Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Friday, 2020-05-001 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT)​

HERE the entire posting for EOD the day before, Thursday, 2020-04-030 (EOD GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT). Also in quote form:

During the run of the day on 2020-04-030, there were one intermittent report:
USA EOD report 2020-04-030, posted 2020-05-001 16:43 GMT +2, #7633.

And now, the COVID-19 statistics from Friday, 2020-05-001, EOD GMT +0:

***3,398,473***
+94,256 cases today over yesterday.
239,448 COVID-19 deaths worldwide.
1,897 Americans died from COVID-19 today, a decrease from the day before.
​

We saw +94,253 new cases today, as compared to yesterday over the day before (+86,037), 8,216 more cases than the day before, the fourth day that cases have grown without wild swings back and forth and the most daily cases 2020-04-024. The growth rate was 2.85%. Yesterday, the growth rate was 2.67%.

In terms of deaths: 239,448 total, +5,618 today over yesterday, making for a 2.40% growth rate (yesterday: 2.54%). The growth rate in the number of daily deaths has swung wildly back and forth. The death steadied at 7.05%. The day before, it was: 7.08%.

The % of recovered people rose from 31.45% yesterday to 31.78%.

The countries with the most new cases:​

Currently, and unsurprisingly, the USA leads with the most new cases and has been doing so for a long time, but Russia is now no. 2 and closing fast. This time, Brasil is in third place. On 2020-05-001, 16 nations added more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases. The day before, it was 14.

The countries with the most new daily deaths:
​

The USA lead in deaths and the report from 2020-05-001 shows that somewhat less US deaths were reported than the day before.

11 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (the day before, it was 12). Sweden dropped +100 deaths per day.

Total deaths per country, descending:​

There are now TWENTY-TWO nations with over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date, with Ecuador and Portugal having crossed the 1,000 deaths marker (yesterday, there were 20). There are 53 nations with 100 total deaths or more (yesterday, there were also 53).

New: Total Tests administered per country, descending:​

This listing (top 27 or so) may surprise some people. As you can see, 8 nations have administered more than 1 million tests, respectively. Yesterday, UK went over 1 million tests and joined the other 7 nations already over that mark. India will soon join that category.

The UAE, a nation with only 9.9 million residents, but one of the very richest nations in the world, has tested more than 1.2 million people and therefore has by far the highest "tests per 1 million population" number.

And now, on to the more expansive listing:

Total cases per country, descending (500 cases or above):​

There are now 88 nations in the "thousand club, with Senegal having crossed over the 1,000 line. Tunisia, Cyprus, Latvia and Honduras are up next to cross the 1,000 line in the next days.

Of those 88, 37 are in the "10,000 club. Denmark will be next. Further, 8 of those 35 are at 100,000 or more (USA, Spain, Italy, France, Germany, the UK, Turkey and Russia). With the sudden, rapid increase in cases Brasil is likely to cross the 100,000 line either on 2020-05-002 or 003. And Iran will follow not long thereafter.

To put these numbers into perspective:​

1.) the current number of confirmed COVID-19 cases worldwide (3.98 million) = between the populations of the entire states of UTAH and CONNECTICUT (USA), also the population of Bekasi (Indonesia).

2.) the current number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the USA (1.13 million) = just over the population of the entire state of MONTANA (USA), also exactly the population of Islamabad (Pakistan).

3.) The current number of people who are still sick with COVID-19 (2.08 million) = the population of the entire state NEW MEXIDO (USA), also slightly less than the population of Brussels (Belgium).

4.) The current number of people who have recovered from COVID-19 (1.08 million) = larger than the entire population San Jose, CA (USA), or slightly more than the population of Aba (Nigeris). This is how big these numbers have become.

5.) The current number of deaths from COVID-19 (239,400) = very close to the the populations of Boise, ID or Fremont, CA (USA) or the population of Krefeld (Germany), Blackpool (UK) or Kimki (Russia).


Facit: The world landed at just under 3.4 million mark in COVID-19 cases. The number of daily deaths was more than the day before.

The USA is marching toward well over 100,000 COVID-19 deaths by the end of May, 2020, possibly over 122,000.

Russia continues the extreme rapid ascent of total testing and COVID-19 positive cases. So is Brasil, which appears to have come out of nowhere.

The world-wide curve is logistical and therefore, perhaps manageable. The very low growth rate in total cases is a good sign. Let's all hope it stays this way.

-Stat

 

I am not very happy about CO data. The stay at home worked, as long as the weather was crappy. We were down to 300 case per day. Than we got unusual warm and dry weather and the stay at home broke down and you see that in the numbers. 80s in April is very, very unusual. With the lifting of stay at home, my area returned to normal traffic. The towns are very busy. We will see the results and I would not be surprised if new cases go over 500 per day.

 

You are seriously claiming that the Red Chinese Communist Party did not cover up the coronavirus ??

