Republican Party Favorability Highest in Seven Years

Trump's job numbers drop, GOP favorability ratings drop, and the Dems skyrocket.

 

Too bad none of that is happening. In reality, Republicans have defended their flanks well and are encroaching once again upon Democratic territory. The stupidity of the Kavanaugh attempt gave the Republicans ammunition where they had none.

 

Hmm, Looks like a long term memory problem.

 

Looks like Nate Silver's numbers. Didn't he infamously claim Trump had a less than two percent chance of winning?

A real betting odds site:

Senate Control GOP = 82.8%

House Control GOP = 64.8%

https://electionbettingodds.com/

 

https://www.nationalreview.com/2018/10/the-odds-are-slim-to-nunes/
Look.

 

Donald Trump’s Six Stages Of Doom
By Nate Silver

Filed under 2016 Election

Trump’s campaign will fail by one means or another. I recently estimated Trump’s chance of becoming the GOP nominee at 2 percent. How did I get there? By considering the gantlet he’ll face over the next 11 months — Donald Trump’s Six Stages of Doom:

Stage 1: Free-for-all
Potential threat to Trump: Increased attention to other GOP candidates.

Stage 2: Heightened scrutiny
Potential threat to Trump: Polling support doesn’t translate to likely, more-informed voters.

Stage 3: Iowa and New Hampshire
Potential threat to Trump: Middling performance in one or both states, either in an absolute sense or relative to polls.

Stage 4: Winnowing
Potential threat to Trump: Other candidates drop out, and remaining ones surpass Trump.

Stage 5: Delegate accumulation
Potential threats to Trump: Poor organization in caucus states, poor understanding of delegate rules, no support from superdelegates.

Stage 6: Endgame
Potential threat to Trump: The Republican Party does everything in its power to deny him the nomination.

So, how do I wind up with that 2 percent estimate of Trump’s nomination chances? It’s what you get

Rounding to the nearest whole percent.

So, how do I wind up with that 2 percent estimate of Trump’s nomination chances? It’s what you get if you assume he has a 50 percent chance of surviving each subsequent stage of the gantlet, a generous estimate for some stages. He’s almost certainly doomed, sooner or later.​

Great Guru you picked there, why he sees the future like he's reading a book! Complete with sciency looking graphs and odds often calculated to the tenth of a percent!

 

A little better than a bunch of righties betting against each other.

 

I did. Did you?

Whatever else the midterms bring, the morning after Election Day, California Democrats may wake up with a hangover, look at the millions spent against Nunes that could have been used in more competitive races elsewhere, and ask … “What were we thinking?”
​

But hey, $1 Contracts for Nunes losing are selling for 9 cents. The more you buy, the more you win!

https://www.predictit.org/markets/detail/3905/Will-Devin-Nunes-be-re-elected-to-Congress-in-2018

​

 

I think he didn't weight repubican't stupidity high enough. But I think it's fixed now.

 

After all of the lies and BS the Democrats have done and all of the name calling you are trying to say we are the stupid ones? Oh wait more name calling. Keep doing that. It sure worked out so great for you guys in the last election.

 

Gee,,,, No, just the facts. Did you forget this?

Donald Trump speaks what's on his mind, often as soon as it appears there. And after winning his third-straight contest in Nevada Tuesday, Trump credited his "poorly educated" supporters, in part, for the win.

"We won the evangelicals. We won with young. We won with old. We won with highly educated. We won with poorly educated. I love the poorly educated," he said during his victory speech.

 

Equating 'poorly educated' with 'stupid' is a trite mistake commonly made by those needing to feel superior to others

 

These smug bastards have quite a losing streak going, yet their smug sense of superiority prevents reevaluation and course correction.

So, by all means, they should continue!

 

OK. Either one.
Silver didn't weigh how uneducated the Republican'ts were, but he has fixed it now.

 

That is incorrect. Only 39% of ALL COLLEGE GRADUATES VOTED. The poll you are referring to was proven to be WRONG. The majority of Democratic voters actually have no college education. The left biased media enjoyed spreading this fake news. Sad.

 

Trump's unfavorability in personality and job performance is around a minus ten to eleven, the generic ballot differential is increasing for the Blue, and all Red can say is "nuh uh."

Keep it up, swiftness.

 

"These smug bastards have quite a losing streak going" is a stupid statement.

Victory after victory from Jones in Alabama and those in MI and WI and in states and cities across the nation in the last 18 months.

Keep pretending this year is 2010 and 2014, please!!!

 

Democrats have lost 1,000 elected offices, the Presidency, both Houses of Congress and the Majority of the Supreme Court, since Obama was first elected. You are back to your pre-FDR days in terms of national clout.

2018 Senate Odds - GOP keeps, 83.6% Seat Count 54-46

House Control 64.5%

https://electionbettingodds.com/

 

Democrats have in the last 18 months recaptured 150 of those seats, including a Democratic senator in AL and the possibility of a black Democratic senator in Mississippi next month.

Another 150 plus gain will occur in this election.

The Dems are going to lose a seat in the Senate while easily taking control of the House.

Note how many reds on the are looking backwards instead of forward.

 

Too funny. Your "rosey" outlook is a lame duck DNC house? The GOP senate is dumping it's RHINO's and appointing a new senate leader. Trump's has a solid gold rubber stamp with the letters
V E T O written on it. The word's apparently gotten out to hispanic voters, who probably woner why the DNC's screwed them on immigration for the last 10 years. Live the fantasy ... the reality is far too tragic.

 

It's fact, P I, something you are forgetting.

If the Senate stays red, McConnell stays Leader. Count on it.

The Hispanics know the GOP is their sworn enemey.

You are in fantasy land.

 

Polls & pundits say otherwise JS. GOP #'s exceeding all time high approval. The DNC balked at exchanging $10bn of "someone elses" money (taxes) for 2 million DACA extended family members legal residency. Dems should have accepted Sen Tom Cotton's immigration bill. The DNC betrayed hispanics, and they will pay.

 

Critical and objective polls and pundits say nothing of the sort, PI.

 

They most certainly will!

Stealthy Democrats running for office urged to hide their positions on immigration

It tells you a lot about a party and its think-tanks that it acts as though deceiving voters is good political practice.