Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

So, positive or negative curious minds wanna know.

 

Trump did indeed downplay the coronavirus, but it didn't hinder his response(now, whether his response was enough is a separate manner, but he did respond.)

The point is, Trump isn't this big bad devil people want to make him out to be because they hate him on a personal level.

 

The personal protective gear that was in dangerously short supply during the early weeks of the coronavirus crisis in the U.S. is running low again as the virus resumes its rapid spread and the number of hospitalized patients climbs.
https://time.com/5863776/personal-protective-gear-shortage-us/

 

Well, I'm not actually trying to win.

You aren't taking this disease seriously, so I responded sarcastically. All you have done to "contribute" is downplay the pandemic, call people liars, and blame anyone with a (D) next to their name.

 

This post has started to makes its rounds and I feel like it is a really useful tool to help explain the problem of this virus even if it "only" kills 1%.

 

Everyone needs to wear a mask when they go out, be cautious of others and if we work together we can make the best of this situation. We don't need the government, we just need to cooperate with each other.

 

But it takes just a few Morons who refuse to do so and it will not work. But one can help with some humor.

I have a long time customer, nice enough guy, always good for some old fashion hard core jokes, we do his laundry, once a week, just minimum charge. He never wanted to put on a mask. I did not make a big deal out of it because all he did drop off,2 minutes in the store. But it annoyed some of my customers.
I know he is a Trumper, so I found him a Trump mask.
Next time he picked up I gave him his present and told him to wear it when he comes in. He laughed so hard, he had teats in his eyes and put it on. He knows that I am the opposite of a Trumper and have very little respect for the guy.
Now he wears the mask every time, because he knows it might annoy me seeing Trump on it.

Humor is very healthy and can bring people together to do the right thing.

 

Love this. Your creativity has been evidence throughout this monster thread.

 

This is the problem. It's so easy.

Doctors, nurses, soldiers are subject to wearing masks all day, often in much worse conditions than the average Walmart. What's 15 minutes?

Florida is a raging fire, now. We've put restrictions back on the boy. It is not easy keeping a 21-year old with Aspberger's, tied down. Let the meltdowns begin!!

I'm heading out tomorrow to get the freezer and pantry full again.

Sigh. All we need is a teeny tiny amount of cooperation.

 

Have you tried pick up?
We tried it the other day and I'm not sure I'll ever go back to walking every isle.
Make a list on the computer machine so you can remember what you forgot next time.

 

Yes, lots of us have gone over to the delivery option.

 

Aldis has a delivery service, and it's totally convenient.

 

Yes, we use Shipt & Uber Eats quite a lot, but I've been trying to get out at least once every two weeks, because I have agoraphobic tendencies. If I don't get out, I get stuck in my head.

I did the first eight weeks without going out at all, counting on 100% delivery.

 

Time for the Weekly Update to my State Rankings Project. Note the date because I track from Sunday to Sunday, so this report comes from 07/12. You can find last week's post here: http://politicalforum.com/index.php...-in-the-world.569531/page-438#post-1071842522

I made no changes to the type of data provided. First up are the data with the States ranked according to their Mortality rate. PREPARE YOURSELF FOR THE WALL OF TEXT.











In terms of MORTALITY, Connecticut has claimed the top spot for six weeks in a row. When it took over the top spot, it's mortality rate was 9.259% and this week, six weeks later, the mortality rate is almost exactly the same at 9.195%. The only other minor change to the top 10 is Pennsylvannia switched places with Massachusetts. On the opposite end, Utah has had the lowest mortality rate in America for seven weeks in a row.
Interesting Note: Again, the thing that stands out to me this week is just how consistent some States's mortality has been for multiple weeks in a row with Connecticut and Utah holding down the top spot and the bottom spot, respectively, with virtually unchanged mortality rate for that entire time.

CASES (PC) DIFF RANKINGS show that Arizona, Florida, Louisiana, South Carolina, and Texas are the top five States in terms of seeing their Cases, per capita, grow the most. The range being 3,399.05 to 2,209.721. The five slowest States are Montana, Hawaii, New Hampshire, Maine, and Vermont. The range being 141.55 to 75.08.
Interesting Note: The case counts in Arizona, which has lead this category six weeks in a row, continues to accelerate. Florida, South Carolina, and Louisiana are also repeat top-fivers. And Texas has just barely managed to overtake Wisconsin to be a top 5 in this category.

CASES (PC) GROWTH RANKINGS show that Idaho, Florida, Alaska, Texas, and West Virginia are the top five States in terms of seeing their Cases grow, as a percentage, the most. The range being 42.54% to 28.97%. On the opposite end are Rhode Island, Massachusetts, Connecticut, New York, and New Jersey. The range being 1.89% to 1.09%.
Interesting Note: Idaho's growth percentage accelerated from 32.78% two weeks ago to 38.56% last week and then accelerated again this week to grow by 42.54%. It thus took over the #1 position in this category from Florida which saw its case numbers grow by a "measely" 34.83%. Texas is also a repeat top fiver for this category. The bottom five are the same for three weeks in a row, albeit with a slightly different order.

