Jan 2014 Was 4th Warmest on Record & 347 consecutive month above 20th C avg

Discussion in 'Environment & Conservation' started by livefree, Mar 16, 2014.

  1. livefree

    livefree Banned

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    The Earth is warming and had been for many decades now. As long as atmospheric carbon dioxide levels remain severely elevated as they are now, less energy will be able to escape away into space than is being received from the sun every day, so our planet will continue to warm up a little more every year. Variations in several natural climate factors can, to some degree, either enhance or mask the reflection of the underlying continuous warming trend in the surface air temperature records. Surface air temperatures account for less than 3% of the sun's energy the Earth is receiving, while the oceans are absorbing over 90% of the sun's heat. The oceans have been warming up faster and at greater depths in recent years as even more of the heat energy that the excess CO2 is trapping has been getting transferred into the oceans by repeated La Niña events and some wind pattern changes.

    Even in just the surface air temperature record though, the warming trend is very clear. Good instrumental surface air temperature records extend back to 1880, and much farther in certain specific locales.

    Here are some examples of the undeniable warming trend, that has not "paused" at all.

    * This last January, 2014, was the 4th warmest January on record.

    * Last November, 2013, was THE warmest November on record going back to at least 1880.

    * January was the ninth consecutive month (since May 2013) with a global monthly temperature among the 10 highest for its respective month in the entire temperature record.

    * January was the 38th consecutive January and the 347th consecutive month (almost 29 years) that has been above the 20th century global average temperature.

    * 2013 was the 4th warmest year on record.

    * 2010 is tied with 2005 as the warmest years on record.

    * 2001 to 2010 was the warmest decade on record.

    * All of the warmest years on record, going back to at least 1880, have happened since 1998.

    * All of the coldest years since 1998 are still warmer than all of the hottest years before 1998.


    [​IMG]
    Global temperature (annual values) in the data from NASA GISS (orange) and from Cowtan & Way (blue), i.e. HadCRUT4 with interpolated data gaps.
    One can clearly see the extreme year 1998, which (thanks to the record-El Niño) stands out above the long-term trend like no other year. But even taking this outlier year as starting point, the linear trend 1998-2013 in all four data sets is positive. Also clearly visible is 2010 as the warmest year since records began, and the minima in the years 2008 and 2011/2012. But just like the peaks are getting higher, these minima are less and less deep.
    (source: RealClimate)


    Forget The Local Cold: Worldwide, It Was Another Hot January
    NPR
    by SCOTT NEUMAN
    February 21, 2014
    (excerpts)
    January will go down in the weather history books as the fourth-warmest on record. That's right. No matter how brutal the winter was in North America, especially the Eastern half, it was balanced by warm temperatures elsewhere on the planet. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's National Climate Data Center says that last month marks the 38th consecutive January and the 347th consecutive month (almost 29 years) that global temperatures have been above the average for the 20th century. The last time the average temperature was below-average in January was in 1976 and the last time there was a below-average month was February 1985. Record keeping goes back to 1880. NOAA says the combined global land and ocean surfaces for last month was 54.8°F (12.7°C), or 1.17°F (0.65°C) above the 20th century January average of 53.6°F (12.0°C):
    "Most areas of the world experienced warmer-than-average monthly temperatures, with the most notable warmth across Alaska, western Canada, southern Greenland, south-central Russia, Mongolia, and northern China. Parts of southeastern Brazil and central and southern Africa experienced record warmth, contributing to the warmest January Southern Hemisphere land temperature departure on record at 2.03°F (1.13°C) above the 20th century average. Temperature departures were below the long-term average across the eastern half of the contiguous U.S, Mexico, and much of Russia. However, no regions of the globe were record cold."

    The Weather Channel asks "in a warming world, how can it be so bitterly cold? Deke Arndt, a scientist at the National Climatic Data Center explains":

    "We see more evidence that we will continue to have cold air outbreaks as the climate continues to warm. Cold air outbreaks, like the type we saw in January, over time, have become statistically more uncommon. Even though it was generally colder than average east of the Continental Divide and in parts of Siberia, it was warmer than average elsewhere. Take Alaska for example. The Last Frontier is normally frigid this time of year, but looking at the map it's clear that temperatures were well above average for January. January's average monthly high temperature for Fairbanks, Alaska is 1.1°F. But the average January high temperature in Fairbanks this year was nearly 15° higher than normal, at 16.4°F. At one point, the afternoon high temperature in Fairbanks hit 45°F, which was a tie for its sixth warmest January day on record."
     
  2. jc456

    jc456 New Member

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    What a bunch of Hooie.........................
     
  3. Casper

    Casper Banned at Members Request Past Donor

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    What a well thought out and in-depth reply, loved all the links and facts you presented................
     
  4. livefree

    livefree Banned

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    And there's the reason you're called "deniers". You have no facts or contrary evidence to support you, just mindless denial of reality for political/economic reasons.
     
  5. jc456

    jc456 New Member

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    That's all that is needed with that bunch of silliness.

