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Trump Can Still Win, But The Polls Would Have To Be Off By Way More Than In 2016

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Arkanis, Oct 31, 2020.

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  1. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    Says the guy that was SOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO wrong in 2016.

    [​IMG]
     
    LogNDog, Nov 1, 2020
    #26
  2. Gatewood

    Gatewood Well-Known Member

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    Polling back in 2016 consistently had Hillary ahead of Trump by about fourteen points across the board UNTIL the final few days of the election during which time -- magically -- they all 'adjusted' to show the candiates to be neck and neck. Ditto for this season's presidential campaign cycle. Genuine polling is now showing Trump ahead in most battle ground states.
     
    Gatewood, Nov 1, 2020
    #27
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  3. Borat

    Borat Banned

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    I just listed a bunch of 2018 polls which Trafalgar got right and the rest were off by 4-7%, all in favor of the dems. 538 is a leftist hack who got everything in 2016 and most senatorial races in 2018 wrong. Hardly an authority.
     
    Last edited: Nov 1, 2020
    Borat, Nov 1, 2020
    #28
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  4. Gatewood

    Gatewood Well-Known Member

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    Conservatives hating Disney corporation owns 538 and Silver made his rep by dropping to his knees and sucking off Barack Obama back in 2012. He is NOT going to say ANYTHING to dissapoint his masters until Tuesday rolls around when -- gasp! -- he will 'discover' that once again his surveying methodology was . . . wrong.
     
    Gatewood, Nov 1, 2020
    #29
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  5. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    We are having a finger food dinner with wine. Summer sausage, chicken tenders, fruit, crackers, cheese, wine with two TVs, a lap top and a tablet set up for data. I already have two Trump flags up on the deck. This is gonna be better than sex and I LOVE sex. Riding a motorcycle isn't better than sex. Flying a helicopter isn't better than sex. Not many things better than sex. Driving a Mclaren is better than sex. Winning an election is better than sex. Rubbing it in that we won an election is better than sex.
     
    LogNDog, Nov 1, 2020
    #30
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  6. Borat

    Borat Banned

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    There is not one single independent, heck, not one single moderate democrat on 538 team... They are all extreme leftists. (just like the staff of all those phony "fact checking" sites). The liberals keep thinking they are clever and are fooling us, all the evidence to the contrary notwithstanding. :D
     
    Borat, Nov 1, 2020
    #31
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  7. HockeyDad

    HockeyDad Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You might want to do that anyways. There are violent riots in Spain and Italy as we speak as patriots enraged by authoritarian lockdowns have hit the streets. The violence is threatening to spread to Great Britain, France and Germany as they mull civilization destroying lockdowns. If Biden gets in and institutes economic lockdowns on a federal level, there will be political violence the likes America hasn't seen since the Civil War. My company it teetering on the edge as are many others. I know dozens of people whose lives were destroyed by the first lockdown and are now making the transition out of the middle class. One more lockdown will end much of the middle class. Radicalization and violence happens when people's lives are destroyed.
     
    Last edited: Nov 1, 2020
    HockeyDad, Nov 1, 2020
    #32
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  8. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Typo: even though the leftnut polls had her winning in a landslide.
     
    Professor Peabody, Nov 1, 2020
    #33
  9. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Nobody Cares about "4 Years Ago". That was then, this is NOW.

    And, in general terms, "talking points" need to be updated if all that one has (for an Epically-Failed Attempt at Rebuttal) is "But...But...2016...":roflol::bored:

    I say Biden is going to Win,.
    If you have an opposite opinion, then we'll just have to agree to disagree.

    Carry on.:salute:
     
    Andrew Jackson, Nov 1, 2020
    #34
  10. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    538 were dumbasses 4 years ago......what's changed?
     
    Professor Peabody, Nov 1, 2020
    #35
  11. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

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    If over 90 million have already voted, then the polls should be more accurate.
     
    nopartisanbull, Nov 1, 2020
    #36
  12. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Their Model is accounting for the "Hidden Trump Vote" (in the 2020 versions of the Model).

    Last time they got blind-sided by flawed demographic turnout models.
     
    Andrew Jackson, Nov 1, 2020
    #37
  13. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    [​IMG]

    Trump rally in PA. Show us a Biden rally.
     
    Professor Peabody, Nov 1, 2020
    #38
  14. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    upload_2020-11-1_12-36-44.png
     
    Egoboy, Nov 1, 2020
    #39
  15. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Professor Peabody, Nov 1, 2020
    #40
  16. Arkanis

    Arkanis Well-Known Member

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    You're basing on that to pretend Trump is going to win?
     
    Arkanis, Nov 1, 2020
    #41
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  17. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Yeah.

    If Biden gets the Clinton Map +PA/MI/WI/AZ/FL/NC/ME-2/NE-2

    That gives you the much heralded Biden 335 Map.

    Regardless, at least 290 EV are absolute LOCKS for Biden.

    Everything else is gravy.
     
    Andrew Jackson, Nov 1, 2020
    #42
  18. LogNDog

    LogNDog Well-Known Member

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    Your post is wrong. It is as glaringly wrong as your predictions are. There are a lot of people that care about 4 years ago. That is how one learns by making mistakes and learning from them but of course I don't expect you to understand that.
     
    LogNDog, Nov 1, 2020
    #43
  19. nopartisanbull

    nopartisanbull Well-Known Member

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    Trump’s “Who cares about Covid19” rally
     
    nopartisanbull, Nov 1, 2020
    #44
  20. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    The MAIN People who REALLY "Learned from Mistakes" were the Pollsters.

    That is Why they WON'T miss again like that did in 2016.

    ^And, anybody who doesn't understand how the Pollsters have updated their models (in the face of 2016) is going to be in for a Rude Awakening when Biden is sworn in on 1/20/21.

    In general terms, my blanket recommendation to all of Trump's Supporters:

    Get used to the idea that Biden is Going to WIN.

    That way, Election Night won't be so rough.
     
    Andrew Jackson, Nov 1, 2020
    #45
  21. yardmeat

    yardmeat Well-Known Member

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    The other wrench in this is that there will be a lot of uncounted votes this go around.
     
    yardmeat, Nov 1, 2020
    #46
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  22. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    290/248 is my call... but I hope I'm underselling...

    I think NC will be the closest race in the country... under 3000 votes...
     
    Egoboy, Nov 1, 2020
    #47
  23. Arkanis

    Arkanis Well-Known Member

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    At 290, Trump will challenge the results all the way to the supreme court.

    It's been his plan all along.
     
    Arkanis, Nov 1, 2020
    #48
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  24. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    Probably... 290 is only 2 states (or PA and a NE/MA district).

    But, here's the good news for Trump... The grift will continue right up to the very end.

    https://news.yahoo.com/trump-camp-uses-online-gimmick-161501695.html

    If you are DUMB enough to donate to Trump, you better have read the fine print to ensure your mortgage documents aren't signed over to him at some point...

    Trump will be collecting weekly donations 3 years after he's been digested by the maggots...
     
    Egoboy, Nov 1, 2020
    #49
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  25. Paul7

    Paul7 Well-Known Member

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    Like you said Hillary would win last time.

    Here in Blue State NM I saw a mile long Trump parade today. He isn't going to win this state but I haven't seen this kind of voter enthusiasm for a candidate ever, not even during the Obama Hopium cult.

    Also a guy on a street corner with an AR-15 and a sign that said "All Guns Matter". :applause:
     
    Paul7, Nov 1, 2020
    #50
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