DEATHS (PC) DIFF RANKINGS show that Arizona, Mississippi, New Jersey, South Carolina, and Louisiana are the top five States in terms of seeing their Deaths, per capita, grow the most. The range being 141.07 to 27.47. On the opposite end are West Virginia, Nebraska, Hawaii, Vermont, and North Dakota. The range being 1.11 to -14.47. (Vermont has gone zero new deaths in nearly a month, and Hawaii went another week without a death).
Interesting Note: North Dakota is really weird. They dropped their death count by 10 on July 2nd, raised it by 11 on July 4th and then dropped it by 11 on July 8th. No ideas.

DEATHS (PC) GROWTH RANKINGS show that Montana, Arizona, Texas, South Carolina, and Utah are the top five States in terms of seeing their Deaths, as a percentage, grow the most. The range being 26.09% to 16.85%. On the opposite end are New York, Connecticut, Hawaii, Vermont, and North Dakota. The range being 0.3% to -12.36%.
Interesting Note: While Montana ranks ahead of Arizona in this category, Arizona saw enough raw Deaths, per Capita, than the rest of the top 8 combined.

MORTALITY DIFF RANKINGS show that Montana, New Jersey, South Dakota, New Hampshire, and Maine are the top five States to see their Mortality go up the most. The range being 0.153% to 0.029%. On the opposite end are Ohio, Missouri, North Dakota, West Virginia, and Louisiana. The range being -0.431% to -0.668%.
Interesting Note: Again, like last week, there are only six States who saw their mortality increase during the last week with New Jersey and South Dakota being the only two repeaters.

TESTING (POSITIVE %) DIFF RANKINGS show that Rhode Island, Florida, Arizona, Idaho, and Texas are the top five States in terms of seeing their Percentage of Positive Test increase the most. The range being 3.62% to 1.23%. On the opposite end are Massachusetts, New York, Connecticut, New Jersey, and District of Columbia. The range being -0.678% to -1.34%.
Interesting Note: In regards to Rhode Island's positive testing percentage rising so much in one week, it has to do with the fact that they finally stopped reporting the results of the same person being tested more than once. District of Columbia because it has shaved nearly 10.5% from the positive testing percentage in the last five weeks. Unfortunately, the number of States to see their positive testing percentage increase went to 30. Five weeks ago, it was only 10.

TESTS PER 100K DIFF RANKINGS show that District of Columbia, Alaska, Louisiana, New York and California are the top five States to see their Tests Per 100K increase the most. The range being 3,300.16 to 1,836.36. On the opposite end are Colorado, New Hampshire, Hawaii, Indiana, and Oregon. The range being 726.58 to 285.64.
Interesting Note: Again, District of Columbia deserves a lot of credit for reacting to their high infection rate by tremendously ramping up testing and reducing their testing percentage. I am still disappointed in Oregon for increasing their testing at such a slow amount despite seeing its testing positive rate increasing for at least the third week in a row. Also, Rhode Island would actually be the lowest on this point because of their difference in how to report their test results. They actually dropped by -7975.3 tests per 100K.

TESTS PER 100K GROWTH RANKINGS show that Idaho, District of Columbia, Alaska, Florida, and Texas are the top five States to see their tests, as a percentage, increase. The range being 20.14% to 16.99%. On the opposite end are Rhode Island, North Dakota, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, and South Dakota. The range being 8.87% to 6.48%.
Interesting Note: Idaho continues to grow its testing rate at a roughly 20% per week clip and the Dakotas continue to show up in the bottom of this list. All of the States, and there are even more this week, that saw their positive testing percentage increase this past week need to immediately and dramatically increase their testing further.

 

@ronv Here is a follow up on your requested information on Tennessee. Here is the data that I have.




Tennessee's Current Rankings (note: This is using Covidtracking.com data, as of Monday, and the rankings includes the US territories)
Cases: 22nd (9,152 cases per million)
Deaths: 37th (109.4 deaths per million)
Mortality: 49th (1.196%)
Testing Positive Percentage: 32nd (6.086%)
Tests Per 100K Rankings: 12th (15,037 tests per 100K)

On the whole, you can see that Tennessee has had a fairly good response to this virus thus far. But the number of cases are currently spiking, with Monday being its new high mark for single day cases, and the deaths are rising slightly higher as well.

