Trump Celebrates 'Fantastic Evening' of Endorsed Candidate Wins

Discussion in 'Elections & Campaigns' started by doombug, Aug 24, 2022.

  1. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    It seems to me that the summer momentum that Dems were enjoying died with Biden's crazed semi-fascist Red Speech:

    The following is all from RCP: GOP now up 1 on the congressional ballot.
    PA- Fetterman +4.4(D) Shapiro +9.3(D)

    WI - Johnson +2.3(R) Evers +0.8 (D)

    GA Warnock +0.7(D) Kemp +6.6(R)

    NV Laxalt +1.7(R) Lombardo +1.6(R)

    NC Budd +1.6(R)
    RCP is projecting 21-22 seat for House. That doesn't seem like many, but they already have a lot of seats. 21 pickups would leave them, post election, just 15 seats shy of the most GOP seats in the House in a century.
     
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  2. perotista

    perotista Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I understand. I have as of today the Republicans gaining 14-16. Close to the 21. The senate is in flux. A whole lot of close races that will probably be determined by voter turnout and who independents decide on voting for.


    The one thing for sure, there won’t be a red wave as most were talking about 3-4 months ago. Biden is sitting at 42% approval, the average loses for a president’s party that has a sitting president hovering around 40% approval is 48.5 house seats, 6 senate seats and 4.25 governors. There won’t be anything like that happening this year. At least not per today’s numbers.


    Yes, as of today, it does look like Johnson will retain his seat in WI. I’ll still go with Warnock in GA, Kelly in AZ, Cortez Masto in NV, Budd in NC. But we do agree on the GOP regaining control of the house. Right now it is the senate where we differ. I think NV’s outcome will depend on the Hispanic vote. Cortez Masto seems to be losing some support there.


    https://mcindependentnews.com/2022/...-are-losing-hispanic-support-aarp-poll-finds/


    NV is definitely a state to keep an eye on.
     
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  3. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    Trump, a former shlock tv entertainer, is dazzled by show-biz celebrity. The GOP might have chosen nominees with legislative acumen instead.

    Still, Trump's picks are capturing headlines:


    Herschel Walker’s son lashed out at him Monday on Twitter after the Republican U.S. Senate candidate denied a report that he paid for an ex-girlfriend’s abortion in 2009.
    “Every family member of Herschel Walker asked him not to run for office, because we all knew (some of) his past. Every single one,” tweeted Christian Walker, a conservative social media personality. “He decided to give us the middle finger and air out all of his dirty laundry in public, while simultaneously lying about it. I’m done.”
    He said he and his mother would appreciate it if the Georgia Republican would stop “lying and making a mockery of us.”
    “You’re not a ‘family man’ when you left us to bang a bunch of women, threatened to kill us, and had us move over 6 times in 6 months running from your violence,” he wrote.

     
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2022
  4. Get A Job

    Get A Job Newly Registered

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    Dems lost 63 seats in the House during the mid-terms in 2012 when Obama's approval rating was higher than Biden's are today. Good luck!
     
  5. perotista

    perotista Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Both Oz and Walker were Trump endorsed, chosen candidates. Both are of poor quality and very poor general election candidates. The choice of these two was Trump and his followers making a statement that they’re still in control of the Republican Party. The choice of these two wasn’t to win in the general election as in both PA and GA, the Republicans had other choices which would have given them a better chance of capturing both state’s senate seats. They declined that option to make a statement, not to win in the general election. It’s like the GOP doesn’t care about winning general election time. The choice of these two proves that. There’s several other senate and governor’s candidate chosen by Republicans to make a statement in their primaries, not to win in November
     
  6. perotista

    perotista Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    No, the Democrats lost 63 seats in 2010, not 2012. In 2012 Obama beat Romney 51-47 in the popular vote and 332-206 in the electoral college. 2012 saw the Republicans lose 3 senate seats, 8 house seats and a governorship.


    Biden 2022 43% ?????? projected loss of 12-14 house seats, gain of 1-2 senate seats, gain 3-4 governors as of 4 October

    Trump 2018 40% lost 44 house seats, 3 senate seats, 6 governors

    Obama 2010 42% lost 63 house seats, 6 senate seats, 4 governors

    G.W. Bush 2006 33% lost 33 house seats, 6 senate seats, 6 governors

    Bill Clinton 1994 42% lost 54 house seats, 9 senate seats, 1 governor


    I know why back in June/July a red wave seemed in store even immiment. Today, it looks more like a red trickle or puddle. I know the reason why the change from red wave to Red trickle or maybe just a splash puddle. Do you? If you do will you admit it?
     
