Here we go again. Another election, another corrupt Democratik presidential nominee fending off questions about another influence-peddling racket. At least Quid Pro Quo Joe came out yesterday and reminded everyone he's mentally unfit for the office he is seeking... "What kind of country we’re gonna be...Four more years of George uh… George uh… he uh — we’re gonna find ourselves in a position where if Trump gets elected we’re going to be, we’re going to be in a different world..."
"Quid Pro Joe"? Cha Ching! Back to the OP, what a great strategy for Biden. Just let Trump continue to defeat himself (uninterrupted).
While 2016 was surprising, it doesn't upset the fact that polls have been relatively accurate for other elections. It also ignores the many differences that exist between today and 2016. Trump is not an unknown outsider this time around. He's not running against a candidate that people have disliked for 20+ years. There's no longer any mystery around who he is or what kind of president he would be. That's why people voted for him in 2016. They knew Hillary, they largely didn't know him except for his entertainment and business persona. Now they do. They know there is no depth beyond that entertainment persona. They know his "businessman" image was largely overblown. They obviously know that this man does not grow into anything, let alone a presidential role. The people know who Donald Trump the President is. He's not the dark horse mystery he was in 2016, and there's no Hillary Clinton to be a hate magnet. You and the rest of his supporters will have to hope he hasn't disgusted more people than he's won over to his side since then. The polls weren't wrong. She had more support than he did, by several million votes. What the polls failed to predict was the voting patterns in the key states. He could win again, for sure. But this time around has different circumstances, no matter how hard the Trump campaign tries to recreate the conditions that existed in 2016.
First you argue that the polls showing Trump losing are more accurate this time around, and then you said- And that basically shoots down your own argument. And this is why the polls are nothing but a goat rodeo.
Did anyone see Cher at a so called Biden rally "Who do we want to win"? She yells, about 5 or 6 people respond "Uh, Biden" weakly. She say with obvious disappointment "Um, OK" Hilarious.
I didn't say they were more accurate now(although I'm sure pollsters learned a thing or two from 2016), I said that one year where polling missed the mark doesn't upset all the examples before that, and afterwards(201 where it didn't. I also pointed out that the circumstances under which that surprising upset happened in 2016 don't exist today in 2020. Of course Trump could still win. I don't think anybody has argued otherwise.
That's the wrong question to ask for the times we live in. The better question, which would have elicited a much more vigerous response, is: "Who do we want to lose". To which the answer would have been "Donald Trump!". That's what is exciting non-Trump voters. Biden is a boring candidate. He's normal and boring and run-of-the-mill, which is exactly why folks will vote for him instead of Cirque-Du-Trumpeil. People don't need to be excited about electing Biden, they just need to be excited about getting rid of Trump. You don't need a rally for that.
Anybody who looks at Biden and thinks that normal and boring fossil is what you're going to get if you vote for him is seriously fooling themselves. You're going to get Cackles Harris, and it'd be foolish to think otherwise. The 25th Amendment cannon that's going to blow Joe out of the White House is already loaded, and ready to fire.
And you think this will please Democratic voters who overwhelmingly rejected Harris as a presidential candidate? Even the progressives are only luke-warm about her. This will also backfire because if Biden wins, it will be in no-small part due to Republicans and Independents disgusted with Trump voting for him too.
But see you’re wrong in your observation of why the polls were wrong in 2016. The reason they were wrong had nothing to do with him being an outsider. They were wrong because the polls over are sampling democrats and under sampling republicans and independents. They ROUTINELY oversample democrats by 5-9 points and undersample republicans. That’s the problem. And they’re doing the EXACT same thing this year.
The only people who will attend his events will be a few supporters and the friendly media. Neither of which care about that story enough to ask Biden any questions.
You only think they're doing the same thing this year because that fits your narrative. But Republicans wouldn't hire pollsters who are oversampling Democrats because that doesn't help them. They're going to hire pollsters who give them accurate numbers. And it is these pollsters who have Republicans in Congress worried. As much as this forum likes to think it's on to the ruse here, it is without a doubt that the GOP has already considered the "they're just oversampling Democrats" scenario. And if that were the case, they wouldn't be worried about keeping the Senate. They wouldn't be distancing themselves from Trump. Are you unable to consider the fact that Trump has pissed enough people off over these last four years that even Republican voters want him gone? Maybe you've gorged yourself on too much internet hyperbole about what's going on and you can't see reality past all the narratives. I saw you predicted a "landslide" for Trump. If he wins, it won't be a landslide. He'll eek in like he did last time by the skin of his teeth.
Why would they even care? It's now okay to ignore corruption in a political candidate. Thanks Trump voters.