    - - - Updated - - -

    I am not a denier, it is you that is. You deny the fact that the climate is normal. Everyday on here. You claim as if you know something you have absolutely no clue about.

    Edit: BTW, the lack of your evidence is my normal.
     
  6. Casper

    Casper Banned at Members Request Past Donor

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    Why don't you post your evidence that says something different than what was posted, you do have evidence don't ya?
     
  7. jc456

    jc456 New Member

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    Why? You are the ones saying something non normal is happening. Prove it. It's your proof not mine. Just show it, you claim it.

    Edit: BTW, there is enough evidence in this forum to show you the proof. The graphs supplied show nothing. Nothing as your evidence.
     
  8. Casper

    Casper Banned at Members Request Past Donor

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    So the OP provides a long list of evidence, You say it is nothing and provide no proof of you claims, got it.
     
  9. jc456

    jc456 New Member

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    Again, that is nothing but hooie!!!!!!!! What does it prove exactly?
     
  10. Casper

    Casper Banned at Members Request Past Donor

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    That you have no evidence to prove your claim, I already got that.
     
  11. Battle3

    Battle3 Well-Known Member

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    Been there, done that, waste of time. Climate parasites are so stuck in their religion they wont change their minds no matter how many of them get stuck in "melted" antarctic ice.
     
  12. jc456

    jc456 New Member

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    I have no claim about anything other than this global stuff is hooie and you can't prove me wrong. And you all keep proving I am right every day. Still no evidence. All you have is a graph. A graph that shows what, is the question. You can't answer. I have that graph as my evidence.

    - - - Updated - - -

    What am I a parasite about, because you can't prove man is causing global warming? You can't prove it, your own material is my evidence.
     
  13. Battle3

    Battle3 Well-Known Member

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    That wasn't meant for you, but for those who are trying to suck as much blood as possible out of global warming before they are so discredited their careers will be over.
     
  14. jc456

    jc456 New Member

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    Mis-read it, thanks!
     
  15. Casper

    Casper Banned at Members Request Past Donor

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    And your religion is "It ain't so", ok to each their own, since I know you would not believe any evidence that shows your POV may be wrong.
     
  16. livefree

    livefree Banned

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    In other words, you got nothing!!! Not one bit of scientific evidence that refutes anything in the OP. You denier cultists are pathetic in your politically motivated denial of reality.
     
  17. MannieD

    MannieD New Member

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    You know, I find incredible that some people actually believe that anyone is suggesting that global warming implies that there cannot be any ice in Antarctica and that 1 boat stuck in ice is relevant to a discussion on global climate.
     
  18. HogWash

    HogWash New Member Past Donor

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    And your opening post is the reason you're called liars.
     
  19. livefree

    livefree Banned

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    And you calling all of the world's scientists "liars" is why you're called retards.
     
  20. jc456

    jc456 New Member

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    Botta-bing.. name calling. Again, it is you making claims, it is you that owes the evidence. Come back when you have it. I challenged you and the others here to provide causal proof of warm trends on the graphs you all supply as well as explain the cool periods on those same graphs. zip..................And again, you are the denier! You deny the lack of evidence to support your position.
     
  21. livefree

    livefree Banned

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    Right, "name calling" that the appropriately named 'HogWash' started.




    Completely wrong!

    After decades of intensive research and study by many thousands of scientists, the world scientific community has stated many times that enormous amounts of evidence clearly indicates that mankind's carbon emissions have increased Earth's atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide by over 40% and that this increase in a powerful greenhouse gas is increasing the Earth's surface air and ocean temperatures and changing the climate patterns. That's the very strong scientific consensus on AGW that exists. If you want to dispute that, you need to have some contrary evidence that can challenge the current scientific consensus.

    I, and others on this forum, have, in fact, already cited and quoted quite a bit of the scientific evidence supporting AGW that you're asking for, in thread after thread. If you claim to have not seen any of it, then you've clearly kept your eyes shut and deliberately ignored and denied that evidence. So, just for laughs, let's try it one more time and see if you will actually look at and read some of the evidence. Given how fiercely you want to deny the science, I doubt you'll actually manage to read even one of these.

    The Discovery of Global Warming

    Evidence for Global Climate Change - NASA

    Scientific opinion on climate change

    Climate Change: Consensus - NASA

    'Unequivocal' evidence that global warming is man-made
    PhysOrg
    Oct 11, 2013

    Fresh Evidence Global Warming Is Man-Made

    NASA Study: Climate Sensitivity Is High So ‘Long-Term Warming Likely To Be Significant’

    Climate Change: The Evidence and Our Options
     
  22. HogWash

    HogWash New Member Past Donor

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    ALL "the world's scientists" you ask? No just that bunch of liberals of the world that try pass themselves off as scientists. The real scientists of the world literally laugh at those idiots. As do the world's meteorologists.

    Let's see the world is billions of years old, right? And it has NEVER been through climate changes EVER in its history like the one now that these dodos are raving about? Wrong, wrong, wrong. It has. Even when we had dinosaurs emitting all the CO2 rather than cattle. Then we have had Al Gore scamming the public with his phony carbon credit scheme. The only people you should consider retarded are the people who bought into this BS such as the ones that purchased Al Gores carbon credits so they would feel justified in their duped stupor. And you of course.
     