  7. cabse5

    cabse5 Banned

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    This is misinformation. Trump picks conservatives which can kinda be a minefield for incumbent neocon candidates.
    In my opinion, most incumbents win reelection.

    I guarantee Trump won't endorse the neocon incumbents Mitch McConnell, Lindsey Graham or Mitt Romney for examples, when their reelection is due.
     
    Last edited: Oct 4, 2022
  8. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    Trump's control of the Republican Party is mystifying.

    On paper, a twice-impeached one term POTUS, under multiple civil and criminal investigations, who was the first since Hoover to achieve the dubious hat trick of losing his Party the White House, the House, and the Senate before being dumped by the American electorate at its first opportunity, is not the ideal to be picking nominees.

    It's akin to having a blind date with Jeffrey Dahmer, ignoring the menu, and telling the waiter,

    Screen Shot 2022-10-04 at 12.07.24 PM.png
    "I'll have whatever he's having."
     
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  9. perotista

    perotista Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I think Trump was/is much more interested in reeking revenge against his fellow Republicans who either didn’t fall in line with him or had a bad thought about him than winning in the general election. If it means replacing candidates with a decent chance of winning in November with his chosen candidates with little to no chance, Trump has done this. Trump isn’t interested in helping the GOP win in the general election, he’s out for revenge.


    With Biden’s overall job approval at 42%, this midterm should have resulted in a red wave. Trump has done all he could and is still doing everything he can to prevent that red wave. Trump is the biggest asset the Democrats have going for them this year.


    Here’s a list of presidents whose approval rating was around 40% for a midterm election. President, year, approval percentage, house, senate seats and governorships lost. Historical average for 4 presidents excluding Biden since his midterm hasn’t happened yet whose approval rating was hovering around 40%. Approval average, 39.25% house seats lost 48.5, senate seats lost 6, 4.25 governors lost.


    Biden 2022 43% ?????? projected loss of 12-14 house seats, gain of 1-2 senate seats, 3-4 governors as of 4 October

    Trump 2018 40% lost 44 house seats, 3 senate seats, 6 governors

    Obama 2010 42% lost 63 house seats, 6 senate seats, 4 governors

    G.W. Bush 2006 33% lost 33 house seats, 6 senate seats, 6 governors

    Bill Clinton 1994 42% lost 54 house seats, 9 senate seats, 1 governor


    Why Trump continues to rule the Republican Party is beyond me. It makes no electoral sense. I’m amazed that time and time again one can point out how much Trump is hurting the Republican Party in the upcoming midterm. That he’s personally responsible for the very poor showing of Republicans in this year’s upcoming midterm. Yet receive a staunch defense of Trump. Of wanting the GOP free of anyone who isn’t a Trump loyalist even if it means losing elections by the truck full. All I can say is most in the GOP are blind as a bat of the albatross Trump is around the Republican Party’s neck.
     
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  10. RoanokeIllinois

    RoanokeIllinois Banned Donor

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    after the midterms, he'll be doing a lot more celebrating.
     
  11. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    Looks like some of the Trump candidates that the Dems funded in their primaries are on their way to win the general. Thanks DNC!
     
  12. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    10/22/22 Update:

    RCP
    • GOP gain 29-30 seats
    • GOP gain 3 Senate seats
    • GOP gain 3 Governorships.
    Maybe Trump isn't the big Dem asset that some thought he was?
    • 'Democrats cheered when Republicans nominated Trump-backed Kari Lake for governor of Arizona.'
      • RCP projects she wins.
    • Democrats cheered when Republicans nominated Trump-backed Tudor Dixon for governor of Michigan.
      • RCP projects GOP win
    • Democrats cheered when Republicans nominated Trump-backed Joseph Lombardo for governor of Nevada.
      • RCP projects GOP win
    • Democrats cheered when Republicans nominated Trump-backed Tim Michels for governor of Wisconsin.
      • RCP projects GOP win.
    https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/governor/elections-map-rcp-projection.html
    He doesn't. Unlike Dems, the GOP base rules the party.
    If you are convinced your are right, and it turns out you are, you could make a killing at the betting markets because they are projecting a very good GOP election, and it's Biden who is the anchor around the neck of Democrats.
     
