2020 Electoral Map Based on Polls

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Arkanis, Oct 9, 2020.

  1. Thedimon

    Thedimon Well-Known Member

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    I had jobs for 8 years in a row where I was responsible for staffing my finance department and I never posted job ads in newspapers. We used Craigslist, Facebook, and LinkedIn (and sometimes 3rd party recruiters).
    I, myself, had solid success using LinkedIn to find jobs. I actually like it because with LinkedIn I have recruiters contacting me directly without me even applying for a job. Someone reaches out to me at least once a week. The period between April and September was weird because I was almost never contacted. That’s my indirect method of evaluating a job market - if random agents don’t contact me at least once per week then the job market is good. Before COVID I was getting so many messages, I often didn’t even read them.

    So, as a former manager and an employee, I never look into newspaper ads for jobs.
     
  2. quiller

    quiller Well-Known Member

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    He has this charming phrase wanna-be Fascist-in-Chief, which implies he knows what the real fascism is, or else implies he believes that all incumbents of the Presidency are fascists. Either is not my idea of a reputable presidency. Saw your reference above that he might be a team. If so, somebody ain't gettin' their rubles worth.
     
  3. quiller

    quiller Well-Known Member

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    I'm retracting that part about the first place serious employers would go to look. Call it an age-gap thing for a retiree (and print-oriented former newspaperman). Your post reminds me of the 1980s when I took jobs from two different temp agencies and had pick-and-choose for nearly five years. The contract from one temp outfit would expire and if they didn't have anything I'd go to the other. Never had a vacation and worked steady.
     
  4. Thedimon

    Thedimon Well-Known Member

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    These days you need to learn how agencies work.
    One of the reason why I stopped using newspaper jobs postings is because back in 2010, during 10% unemployment, Robert Half staffing company was flooding these newspaper sections with fictitious jobs. They are still doing it and the reason is not to get you a job, but to get you excited and give away your references. After you provide them with references they’ll tell you that the job you applied for is no longer available, but as soon as the agent hangs up, he dials your references and attempts to sell Robert Half candidates.
    So, they used bad economy and exploited people’s hopes for a new job for marketing their business to your references. I, myself, as a manager used to get these random calls from Robert Half offering me staff accountants. This particular recruiter also likes to get their temps in, but after you get to know that temp, breaking them off from contract with Robert Half is outrageously expensive, and you, as a boss, end up paying too much for an employee who brings home pay that is much lower than what they normally would get if they were not part of this scheme. Their fee is outrageous too! As far as I remember it was like 50% of the salary for permanent placement.
    So, to do an intelligent job search, you must tell recruiters that you give away your references only after you get at least 1 face to face interview with an actual employer. I also completely refuse to even talk with Robert Half too. Job seekers need to look into potentially identifying fake job posts, or reach out to recruiting agencies and scope things out before seriously putting an effort into the opportunity.
     
  5. quiller

    quiller Well-Known Member

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    Well, genuine thanks for all that information, but in my case I'll stay retired.
     
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  6. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    Nothing could be easier

    According to the Pew Research Center, Trump enjoyed a 9-point advantage over Democrat Hillary Clinton among voters 65+ (53% to 44%).

    A recent Fox News national survey found Biden leading narrowly among likely voters ages 65 and older.

    https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews....mplete_National_Topline_October-7-Release.pdf

    Some polls have shown bigger margins. A CNN survey of likely voters had Biden up big among those 65 years and older, with 60% for Biden and 39% for Trump.

    http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2020/images/10/06/rel12b.-.2020.pdf

    https://www.npr.org/2020/10/13/923255445/biden-and-trump-key-in-on-seniors-in-campaigns-final-weeks

    Let's see if I have this straight... Fattie is behind with Seniors, Women, Suburbanites, non-Whites, and Youth...

    What does that really leave you?? Clem at the Automotive Center?
     
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  7. Chrizton

    Chrizton Well-Known Member

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    Ok but I am a None Of The Above voter it looks like. I didn't support COVID Check #1 and I don't support COVID Check #2. We should have stayed in social distancing short of a lockdown and directed all the relief to those people and business actually affected.
     
  8. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    :applause:

    Why would any GOP candidate be holding rallies in RED states that they were confident was already on their side?

    Why is the wannabe Fascist-in-Chief trying to REGAIN support in FL, GA, NC and IA when those should already be locked down if he expects to win in November?
     
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  9. StillBlue

    StillBlue Well-Known Member

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    Is that rhetorical or may I answer?
     
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  10. StillBlue

    StillBlue Well-Known Member

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    Since you didn't respond I'm going ahead and answer.
    He needs, not wants, needs to be able to bask in the crowds. Other states might not welcome him and many sure don't want his super spreader events.
     