  23. HogWash

    HogWash New Member Past Donor

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    You really ought to give up the unending BS you post here. Nobody is buying into it, except other liberals and a few misguided conservatives. Not even Al Gore. Who got criticized right out of the his carbon credit business. Unless of course he is now an owner with an alias.
     
  24. jc456

    jc456 New Member

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    Yet again, no evidence. It really would be nice to get some evidence to support your rants. The same old speculation opinions. I said proof. You have none. Just admit it. You keep posting the same old links that show assumptions. That is not evidence dude. Even one of the 97%'rs agrees the assumption models are wrong. Get over it all ready.

    Still zippo!
     
  25. livefree

    livefree Banned

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    In spite of your ignorant denial, YES, virtually the entire world scientific community affirms the reality of AGW. As several of the sources I just cited clearly show. Like this one:

    Scientific opinion on climate change




    Ignorant denier cult twaddle. The "real scientists of the world" laugh at the retarded antics of you anti-science denier cultists.

    "The world's meteorologists".....LOLOLOLOLOL......you are sooooooo clueless.....

    The American Meteorological Society (AMS) statement adopted by their council in 2012 concluded:
    There is unequivocal evidence that Earth’s lower atmosphere, ocean, and land surface are warming; sea level is rising; and snow cover, mountain glaciers, and Arctic sea ice are shrinking. The dominant cause of the warming since the 1950s is human activities. This scientific finding is based on a large and persuasive body of research. The observed warming will be irreversible for many years into the future, and even larger temperature increases will occur as greenhouse gases continue to accumulate in the atmosphere. Avoiding this future warming will require a large and rapid reduction in global greenhouse gas emissions. The ongoing warming will increase risks and stresses to human societies, economies, ecosystems, and wildlife through the 21st century and beyond, making it imperative that society respond to a changing climate. To inform decisions on adaptation and mitigation, it is critical that we improve our understanding of the global climate system and our ability to project future climate through continued and improved monitoring and research. This is especially true for smaller (seasonal and regional) scales and weather and climate extremes, and for important hydroclimatic variables such as precipitation and water availability.

    Technological, economic, and policy choices in the near future will determine the extent of future impacts of climate change. Science-based decisions are seldom made in a context of absolute certainty. National and international policy discussions should include consideration of the best ways to both adapt to and mitigate climate change. Mitigation will reduce the amount of future climate change and the risk of impacts that are potentially large and dangerous. At the same time, some continued climate change is inevitable, and policy responses should include adaptation to climate change. Prudence dictates extreme care in accounting for our relationship with the only planet known to be capable of sustaining human life.


    The Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society has issued a Statement on Climate Change, wherein they conclude:
    Global climate change and global warming are real and observable ... It is highly likely that those human activities that have increased the concentration of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have been largely responsible for the observed warming since 1950. The warming associated with increases in greenhouse gases originating from human activity is called the enhanced greenhouse effect. The atmospheric concentration of carbon dioxide has increased by more than 30% since the start of the industrial age and is higher now than at any time in at least the past 650,000 years. This increase is a direct result of burning fossil fuels, broad-scale deforestation and other human activity.”


    Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society - In November 2009, a letter to the Canadian Parliament by The Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society states:
    Rigorous international research, including work carried out and supported by the Government of Canada, reveals that greenhouse gases resulting from human activities contribute to the warming of the atmosphere and the oceans and constitute a serious risk to the health and safety of our society, as well as having an impact on all life.


    Royal Meteorological Society (UK)
    In February 2007, after the release of the IPCC’s Fourth Assessment Report, the Royal Meteorological Society issued an endorsement of the report. In addition to referring to the IPCC as “world’s best climate scientists”, they stated that climate change is happening as “the result of emissions since industrialization and we have already set in motion the next 50 years of global warming – what we do from now on will determine how worse it will get.”


    World Meteorological Organization
    In its Statement at the Twelfth Session of the Conference of the Parties to the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change presented on November 15, 2006, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) confirms the need to “prevent dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system.” The WMO concurs that “scientific assessments have increasingly reaffirmed that human activities are indeed changing the composition of the atmosphere, in particular through the burning of fossil fuels for energy production and transportation.” The WMO concurs that “the present atmospheric concentration of CO2 was never exceeded over the past 420,000 years;” and that the IPCC “assessments provide the most authoritative, up-to-date scientific advice.”

    (source)





    That's one of the most retarded of all of the fraudulent denier cult arguments. That's like saying that because all forest fires were started by purely natural causes for a billion years before mankind came along, that must mean that all forest fires now must be started by purely natural causes and mankind never has any role in starting them. Obviously wrong and rather nuts. Similarly, just because the climate has changed in the past entirely due to natural causes, that does not mean that the current climate change somehow can't be caused by mankind's activities. Like increasing atmospheric levels of a powerful greenhouse gas like carbon dioxide by 43% in only a little over a century.
     

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