Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Statistikhengst, Mar 14, 2020.

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  1. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Here are the US COVID-19 numbers for yesterday, for EOD 2020-02-024.

    Now, here are the US COVID-19 numbers for EOD 2020-02-025:

    2020-04-025 COVID-19 USA EOD 001.png
    2020-04-025 COVID-19 USA EOD 002.png
    2020-04-025 COVID-19 USA EOD 003.png

    We can see that yesterday, new cases were reported in 48 of 50 states (Wyoming and Alaska being the exceptions) and that new deaths were reported in 45 of 50 states. Interestingly enough, CO was one of the five states (alongside SD, WY, MT and AK) to report no deaths.

    More cases have been reported in Puerto Rico than in 7 states of the Union.

    Six states in the Union added more than +1,000 cases yesterday, while 4 states reported more than 100 new deaths. That is an important piece of data - it means that the states with less cases are starting to generally see an uptick in reported deaths. Without plugging in two consecutive tables and applying some simple math, I cannot tell you with the naked eye exactly which ones those are, but you can always click between this posting and the link at the top to the posting from one day ago to see for yourself.

    -Stat
     
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  2. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Thank you for establishing that you do NOT know any of the functions of the WHO organization.

    Have a nice day!
     
  3. Holubice

    Holubice Banned

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    India pop. 1.35B. : c19 deaths 780 = 1 death per 1,700,000


    This data is just astonishing. Especially if list it with the per capita number of deaths of countries like...

    Mexico
    Nigeria


    ... and all the other places that your elegant President Trump has called "a$$ %oles".

    Yes, the A$$ %oles, they are the only ones that, at the present time, they are very healthy, safe and sound...



    P.S.
    Please Stat, upload your magic Excel file of Deaths here...

    [​IMG]

    https://www.filedropper.com/


    ... than I will sort it (the proper and enlightening) and you finally will realize what is going on. Stat, stop to play with that TOY, and let play a bit also to your new friend Holubice...

    Thanks / 0.001



    P.S.
    Send me the link to that file, when you have uploaded (please, via MP). Had you also classical Latin studies...?

    Ubi maior minor cessat
     
    Last edited: Apr 26, 2020
  4. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Very good.
     
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  5. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Uhm..... you can do that yourself!

    You see, you go to the link.... and at the table, you can sort per category all on your own. See those light grey up and down arrows next to each category name? They allow you to sort what you want to see.

    Oh, and just for posterity: I am not your secretary. But should I become your secretary, I expect good pay!!!!

    PS: here's the link, Ragazzo:

    https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries
     
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  6. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    questioning emoji with hands scratching head and holding chin BANNER.png


    Why only whites?

    2020-04-026 NM Demographics.png

    Whites are a small minority in NM. Hispanics are the majority in the state. NM is the most lopsided minority-majority state in the Union.

    What about the other 72% of the residents of NM? Are they all migrants, or what??

    [​IMG]

    Now, as to the internal alcohol thingy, we could both run independent tests and then report the results here!!!
     
    Last edited: Apr 26, 2020
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  7. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    SOMETIMES YOU CAN SAVE TWO QUEENS AT ONCE

     
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  8. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Exactly as I have prognositicated a number of times on this thread and unfortunately, it's coming true.
     
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  9. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    The bolded, in red:

    well, duh, INDIA has barely tested. If you don't test, you cannot really know who is COVID-19 positive, nööööö

    The per capita numbers ONLY make sense in relation to the % amount of testing for that country.

    2020-04-026 testing.png

    India has only had 453 tests per 1 million people. That is LESS than a drop in the bucket. Mexico is almost as bad. Compare that to Germany, Italy, Spain, and yes, even to the USA.

    See how that works?


    (note to self: yepp, big, disfunctional family....)
     
    Last edited: Apr 26, 2020
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  10. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Let us never forget that the fines for violating the regulations regarding nursing homes have been reduced significantly from the prior administration levels in order to benefit the operators and to the detriment of the inhabitants.

    https://www.npr.org/sections/health...of-fines-for-health-violations-in-nursing-hom

    The vulnerable need the best protection and the government of We the People has a DUTY to our elderly to ensure that they receive the best care as opposed to the care that is most PROFITABLE.
     
