FivethirtyEight is now showing a 42.8% chance for GOP to win the house, 3.6% chance Dems to take the senate. With a prediction of Dems gaining +25 seats in the House and Reps gaining +2 in the Senate
Which is strange given the last 2 years, you think it would be going one way or the other. But, its also only about a 1/4 of the states so.
There is a chance Republicans keep Dems from a majority or even win it. The economic numbers are good at the moment, but it is probable a downturn resulting in a severe recession will happen in the next two years. That will then motivate the masses to swing blue, and that is really the cycle turning out in elections I am seeing.
FivethirtyEight is now showing a 45.5% chance for GOP to win the house, 3.3% chance Dems to take the senate. With a prediction of Dems gaining +25 seats in the House and Reps gaining +2 in the Senate
FivethirtyEight is now showing a 46.2% chance for GOP to win the house, 3.1% chance Dems to take the senate. With a prediction of Dems gaining +24 seats in the House and Reps gaining +2 in the Senate (crazy that it is so close to the +23 Dems need, gonna be an interesting night!)
FivethirtyEight is now showing a 38.7% chance for GOP to win the house, 5.3% chance Dems to take the senate. With a prediction of Dems gaining +26 seats in the House and Reps gaining +2 in the Senate
FivethirtyEight is now showing a 40.1% chance for GOP to win the house, 4.9% chance Dems to take the senate. With a prediction of Dems gaining +26 seats in the House and Reps gaining +2 in the Senate
So, let's say the Democrats get 23-26 seats. While they definitely have a slight majority, can you really call that a Blue Wave?
FivethirtyEight is now showing a 35.4% chance for GOP to win the house, 6.4% chance Dems to take the senate. With a prediction of Dems gaining +27 seats in the House and Reps gaining +2 in the Senate
So in the end, we are likely to have a 49/51% House and a 51/49% Senate. Why am I not surprised!!!! Love the interactive nature of it all now though, super fun to watch
They shut it down, lets wait until the final results come in for those races before odds are handed out.
Including myself. I just wish more people would stop acting like they are the moral arbiter and allow people to have a difference of opinion. When the voting consistently is 50/50, you have to understand that half the country disagrees with you. This is with both parties consistently trying to parrot on about how they are the better people for whatever reason. In the words of a dude this one time .... can't we all just get along?!?!
FivethirtyEight is now showing a 36.1% chance for GOP to win the house, 6.1% chance Dems to take the senate. With a prediction of Dems gaining +27 seats in the House and Reps gaining +2 in the Senate Gubernatorial Races Dems - 18 seats called Reps - 22 seats called
FivethirtyEight is now showing a 42.3% chance for GOP to win the house, (minimal)% chance Dems to take the senate. With a prediction of Dems gaining +25 seats in the House and Reps gaining +2 in the Senate Gubernatorial Races Dems - 18 seats called Reps - 22 seats called
https://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2018-election-results-coverage/ If someone wants me to **** I totally will, just having fun posting it as it changes and figured some people not watching the site would appreciate it. And having a record of its movement should be fun for later
FivethirtyEight is now showing a 42.7% chance for GOP to win the house, (minimal)% chance Dems to take the senate. With a prediction of Dems gaining +25 seats in the House and Reps gaining +3 in the Senate Gubernatorial Races Dems - 18 seats called Reps - 22 seats called
