launching the Musudan, its intermediate-range ballistic missile with a range long enough to reach American military bases in the Pacific, including those on Guam.

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Durandal · Jan 1, 2017

waltky said: ↑

Fatboy gonna set off an ICBM...

North Korea Preparing to Test Intercontinental Ballistic Missile, Kim Says
JAN. 1, 2017 — North Korea’s leader, Kim Jong-un, said on Sunday that his country was making final preparations to conduct its first test of an intercontinental ballistic missile — a bold statement less than a month before the inauguration of President-elect Donald J. Trump.
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I don't know about this. I don't like the idea of that wackjob regime with ICMBs in addition to nuclear warheads.

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