 

The lessons are clear. Protect the nursing homes and the elderly. Those with serious preconditions should take extra precautions. Healthy individuals should get on with their lives including work and play to increase herd immunity.

 

As to the constitutionality, which I do understand, 3 months in the data is showing this is NOT the emergency we were told it was. The fear-mongering successfully stampeded governors into making very poor, and likely illegitimate, policy decisions.

 

None were tested, and that is just a few dozen people. It demonstrates how incomplete the data was that formed executive decisions in the states. Garbage in = garbage out.

 

Nonresponsive, vague not surprised. I've posted maybe ~10 interviews with "experts" (I prefer "scientists" because MSM and bureaucrat "experts" are often full of **** as most Complex-LW are) in many posts across several threads.

Just a few posts up in this very thread I linked the Clown Car WHO agreeing with the Swedish mitigation model this week, guess you missed that. I'm sure it was an honest mistake.

It gets really tiring posting studies, interviews, data, etc., have them utterly ignored by our regular LW partisans, and then stuff like the above over and over. You aren't fooling anyone. That's why you lose, lose some more and are going to keep losing.

 

I was doing some research for another thread that I started and I came across this article about the extent of the problem in rural America.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/04/08/us/coronavirus-rural-america-cases.html

The drop off in deaths in NYC is being replaced by deaths all across rural America.

The problem being that in those rural areas there is a lack of hospitals, beds and ICU's which means that some people who could have been saved are dying instead.

Had there been strict lockdowns, containment, tracking and tracing from the outset this could have been avoided.

The FAILURE of leadership at the outset is taking a very heavy toll in lives.

It saddens me to see this happening to people who trusted that they would be protected and instead have had their trust betr

 

Arn't you clever, you've added the adjective "Communist" and the noun "party" to go with your other adjective "red". Good boy!

Now why don't you explain how Trump would have done anything different when and whatever China said? Trump did nothing for weeks except say if was just the flu which will just disappear in a few days even while Italy was being ravaged by the virus. You are delusional

 

Another thing they do is keep repeating a death toll over and over and over hoping that the average reader/dupe for the fear porn doesn't realize that we live in a country of 320,000,000 people who are dying of various things every day by the thousands. You don't know what "lagging indicator" means, not surprised. Last sentence is just more vague, fear mongering conjecture, not surprised.

 

Yes, and once the fire burns through taking the weak and unfortunate, it will subside, just as they have done since the beginning of human life.

Jared Diamond wrote an excellent book years ago entitled Guns, Germs and Steel.

Germs have ALWAYS played a role in human relations.

Engaging in fear mongering and convincing us that Covid is the end of the world or an existential threat to mankind will lead only, already has, to very poor public policy decisions.

 

I'm betting that by the end of May the Swedes will be getting the last laugh.

 

Didn't say all red tape was bad but everyone knows in government and large corporation there is unneccesary redta

LOL more pompous bs from you. You misstated it and now are backtracking like Michael Jackson. You said what they died from in that instant is what they died from, which simply isn't true as has been pointed out. Our opinions are apparently almost the same... now yet you continue with your passive aggressive statements like, let me say this really slow. I will play along, I've praised you for this thread but most are observing when you are challenged you resort to childish BS as if you actually believe you are smartest kid in the room. All in all, I'm glad you actually agree that a heart attack due to covid can be listed as a Covid death which is the opposite of what you originally said regardless of how intelligent you believe all your statements are.

 

So, above, you see the COVID-19 numbers for Thursday, 2020-04-030 in the USA. (EOD = GMT +0)

Here the COVID-19 numbers for Friday, 2020-05-001 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0):

NEW: COVID-19 in the USA - Excel-table for nationwide statistics back to 2020-02-027:​

This is the first day to include the excel-table for the USA (I have been doing this for the worldwide stats for a long time, now).

As you can see, by EOD on 2020-05-001, we were at 1,131,030 (1.13 million) cases, 36,007 total deaths, of which 1,897 were reported on that day. 161,563 people have recovered, leaving 903,714 people still listed as sick to one degree or another.

If you look at the daily deaths in column G, you will see that the USA has suffered more than 2,000 deaths per day on 8 of the last 11 days.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total cases, descending:​

45 out of 50 states have over 1,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases. 20 of those 45 have more than 10,000 cases.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, new daily cases, descending:​

A record breaking 13 states reported over +1,000 new cases on 2020-05-001. The day before, it was 6. 49 out of 50 states reported at least 1 new case, the exception being Montana.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, top 25, total tests administered, descending:​

I thought it would be a good idea to get a feel for where the most tests are taking place within the USA. You can see for yourself.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, new daily deaths, descending:​

What we can see at a glance is that there were somewhat less total deaths in the USA on 2020-04-030. NJ lead in the number of daily deaths, over NY, and that for the second day in a row.

