"Unskewed polls" Dean Chambers admits failure, praises Nate Silver, slams Rasmussen

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by gmb92, Nov 7, 2012.

  1. gmb92

    gmb92 New Member

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    Doesn't take much to become a celebrity among the far right. Just bust out some truthiness and be a Republican cheerleader. The guy who rose to relative fame this way through claiming polls were systematically biased against Romney has been shamed by reality. There will be more right-wing hacks like him in future election cycles, and he's certainly in good company (George Will, Dick Morris, etc.).

    http://www.businessinsider.com/unsk...r-election-dick-morris-michael-barone-2012-11

    Admitting failure is admirable enough, yet he's blaming much of his failure on Rasmussen, which is like blaming Karl Rove for being an unreliable source. Rasmussen's poor track record is well-documented.

    2010:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2010_generic_congressional_vote-2171.html

    2008:

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/battleground.html

    Here is their pro-Republican bias in 2012 in the key swing states (preliminary since some of the states have as much as 10% left to be counted):

    Ohio: +2

    Florida: +3

    Virginia: +5

    Iowa: +7

    Colorado: +8

    Nevada: +5

    Minnesota: +3

    Michigan: +3

    New Hampshire: +3

    North Carolina: +4

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

    Being off in one state is often explained by margin of error. Being off in so many states in the same direction cannot.
     
  2. Politics Junky

    Politics Junky Banned

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    Lol. The thing about Republicans is they are such rabid idiots they throw their money at whatever demagogue will tell them what they want to here. Do you really think Newt, Cain, Bachmann, or any number of other clowns thought they were going to be the nominee let alone president? Cain spent more time on book tours in Alabama than on the campaign trail. There was stupid forum post after stupid forum post talking about him like he was going to win. Meanwhile the dreaded main stream media pointed out he wasn't even on the ballot in a huge chunk of the states. He came in got his money and left. This "unskewed" guy is the same. He got whatever money or notoriety he wanted and now he will move on and leave the delusional party faithful to sulk and wonder why this happened to them.
     
  3. stekim

    stekim New Member

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    He hardly needed to mention he was wrong. This was all very predictable.
     
  4. raytri

    raytri Well-Known Member

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    The GOP needs to do some hard thinking about how a complete moron like Chambers got the attention he did. He would have been laughed out of any serious party. But in the GOP, Rick Perry gives people like Chambers a shout-out.

    Sure, Perry's not even the 50th-brightest-bulb on the tree. But that just *confirms* the problem the GOP has -- because Perry is not only a governor, he was touted as the guy who would take down Obama, until he completely crashed and burned on the national stage.

    The GOP needs to do a better job of identifying talent and smarts, and filtering out the posers, charlatans and rockheads.
     

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