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  11. Pred

    Pred Well-Known Member

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    Opinions are NOT facts sir. Learn English. You still can’t define what a fascist is. Stop using blogs. How many people are you?
     
    Last edited: Oct 16, 2020
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  12. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    No, they were not rhetorical and thank your for responding.

    Stroking his bloated ego is not going to win the election but with the wannabe Fascist-in-Chief his inner TODDLER is in control.
     
  13. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    If YOU have some alternative IMAGINARY definition of fascist that exonerates your wannabe Fascist-in-Chief you have abjectly FAILED to produce it. Just stomping your feet is NOT an effective rebuttal.
     
  14. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    A bone for my Trump supporting PF.com'ers.... Enjoy

    RCP moved Minnesota from Leans Biden to Toss Up

    upload_2020-10-16_8-43-6.png

    Despite the fact that RCP's own collection of polls doesn't have a single one in the past 8 that has Trump within 6 points of Biden.

    THAT is a very cautious website...
     
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  15. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    Probably somebody is reading the Cook Political Map.... 3 of those 4 states are in Toss Up, and Iowa is Lean R

    https://cookpolitical.com/sites/default/files/2020-07/EC 070720.pdf
     
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  16. quiller

    quiller Well-Known Member

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    Good question. Similarity in word choices suggest to me at least three, all reading outdated scripts combined with poor English and debating skills. Unfortunately all three would snivel until I got banned if I named them.

    Since Donald Trump actually *IS* in charge, then how can he be a wannabe anything here? You can't even string together a good insult, but watching repeated failures like that are instructive if not hilarious.
     
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  17. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Cautious, or not.

    Biden is a 100% LOCK to Win in MN.
     
  18. ronv

    ronv Well-Known Member

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    They didn't tell you this on FOX????
     
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  19. fmw

    fmw Well-Known Member

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    I think the DNC plan is to have Biden be a 1/2 term president with Mrs. Harris taking over for the balance of the term after Biden resigns. Just an opinion.
     
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  20. ronv

    ronv Well-Known Member

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    Biden's town halls get broadcast locally. You know, where the undecided live.
     
  21. ronv

    ronv Well-Known Member

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    Not as good as Covid, but I'll take it.

    A Quinnipiac poll found half of likely voters nationwide — 50 percent — saying Trump as president made them feel less safe, versus 35 percent who said he made them feel safer.

    By contrast, 42 percent said Biden made them feel safer, versus 40 percent less safe.

    A CNN poll found Biden leading — by a 51 percent to 46 percent margin — on who would better keep Americans safe from harm. (It also had him leading on better handling racial inequality by 18 points).

    Maybe most revealing of all, Quinnipiac found 58 percent of likely voters saying the country is WORSE off today than it was four years ago.

    And as for Wisconsin, not only did a Fox News poll — conducted after the conventions and Kenosha — show Biden ahead in the state by 8 points among likely voters, it also found him leading Trump by 5 points on which candidate would do a better job on policing and crime, 47 percent to 42 percent.

    “Law and order” might be a better issue for Trump than the coronavirus.

    But it isn’t a winning issue for him.

    https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/me...mp-isn-t-winning-his-law-order-fight-n1239171
     
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  22. Egoboy

    Egoboy Well-Known Member Donor

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    You guys crack me up.... Joe will do his 4 years, and emerge healthier than Trump is today, but still too old to run again.

    So he will fully support Kamala in her run in 2024... as will America, if the alternative is some toadstool like Hawley or Cruz or Hawley. If it's Haley, or somebody who somewhat ran for the hills mid disaster, maybe they won't be categorically dismissed.
     
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  23. AmericanNationalist

    AmericanNationalist Well-Known Member

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    I will not do what Liberals did to Trump, I will not undermine a Biden Administration, but as a Nationalist it pains me to see that people think Biden will "do a better job" on these things, when at best he's been lukewarm. And having been part of an administration that was lukewarm(people forget the Orlando Pulse shooting, the NJ bombings happened on the months of the 2016 election.)

    The Obama brigade is historically weak on national security, and returning them to power will weaken our national security. It's because I know they're weak on national security, we must support them. Because they really can't support themselves or the country. Same administration that armed ISIS to begin with.(Which makes the criticism of the current administration, haughty by the same military experts who allowed it to happen.)
     
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  24. Pred

    Pred Well-Known Member

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    Thats almost a guarantee. I’m giving it a year or until he falls over or has a stroke on Live TV. That is, if we EVER see him live. I’m betting lots of recorded, scripted, highly edited messages.
     
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  25. ronv

    ronv Well-Known Member

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    Personally I think Trump's home grown terrorist are more dangerous.
    Like San Antonio Southerland Springs and such.
     
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