One week out, put it in writing: Your election night/week predictions

For?

 

Trump landslide. Not going to bother to break it down further into states or EVs. There's a significant but small chance that NY could even go red that I've never seen in my lifetime.

Won't even bother with a Democrat fraud disclaimer based on what I'm seeing, I do not believe they can come up with enough fraudulent ballots this election to steal it.

Have not made any similar predictions in any other POTUS election in my lifetime including 84.

EDIT: Forgot Congress, both House and Senate Red. IMO there are tens of millions of American voters who are white hot POd about developments in 2020 that can't be stuck to Trump among moderate, rational adults.

 

Well, if nothing else, it looks like this thread will be a clear indicator of who on this forum is in a heavily isolated bubble.

 

Biden the corrupt bankers man implementing communist rule in the west & helping communist China to assert itself over the rest of the world with its AI facial recognition social score....I'll be lying low, (since my social score will likely be below 5%)... growing veggies and minding my own business while the rest of the world burn

 

Can anyone guess why Google is trending "Can I change my vote?" and announced how some states can? My guess is it's because google suspects early voting is is heavily leaning in Trumps favor.

Trump wins. House and senate is a close one.

 

As my son said to me after Obama won a second term. "Dad, we grossly underestimated just how stupid the people are" So that being said
my prediction is that Trump will win, the hopelessly uninformed and gibmedats will make it closer than it was with Hillary, and the screaming will be epic.

 

If nothing else, it seems Trump fans have a lot of confidence. Now, it is one thing to propose a narrow Trump win, I certainly think that is a possibility. But a landslide? Come on. Have they convinced themselves that polls are all bunk? Or is it that the constant affirmation of the silent majority has become truth in the RW bubble, when in reality Trump fans are the loud minority?

One thing is certain, there will be some posters on here with egg on their face come Next Tuesday. Could be me .

 

Yeah, definitely prepared for things to go differently from how I expect. At least I'm set up to be less surprised/disappointed by it this time.

 

I'll make it simple.

If Biden wins only the state where he's 4%+ ahead, he becomes President with 280 electoral votes.

 

Actually you're wrong. If Trump wins Arizona, North Carolina, Florida and Pennsylvania, he is re-elected



And these are just meaningless polls, so far Trump is doing very well in early voting in all these states, he is outperforming his 2016 early voting results in NC and AZ and he is actually ahead in Michigan and Wisconsin (I am talking about the party affiliation of early voters of course).

 

LOL.

When is Obama coming for your gun?

 

The way the campaign’s are spending and traveling neither believe it will be close race. The Trump campaign is in a close enough to challenge mode it’s much too late to be defending so many states.

Nonetheless there will be a storm of court challenges and we’ll be dependent on representatives with their eye on future legitimacy planting their flag and reining in the lunacy.

As for numbers? 11% increase in participation. Trump will garner more votes though less of a share—43-44%.
Biden will more than double Clinton’s popular vote margin. WH, Senate, House will go to Dem’s.

Watch the behavior closely because we’re going to get a lesson in character that will carry into the future cycles.

 

That's a very interesting point. It is actually illuminating what the campaigns are doing. Trump just had a rally in Omaha, Nebraska. Come on, Nebraska? That should be firmly Trump territory. The reason Trump held a rally there is because he is playing defense, he doesn't even think Omaha is a safe bet for him. On the other hand, Biden is rallying in North Carolina, which should also be solid Trump territory. Why? Because the Biden campaign probably has data that indicates that North Carolina is not out of the question for the Dems.

That's the current status. Trump is playing defense, desperately trying to hold on to what he had in 2016. These actions fly in the face of the overconfidence that he and his fans are trying to portray in public.

 

I'm getting a ton of robo texts for some reason. It's up to about 20/day. Most are from Republicans.

Both teams sound desperate.

My favorite today - "Curious, you've ignored requests from Sarah Huckabee Sanders, Eric Trump and Donald Trump Jr. Have we lost your support? Biden will win so we need you to send us $17."

LMAO.

I've blocked over 100 robo phone numbers at this point; not that it matters.

 

Biden wins, Dems add 5 seats in the U.S. House, and win the Senate by 52-48, but we won't know about the final count of latter until February of 2021. At least two states will have circumstances requiring a run-off election with obscene money being poured in, one happens in January, the other in February.

 

Trump will not win Pennsylvania.

Your only hope is that Trump will do 4% better everywhere.

That's not going to happen.

 

Dems will keep the house and take the Senate. I think Trump will barely win re-election after several months of challenges from the Biden campaign. I hope I'm wrong about the Presidency, but only time will tell.

Whoever wins, I have important **** to buy for my Sig M400 and take that bad boy to the range. Now to find a place that has ammo in stock. Hmmmmmm.

 

The second congressional district (basically Omaha) went for Obama in 2008 by about 1.2% over McCain. In 2016 Trump only beat Hillary by 2% in that district. We split our 5 delegates—2 go to the state winner, then one each to the winner of each of three districts. Omaha is in play. The other 4 EC votes are a lock for Trump. Spending a little time in Omaha to drag it over the line makes sense. Swinging only a few votes could garner another EC delegate without much effort/money spent.

Omaha may as well be on another planet in how it compares to the rest of the state.

 

Why would anyone vote for those that allowed looting and rioting? The inaction will cause the Democrats great losses.

 

That is probably true. The point is, however, that if Trump knew that he was heading for a blowout win, he wouldn't have to campaign in places like Omaha. He'd probably be up on his 2% lead that he had there 2 years ago. If he is down by 2% from 2016 in every place, he'll lose. As I said, his campaign is playing defense at the end of the fourth quarter, while he is pretending nothing is wrong.

 

Big prediction....
After winner is declared, the following day the sun will rise and life will go on just like it has ever other election.

 

Fair point. I don’t think anyone “knows” how the vote will go anywhere that’s reasonably close. Not even the candidates.

I think the optics of Trump doings all these multiple daily campaign stops in hick places like Omaha are different to a 20 year old kid out in the cold from 7:00 am to 8:30 pm unloading grain trucks across the river from Omaha in Iowa. To him it looks less like desperation and more like a guy with a drive and commitment to push through to the end to get the job done.

Actually campaigning I believe got him the win in 2016. It may again this year.

 

There is a decent chance that all of the votes will not have been counted by one week after election day.

My prediction is that Trump will win in an electoral college landslide, squeak out a popular vote victory, pick up 2 to 3 senate seats, and have an outside chance of regaining the house. But then, as Yogi Berra quipped, "Making predictions is very difficult, especially about the future."

 

Logically that SHOULD be the result. NOBODY in Minnesota or Oregon, for instance, should even be considering voting Dem Party for anything since both their governors and the mayors have deliberately allowed hate-filled and functionally insane radicals to riot, loot, burn, mug, and murder for nearly half a year now; but we are talking about two states worth of generally dedicated drinkers of leftist political propaganda . . . and thus for vast numbers of these inveterate Dem Party voters, THINKING need not apply. It's alllllllllllllllllllllllllllll about emotions.