  13. perotista

    perotista Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    That’s good and may very well come true. The Republicans have regained the momentum at the end of September. I go by today’s numbers as in if the election were held today. Even I show movement toward the Republicans. But not as much as RCP. As new numbers become available, I recalibrate and update.


    Biden 2022 42% ?????? projected loss of 11-13 house seats, Senate stays at 50-50, Democrats gain 0-1 governors as of 22 October

    Trump 2018 40% lost 44 house seats, 3 senate seats, 6 governors

    Obama 2010 42% lost 63 house seats, 6 senate seats, 4 governors

    G.W. Bush 2006 33% lost 33 house seats, 6 senate seats, 6 governors

    Bill Clinton 1994 42% lost 54 house seats, 9 senate seats, 1 governor
     
  14. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    So the DNC spent $MILLIONS funding MAGA candidates through the primaries deliberately ensuring that the MAGA's beat the more moderate GOP choice and now a LOT of these MAGA candidates are in damn good shape going into the final 10 days.

    How do Dems feel about funding MAGA candidates, now?

    While the betting markets are still 70-30 "Half" Whitmer, Tudor Dixon is one hell of a candidate.

    PLEASE ENJOY THIS THREE-MINUTE MASTERCLASS IN DEALING WITH THE CORPORATE MEDIA FROM TUDOR DIXON, THE WOMAN WHO WOULD LIKE TO REPLACE "HALF" WHITMER:
     
    Last edited: Oct 29, 2022
  15. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    SHE REALLY NEEDS TO LOSE: "Half" Whitmer’s Wretched Record-Including Shutting Down Gun Stores-Has Michigan Governor Race Within the Margin of Error.

    Some Democrats seem rabbid as the election looms: It’s come to this: Wayne County’s GOP chair bitten by Dearborn teacher at Tudor Dixon rally.

    Some of these school teachers are frothing nuts.

    Half Whitmer has a lead in the RCP aggregate, but, their untested model is still calling for the lovely Ms. Dixon to win.

    [​IMG]

    The betting lines have this 72-28 for the Half Whit.
     
  16. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    :roflol:
    Imagine anybody taking BS RCP "Projections" Seriously...
    Totally LMAO!
     
    Last edited: Nov 14, 2022
  17. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    Last edited: Nov 15, 2022
  18. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    How did THAT work out?
     
    Last edited: Nov 15, 2022
  19. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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  20. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    You're welcome to go through them if you're interested. The GOP beat the R+1 on the generic ballot rather handily.
     
    Last edited: Nov 15, 2022
  21. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    :roflol:
    So WHAT???
    They won a bunch of Deep Red Districts by Landslides and CHOKED in the Races which really mattered...
    Yup! "Red Tsunami"!
    [​IMG]

    RCP
    • GOP gain 29-30 seats
    • GOP gain 3 Senate seats
    • GOP gain 3 Governorships
    [​IMG]
     
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  22. Zorro

    Zorro Well-Known Member

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    Well, we improved our vote total, gained seats, and we don't have some Dems burning down our cities.

    On to 12/6!

    Herschel looking for the goal line in OT!

    [​IMG]
    Here comes GA with everything on the line!
     
  23. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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  24. Andrew Jackson

    Andrew Jackson Well-Known Member

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    Hey Now and Natty Bumpo like this.
  25. Natty Bumpo

    Natty Bumpo Well-Known Member

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    The record is clear.

    The Cry Baby Loser has taken a magic dump on Georgia's GOP.

    His fulsome endorsements of Loeffler and Perdue are still wafting across the peachy state, as his projectile emissions on Kemp and Raffensperger also yielded impressive results.

    Whether the mendacious abortion promoter is similarly blessed remains to be seen.

    Meanwhile, his high-profile anointed ones such as Mehmet Oz, Doug Mastriano, Blake Masters, Tudor Dixon, and Kari Lake were copiously trumped on.

    Exit polls showed that only 58% of voters holding an unfavorable impression of the raging bull$hitter while a solid 39% say they view him favorably.
     
    Last edited: Nov 15, 2022
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