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  11. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    @Bowerbird has started another extremely important thread in this sub-forum. It is so good, it has already been stickied, and that says something:

    COVID-19 Research, Drug trials and Pathophysiology
    http://www.politicalforum.com/index...earch-drug-trials-and-pathophysiology.571138/

    When you consider that the search for an effective vaccine is going to take time, also the ongoing search for the best therapeutics, keeping a thread to the raw, hard facts vis-a-vis peer review from people who actually do this stuff as their life's work, is a supremely good idea.

    [​IMG]
     
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  12. a better world

    a better world Well-Known Member

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    Turkey pop. 82m.: c19 deaths 2706 = 1 death per 30,000

    Mexico pop. 126m. : c19 deaths 1305 = 1 death per 96,000

    Nigeria pop. 206m: c19 deaths 35 = 1 death per 5.9 million!


    So: Spain pop. 46m. : c19 deaths 23,000 = 1 death per 2,000 pop. (approx.)
    Italy pop. 60m. : c19 deaths 26,000 = 1 death per 2,300
    UK pop. 66m. : c19 deaths 20,000 = 1 death per 3300
    Sweden pop. 10m. : c10 deaths 2000 = 1 death per 5000.
    US pop. 325m. : c19 deaths 53,000 = I death per 6000
    Germany pop. 83m. : c19 deaths 5800 = 1 death per 14,300
    Iran pop. 82m. : c19 deaths 5600 = 1 death per 14,600
    Canada pop 38m : c19 deaths 2645 = 1 death per 15,400
    Turkey …….…………………………= 1 death per 30,000
    Mexico...………………………………= 1 death per 96,500
    Russia pop. 144m. : c19 deaths 681 = 1 death per 210,000
    S.Korea pop. 52 m. : c19 deaths 242 = 1 death per 215,000
    NZ pop. 5m. : c19 deaths 18 = 1 death per 277,000
    China pop. 1.4B. : c19 deaths 4600 = 1 death per 304,000
    Australia pop. 25m. : c19 deaths 81 = 1 death per 308,000
    Japan pop. 126m. : c19 deaths 345 = 1 death per 365,000
    Indonesia pop. 268m. : c19 deaths 720 = 1 death per 372,000
    Singapore pop. 5.6m : c19 deaths 12 = 1 death per 467,000

    The only African nation I have counted: Nigeria = 1 death per 5.9 million.

    The west east divide remains, if we put Africa in the east....

    No doubt something very suspect with these figures in Africa, and poor east asia.

    btw Australia had 900 FLU cases last year, more than 10 times the covid19 toll so far this year....
    though the economy wasn't shut down, of course....
     
  13. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Ok, I'll admit, I was late noticing this thread. I may be slightly COVID-19 number-damaged, but my euphoria is just as genuine!!!
     
    Last edited: Apr 26, 2020
  14. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    The worst aspect of that crowd is that there are going to be asymptomatic carriers and those newly infected will probably be asymptomatic too and they will carry the virus far and wide when they return home. Since they all arrived by car they must all live within a day or so driving distance. Since you are at 4 corners that means at least 4 states.
     
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  15. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    How are states going to trace and track individuals who come and go between states? For instance a great many people WORK in Massachusetts and LIVE in New Hampshire.

    Washington DC has commuters from Virginia, Maryland and Deleware.

    The Tri State area includes commuters from NY, NJ and CT.

    Commuters travel both ways between PA and NJ.

    Various kinds of jobs require Consultants to travel from state to state to do their jobs. Some of them cover as many 5 or 6 states over the course of a year.

    No state has the ability to that kind of tracking and tracing WITHOUT the assistance of the Federal government.

    There is no mention of the Federal government providing any such assistance.

    In addition there is no mention of the Federal government providing the States with assistance to procure PPE's either.

    In summary it is a FEELGOOD "plan" that has ZERO substance that will ensure that it can work.
     
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  16. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Agreed!

    Never salt a burger until AFTER it is cooked. Another way to make home made burgers taste better is to dimple them in the middle while raw and then place them dimple side down to begin cooking. This ensures even cooking and juicier burgers.
     
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  17. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    The problem with all of these comparisons is that the reporting is inconsistent and therefore the comparisons are not comparing like to like.

    Data from Russia, India, Brazil, all of Africa and small impoverished nations everywhere is exceptionally unreliable.

    I would exclude them from these comparisons until we can be more certain that the data has more veracity.
     
  18. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Russia is reporting +6,361 new COVID-19 cases and 66 new deaths.