Over the course of the last month (06/14 - 07/12), here are Tennessee's rankings (for example, 13th is the 13th most for that category) based on the other categories that I track:
Cases Diff: 13th (+4,657 cases per capita)
Cases Growth: 15th (+203.6%)
Deaths Difference: 26th (+39.29 deaths per capita)
Deaths Growth: 5th (+56%)
Mortality Change: 19th (-0.365% decrease)
Testing Positive % Difference: 16th (+1.14%)
Tests Per 100K Difference: 12th (+5,949.7 tests per 100K)
Tests Per 100K Growth: 30th (+65.47%)

Over the course of the last week (07/05 - 07/12), here are Tennessee's rankings based on those same categories:

Cases Diff: 13th (+1,555.2 cases per capita)
Cases Growth: 16th (20.47%)
Deaths Difference: 15th (+14.03 deaths per capita)
Deaths Diff: 6th (+14.7%)
Mortality Change: 13th (-0.060%)
Testing Positive % Difference: 17th (+0.347%)
Tests Per 100K Difference: 9th (+1,799.8 tests per 100K)
Tests Per 100K Growth: 22nd (+13.6%)

I don't see a whole lot of difference in terms of the trend lines for those sets of categories over the last month as compared to the last week. Tennessee is pretty much in the top 15 in terms of case growth. Deaths are a little more complicated because their total deaths, per capita, has accelerated from 26th to 15th, but the percentage of growth was pretty much the exact same, going from the 5th most to the 6th most percentile growth. I do see a clear acceleration to their testing, going from the 12th largest raw increase of tests per 100K and the 30th largest percentile increase of tests per 100K to the 9th and 22nd, respectively, over the last week.

If you have any other questions, please let me know.

 

Positive ticked up slightly.

I made another chart with the number of tests and the number of cases on the same chart.
Gives you some idea why people are getting a little excited about the increasing case counts.

Keep in mind these numbers are from the peak of positives back in April.



A few better days in California.

 

After looking more at your data, I'm starting to think we have 4 or 6 hotspots and almost everywhere getting a little worse.
Is that how you see it?

 

I have started, like you, to use the testing positive percentage as my metric for gauging whether a State is improving or declining. Specifically, I pay attention to whether that number is increasing or decreasing each week. The fact that 30 States saw their testing positive percentage increase over the past week, on the top of the fact that the total number of States which has seen their positive testing percentage continues to increase each week (case in point, only 10 states saw their testing percentage rise about 5 weeks ago), means the country as a whole is in a bad way.

So, in a nutshell, what you said is probably true. I would say that the Northeast is doing well though. The highest that any Northeastern State ranks on the testing positive percentage change rankings is New Hampshire at 42nd.

 

Looks like I missed a click for California.


It would sure be nice to see them turn it around.

 

I think your right. When you consider how bad the Northeast was and how good it is now, it doesn't bode well for the rest of the country.

 

My lone hope is that the medical professionals have gotten slightly better at handling and treating the virus such that we are unlikely to re-visit the same highs in terms of daily deaths. But I can only be about 40% confident in that one because, at some point, it doesn't matter how good is your doctor if he doesn't have the resources or energy to properly treat you.

And this is only slightly related to our conversation, but I wanted to leave it here to help find it later.

 

They are HIGHLY EFFECTIVE mitigation efforts in ALL of the other nations where the LEADERSHIP is UNIFIED when it comes to dealing with a healthcare CRISIS that know NO political boundaries.

Unfortunately your INCOMPETENT Divider-in-Chief doesn't understand the OBVIOUS and FAILED to even ATTEMPT to unite our nation when the Pandemic crisis arrived which was HIS job and his ALONE! His ONGOING failure is WHY the virus is now OUT of CONTROL nationwide.

Facts matter!

 

Worth noting that the COMBINED population of the tri-state area of NY, NJ and CT is only slightly more than the population of TX. The big difference is that in the tri-state area everything was concentrated on NYC whereas it is more distributed across multiple cities in TX.

That said the virus has had more time to spread across the entire state of TX and there has very little in they way of serious mitigation efforts. They do have the benefit of better knowledge as to how to treat the patients and better drugs however those drugs are running out and without staff to administer them and monitor patients they are going to be in a similar situation to the tri-state area. Compound that with the fact that TX has maxed out hospital beds already, something that never happened in NYC, that means more patients receiving DELAYED treatment or NONE at all.

The worst part of this is that it is entirely SELF-INFLICTED in Texas!

They COULD have AVOIDED this scenario.

They CHOSE to IGNORE the threat and behave as if it wasn't their problem.

Well NOW it is their problem and they are LEARNING this LESSON the HARD way.

Americans eventually do the RIGHT thing but ONLY after they have TRIED and FAILED doing all of the WRONG things first.

Sad!

 

The ROLE of the Federal government is LEADERSHIP in a national CRISIS!

There has been ZERO leadership from the Covidiot-in-Chief!

Instead there has only been DIVISION and OBSTRUCTION and DISINFORMATION.

That is CRIMINAL because it has cost We the People tens of thousands of LIVES that could have been SAVED!

 

Yup, opted for that right at the beginning and it works well IMO.