Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Stay safe. We can beat this virus if we persist. ... from Langley, BC. My wife and I decided to hold out in Canada rather than the U.S. (dual citizens).

 

A lot of people will never take a cruise anywhere. It could be years before the industry has a strong comeback.

We're not Uncle Sugar now.

 

The virus can survive for 72 hours on a stainless steel surface.
But research published this week in The New England Journal of Medicine found that SARS-CoV-2 can still survive for hours and in some cases days, outside a host, depending on the type of surface it's on.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/science/2020-03-20/how-long-does-coronavirus-last-on-surfaces/12074330

 

And now we know, just two weeks later, he isn't.

 

The most important word in what Merkel said " since WWII ".
Modern Germany has never been tested as it is tested today.

 

*1,009,727*
+79,088 cases today over yesterday​

So, at end of my day, 11:56 PM on April 2nd, 2020 (GMT +2), the COVID-19 numbers:



Today, we sailed over the 1,000,000 mark. Very, very sobering.

But by far most critical thing from today's data, absolutely inescapable, is once again the marked rise in the death rate, to 5.23%. (It was 5.03% yesterday at EOD)

The Excel-Table back to 02/27 (you will notice, the table now fills up the entire screenshot, soon I will need 2 to cover the table):



In the raw numbers, there were somewhat more new cases today over yesterday (+79,088) as compared to yesterday over the day before (+76,450). The somewhat good news is that as the pie overall grows larger, these numbers actually represent a smaller growth rate. So, for the third day in a row, we saw total COVID-19 cases growth rate under 10% (8.50%, yesterday it was 8.95%), which, over time, would definitely flatten an exponential curve.

In terms of deaths: 52,855 total, +6,081 today over yesterday, making for a 13.00% growth rate (yesterday: 11.33%), is not good. The growth rate of deaths from today to yesterday once again outpaced the growth rate of COVID-19 cases added to the sum total.

The % of recovered people actually ticked upward very slightly, from 20.82% yesterday to 20.99% at EOD today.

And per country, first per total cases, in descending numerical order:



There are now 52 nations in the "thousand club", with UAE and Croatia crossing over the 1,000 line today. Of those 52, 14 are in the "10,000 club" and 3 of them are at 100,000 or more (USA, Italy, Spain). Today, Germany surpassed China's COVID-19 case total. Algeria, Slovenia, Ukraine, Egypt and Estonia are up next to cross the 1,000 line, either tomorrow or Friday.

And here, per new deaths today, in descending numerical order. France had by far the most deaths today:



At the end of the day, France reported 1,355 deaths just for today, a horrifying first, with a country recording more than 1,000 deaths just in one day.

Soon, we will be jumping more than 100,000 cases and more than 10,000 deaths per day. WE MUST FLATTEN THE CURVE.

-Stat

 

Your point is well taken and I am glad you brought it up. Only, it only works if the entire world behaves as SK has behaved. THAT'S the point.

 

Yes, and all on the stage should distance themselves from each other when they gather to speak to the public. We could decapitate the Administration at a critical point in the fight against COVID-19.

 

Before I go to bed, here a very good candidate for the next Darwin Award: INDIA

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_pandemic_in_India#Testing

India: almost 1.4 BILLION people.

Number of COVID-19 tests administered to date: 55,851



Yepp, that's it. Less than 66,000 tests in a land with 1,380,000,000 people.

If you don't test, you cannot combat the virus.

All I can say is: when the virus really hits in India, it's going to be OHHHHHHHHHH SHIIIIIIT.

 

Actually, "we" would not be doing it. The administration would be decapitating itself; I would say that that is not a desired outcome.

 

Yes, and he shouldn’t pick on Mutti!

 

Go, good night, PFers. Stay safe. Stay healthy.

 

This news is depressing. Thank you for continue to do what you have been doing.

 

Yes, but the particles start to die within minutes. If you have a big "glob" from a nasty sneeze, they'll live longer. If you have a little "spray", there are fewer particles and they'll die out faster. The more time that elapses, they'll find more dead cells and fewer live cells.

We need to act almost as if every surface has a toxic load until after we're on the downside of the peak, particularly the elderly and immuno-compromised. Still, the most likely way to get a big "load" of viral particles and get infected is with close person-to-person contact.

I was just reading an interesting article on viral "dose". Getting a small exposure for a healthy person builds herd immunity and makes them more resilient if they later encounter a large, direct load. The article notes that a small exposure will likely result in mild or asymptomatic cases, whereas, if someone carrying a high load sneezes in your face you'll more likely to become very ill.

I'm not saying we need to let our guard down, but there is more information and knowledge every day. Information overload!

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/01/opinion/coronavirus-viral-dose.html

 

Stat,

That French number is somewhat misleading. To this point France hadn't been counting deaths outside hospitals in the death figures. This was a particular issue with nursing homes, which have had a significant number of deaths. From what I understand France has simply reported all those nursing home deaths in one day's figures, though they actually happened over many weeks. This means there weren't over 1000 deaths in a day. Likely there were more than the previous day, but nowhere near that number. Look to tomorrow's figures for a better idea.

 

Thanks for sharing. A good illustration that the majority of those ending up in ICU have preexisting conditions and on a per-person basis, you are much less likely to end up there if you have none. Although the fact that ~22.7% of those ending up in the ICU (using those numbers) have no preexisting conditions is worrisome.

 

So my idiot governor (Florida,) just wrote an order invalidating any local order that prevented churches from holding services. So.... yay? SMH - I guess he 's not a science nor math fan. He's not up for election for another two years. It's going to get very bumpy down here.

 

Something that occurred to me if that the reporting on new cases might be brushing up against a bit of an artificial bottleneck created by the access/willingness to test.

I know of covidtracking.com for tracking the number of tests conducted (and the breakdown of those tests) for the US, but is there another source for global testing information?

 

I read that article on modelling earlier today too. Definitely, the model should motivate us to act, and in turn our actions (or inaction) drive the outcome of the model. It's not about whatever model anyone wants to use. It's about us.

And yes, when this is over, we'll hear that the administration overreacted and trashed the economy for no reason. I'll give that more than two weeks though. I'm going with two months.

 

I'm getting so sick and tired of the noise from the idiots... projections are always wrong, they tell you it's going to rain and it doesn't rain.... they have no idea what they are doing - they are just trying to scare us to compliance. GRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR. (Throw in a primal scream in there as well.)

 

It isn't even about the full range of the models and whether we met it or not. We went full Soviet in response to the virus. Never go full Soviet lol. This has opened up a lot of eyes to government abuse on a mass scale.

 

I concur, forecasts help you figure out how to plan your day. It's never perfect(and yes I do make that joke) but I make that Joke knowingly. If they say 80% chance of rain, I'm taking my umbrella. If they say only 10%, I'm planning as if it doesn't rain.

 

People have to take personal responsibility....and choose not to go to the hopefully few churches which may decide to hold services in person. I think most pastors/ministers/priests are wise enough to cancel their services. That faith healer guy may stay open, but unless he's got the entire congregation brainwashed like some creepy cult, most reasonable people should see that he's put them at risk and won't show up.

We can hope...and pray....alone, in our own homes.