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Nate Silver: Trump Has A 57.5% Chance Of Becoming President-

Discussion in 'Current Events' started by Talon, Jul 25, 2016.

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  1. Talon

    Talon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    [​IMG]

    You're deflecting from your sudden unwillingness to cite Nate Silver to cover your own ass, Cap'n.

    I stated in the OP what I put stock in:

    1) The total, laughable disarray of the Democratic party, which opened with the DNC chair resigning in disgrace

    and

    2) Voter turnout

    Good luck getting Bernouts to the polls in November, Clintonistas...:lol:
     
    Talon, Jul 25, 2016
    #51
  2. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    The math doesn't lie and Silver is merely reporting the math per his own models.

    Anyone who actually is "well educated in statistics" would know that.
     
    Derideo_Te, Jul 25, 2016
    #52
  3. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Right now Nate has Trump ahead in those three states.

    Ohio 58.1%
    Florida 65.2%
    Pennsylvania 57.8%

    Of course anything could happen between now and then so any snapshot could be wrong.
     
    Hoosier8, Jul 25, 2016
    #53
  4. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    Don't. Deny. The. Data!
     
    Zorro, Jul 25, 2016
    #54
  5. HTownMarine

    HTownMarine Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    And I assure you, the DNC did everything in its power to get Clinton into office.

    You all didn't believe it before, but now that the truth has come out, you want to talk about anything but...

    It's okay. I'd be pissed if I were you too. This is bad, real bad. Labeling gays as good or bad, referring to Latino rallies as 'Taco Bowl' engagements.

    Good luck to you. Trump may not get the votes of the Bernie supporters and minorities, but he doesn't need them. He just needs them to stay home.

    I'm excited for the next batch to be released. Aren't you? This crooked Democracy at its finest, you should be more concerned.
     
    HTownMarine, Jul 25, 2016
    #55
  6. Sanskrit

    Sanskrit Well-Known Member

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    You know this is a good point. With all the violence, lies and belligerence directed at Trump supporters, it's no wonder polls end up being inaccurate. The pollster on the phone could be some BLM or SJW creep looking to dox Trump supporters. The rational response to any pollster is to tell them "no thanks" and hang up. The LW isn't rational, and has all day anyway, so they are easy to poll.

    I haven't seen -any- Trump or Clinton bumper stickers, probably no Trump because people are fearful of LW thug reprisals for identifying themselves as a Trump supporter. Probably smart, I will vote for Trump but not telling -anyone- that in public. Too many violent LW nuts out there.
     
    Sanskrit, Jul 25, 2016
    #56
  7. Windigo

    Windigo Banned

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    There are lies damn lies and statistics. In statistics it's entirely how you set up your model. Silver is a hack. All he did was bet heavy on Obama in 2008 and 2012 people confused this gambling with good statistics.
     
    Windigo, Jul 25, 2016
    #57
  8. akphidelt2007

    akphidelt2007 New Member Past Donor

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    Who didn't believe it? Lmao. Everyone knew the DNC wanted Hillary. Bernie is not even a Democrat.
     
    akphidelt2007, Jul 25, 2016
    #58
  9. Talon

    Talon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Hillary's campaign in pictures... LOOK OUT!!!

    [​IMG]
     
    Talon, Jul 25, 2016
    #59
  10. FreshAir

    FreshAir Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    it is very close, every democrat needs to get out and vote
     
    FreshAir, Jul 25, 2016
    #60
  11. Hoosier8

    Hoosier8 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    For Trump.
     
    Hoosier8, Jul 25, 2016
    #61
  12. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Considering the epic racial and gender diversity of Trump's voter base? :roflol:

    - - - Updated - - -

    Lmao.

    You made that up.

    Post a LINK (or be outed as a delusional dumbass).

    Where's the link?

    You are so clueless. Not even funny.
     
    Andrew Jackson, Jul 25, 2016
    #62
  13. FreshAir

    FreshAir Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    people were not letting people with Obama stickers park in theri parking lots, ect....

    people no longer put these on their cars cause some from both sides take politics way to seriously, probably the same ones that get into fights during a high school football game
     
    FreshAir, Jul 25, 2016
    #63
  14. Stuart Wolfe

    Stuart Wolfe Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    So basically what you're doing is trolling the forum.

    I'll say it yet again: The only poll that matters is the one in early November. And mayhap all your threads should be moved to the Elections forum by the mods.

    Perhaps you should go back to doing what you do best: Spamming the board with Trump threads. I have you down for four today on the pool. Get to work.
     
    Stuart Wolfe, Jul 25, 2016
    #64
  15. Talon

    Talon Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    It probably will get worse, but at this point things can't get much worse.

    As for myself, things couldn't be better. The Democratic National Convention is opening with the DNC Chair resigning in disgrace and the party in total, laughable disarray.

    Meanwhile, in the Clinton camp...

    [​IMG]
     
    Talon, Jul 25, 2016
    #65
  16. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    The premise of this prediction is based upon Tr(oll)mp sweeping OH, PA and FL! :eekeyes:

    RCP is showing Tr(oll)mp only ahead in OH which is where the Tr(oll)mp-a-loser-fest was held.

    Let's wait and see if this "bump" has any staying power.
     
    Derideo_Te, Jul 25, 2016
    #66
  17. vman12

    vman12 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    A possible landslide? I thought you said yesterday it was definitely going to be a landslide.
     
    vman12, Jul 25, 2016
    #67
  18. Thirty6BelowZero

    Thirty6BelowZero Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I guess I'll never understand how you guys can sit there and do something, then turn right around, point your finger, and claim the Republicans are the ones doing it.
     
    Thirty6BelowZero, Jul 25, 2016
    #68
  19. Thirty6BelowZero

    Thirty6BelowZero Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    So someone else needs a mental health evaluation if they DO think Trump could win all three, but YOU don't need a mental health evaluation even though you think Hillary will win all three... Thanks for proving my earlier point.
     
    Thirty6BelowZero, Jul 25, 2016
    #69
  20. Thirty6BelowZero

    Thirty6BelowZero Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    But not as wrong as you were in 2000 and 2004?
     
    Thirty6BelowZero, Jul 25, 2016
    #70
  21. Thirty6BelowZero

    Thirty6BelowZero Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Perfect picture... I guess we'll have to wait until this rigged election is over. The Hillary fanboys will be in denial until Trump wins and they find out that this rigged election wasn't rigged enough to get Clinton in the white house.

    - - - Updated - - -

    What is there to vote for? What policies of Hillary do you support?
     
    Thirty6BelowZero, Jul 25, 2016
    #71
  22. Thirty6BelowZero

    Thirty6BelowZero Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Still giggling and tossing out direct insults... Desperate times are upon you.
     
    Thirty6BelowZero, Jul 25, 2016
    #72
  23. therooster

    therooster Banned

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    Hillary is the worst candidate to ever run.
     
    therooster, Jul 25, 2016
    #73
  24. US Conservative

    US Conservative Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Ah, its still notable because it exists-there hasn't been a post convention bump for either republicans or dems since 2000.

    And yet Trump pulled it off. I dont think its because he just has reached more older voters who watched at home-I think its because hes that big right now.
     
    US Conservative, Jul 25, 2016
    #74
  25. Thirty6BelowZero

    Thirty6BelowZero Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Exactly... Don't ever call Trump the worst, especially when you're a Hillary the Feminist fanboy.

    - - - Updated - - -

    His kids did outstanding jobs as well...
     
    Thirty6BelowZero, Jul 25, 2016
    #75
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