    What IS surprising is that Russia is claiming to have already performed 2,877,699 COVID-19 tests, the second highest number of tests, behind the USA and ahead of Germany.

    2020-04-026 COVID-19 MOD 001 Russia testingnumbers.png

    So, I checked out Russia's numbers from one week ago from yesterday, 04/18:

    [​IMG]

    This means that Russia performed 1,000,000 tests in a week. Of course, it's possible, but the question is, how did Russia get it's hands on so many tests all at once?
     
    Last edited: Apr 26, 2020
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  19. LoneStarGal

    LoneStarGal Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Thanks to @a_better_world for those numbers.

    Your comment on Sweden plus the data @a_better_world got me curious about city/county level comparisons since country-to-country comparisons have too many variables to be meaningful. We know that Stockholm has been hardest hit out of all of Sweden, so I looked at the top 3 counties in Sweden to compare their numbers, then just some of the U.S. numbers on top counties hit by # of cases, then the deaths in those counties. I threw in a couple from Germany for our @Statistikhengst.


    New York State pop 20m, deaths 17,571 = 1 death per 1,132 people

    New York City pop 8.4m, deaths 11,817 = 1 death per 711 people



    Highest # deaths after NYC is Detroit, MI area.

    Wayne County pop 2.1m, deaths 1,560 = 1 death per 1,346 people

    Oakland County pop 1.3m, deaths 612 = 1 death per 2,124 people

    Total Detroit area pop 3.4m, deaths 2,172 = 1 death per 1,565 people



    California

    Los Angeles County pop 9.6m, deaths 895 = 1 death per 10,726 people


    Texas (since I live here)

    Harris County (Houston) pop 4.7m, deaths 84 = 1 death per 559,523 people


    --

    Sweden

    Stockholm County pop 2.4m, deaths 1,208 = 1 death per 1,967 people

    Vastra Gotland County pop 1.6m, deaths 161 = 1 death per 10,037 people

    Oster Gotland County pop 457k, deaths 91 = 1 death per 5,000 people





    Germany (just for Stat)

    Bavaria County pop 13.1m, deaths 1,596 = 1 death per 8,193 people

    North Rhine-Westphalia pop 17.9m, 1,096 = 1 death per 16,343 people
     
  20. LoneStarGal

    LoneStarGal Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    You did state that SK "locked down" by highlighting my words about it being impossible to do a literal lockdown. Your response was that China and South Korea managed it. That's why I researched for myself whether or not South Korea "locked down" because that was not what I recalled. I was right...because I did my own research. Google is my friend.

    On an opinion forum, links are not required, but I do a lot of fact-checking of what other people write on my own instead of demanding that "someone who is just writing something" provide a link.

    You have a nice day too! :)

    :dual:

    upload_2020-4-26_8-8-45.png
     
  21. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    The ski resorts are closed since middle of March.
    Telluride is one of my neighboring counties and has very slow increase like my county.
    Around 1 or 2 people per week.
    Colorado was very steady with around 300 cases per day, from its peak April 8.
    Our governor was even looking to reopen slowly and we were to get new guidelines this week end, how to manage crowds and so on in our businesses.
    4 to 5 days fits the pattern of the virus
     
  22. LoneStarGal

    LoneStarGal Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I'm fairly convinced that wearing face masks make a huge difference and masks are "normal" in the east, but getting people to wear them in the west is like pulling teeth.

    We probably could have saved a lot of time and money if we'd just suggested that people wear bandanas, or any other face covering. They didn't want to do that because masks were already in shortage for healthcare people and they didn't want the general public to make a run on masks the way we hoarded toilet paper.

    This is a visual of the spit droplets which we can't see with the naked eye, but are visible with a laser light. The louder a person talks, the more droplets. Talk about surface contamination and things people are touching! A face cover stops the droplets almost completely.

     
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  23. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Yes, but it is National Forest and they are open.
     
  24. LoneStarGal

    LoneStarGal Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I know ski season is earlier, but an infection can start in a community weeks before the first document case and longer for the first death, since deaths are relatively rare compared to infections, particularly with the growing suspicion of how very common asymptomatic cases are.

    Anyway to the original point, if Telluride ski traffic tourism didn't produce an outbreak, I doubt a few people protesting or buddies hanging out a your bike trail wouldn't be any larger (or smaller) risk. It is still "icky" though watching anybody not wearing masks and not social distancing these days. That really should stop.
     
  25. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Very wrong, 2 beers per day, the first and the last.
     
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