5 states reported more than +100 daily deaths, just as the day before. The total daily deaths went just under 2,000, which is cause to rejoice. I only hope that the cycle does not spring upward again.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total deaths, descending:​

14 states in the Union now have a total of more than 1,000 COVID-19 deaths, with Ohio having crossed over the 1,000 line.

On 2020-04-028, over two postings, I extrapolated that if we "only" had +1,400 US deaths per day until the end of May, 2020, then we would reach over 103,000 dead Americans at that time, before the summer even begins . In the three days since and including 2020-04-028, we came in between +800-1000 over that "only" On the fourth (2020-05-001), we came in +500 over the extrapolated sum. Here might be a good time to look at that new excel table again:




So, instead of "only" 5,600 extrapolated deaths (1,400 * 4 = 5,600) over four days (2020-04-028, 2020-04-029, 2020-04-030, 2020-05-001), we had 8,956 actual deaths (2,469 + 2,390 + 2,200 + 1,897 = 8,956), 3,356 over the extrapolation. Were absolutely no deaths to be reported today (2020-05-021) and tomorrow (2020-05-003) in the USA (that would be a great thing) and only 844 deaths reported on 2020-05-004, we would still be exactly on track to go over 103,000 deaths in the USA by the end of May. This simple math is horrifyingly unassailable. And it is unreasonable to think that the deaths are simply going to stop. Look at the current number of active cases in the USA: 903,714. At least 2-3% of those cases are people who are in serious condition. That' between 18,074-27,111 people who are closer to death than to life right now. So, the extrapolation exercise is there to keep up sober in our thinking about what lies ahead.


Let's see what Saturday brings.

-Stat

 

So, I tried. STRIKE 3. Bye bye

 

Another pass at Georgia. I tried to pretty it up for @Curious Always but I'm not artistic.

When I saw the big jump I thought I should look a little closer. I found a big jump in the number of tests, so number of cases would be misleading. So I added a percent positive line to make it more meaningful.

 

What do you think Red means ?? The Red Chinese Communist Party (which is just an attempt at sanitizing the totalitarian dictatorship that China actually is) runs the country.

What do you think our medical experts would have done differently ?? They were the ones deceived as they have repeatedly pointed out.

 

They decided - deliberately - to put themselves and others in danger, because they probably think there is no virus or it can't hit them.
They decided - deliberately - to threaten other people. Those are nazi tactics, right there.

So, putting aside the fact that they brandished weapons at police officers, which, had they (the "protesters") had a color of skin other than white, would probably have meant that cops would have shot them in the heads and been done with it (but that is a topic for another thread, nööööö), because they literally invaded the space of others and inhaled and exhaled and screamed and all that jazz, the cops should have sprayed them all with an indelible pink spray that stays on your skin for about 30 days, so that if those goons were to end up at a hospital, they would be refused treatment or would have to be willing to pay the full price, up front. That would be fair. You broke it, you bought it.

And then, for people they may have infected, should it be proven, they should be sued into the ground.

The people behind the scenes who are organizing these astro-turfed Nürnberg rallies are not doing America a favor. This is not making America great in any way.

 

It's disgusting.

 

Gallup would make an interesting case study for a small town.

Gallup is on the famous Route 66 and is the largest town between Flagstaff, AZ and Albequerque, NM. It is small but would be a stopping point for travelers to get gas, snacks, etc.

Gallup has a WalMart (wow, a WalMart!). "Gallup is a hub for basic household supplies, liquor sales and water-container refills for people living in remote stretches of the Navajo Nation." https://www.yahoo.com/news/mexico-takes-more-drastic-measures-040803455.html

Gallup is the medical hub which serves the Navajo and Zuni reservations. "Navajo Nation President Jonathan Nez is expecting COVID-19 cases to peak sometime in the first half of May. Since the Gallup area serves as a medical hub for residents from the Navajo and Zuni reservations, the bed donation is expected to be especially helpful to tribal members hit by the pandemic." http://gallupsun.com/index.php?opti...-comes-together&catid=150:sun-news&Itemid=600

Gallup has one of the highest crime rates in the entire country, mainly due to the number of thefts. This may seem out of context, but what do people do with things they steal? They sell or pawn them for cash, often to satisfy drug or alcohol addictions which they cannot afford otherwise.

The breakout in Gallup started in a alcohol/drug detox center and spread among the homeless. "Federal health officials have linked the severity of the problem in Gallup to an early outbreak at a detox center that was followed by infections among homeless people and nursing homes. Homeless residents who contracted COVID-19 were being offered temporary shelter at four motels at the expense of the state to isolate them and slow the spread of the virus." Who is most susceptible to this virus contagion and spread? Those living in group communal housing, followed by people compromised with other medical conditions (like liver cirrhosis from drugs/alcohol).

So, yes, a small town without a dense population of residents, can become a hub for the virus simply by being the hub of commerce and healthcare for tens of thousands of nonresidents, especially when the region has a particularly high rate of "other conditions", namely liver disease caused by alcoholism in this case.

 

I think the Colorado death chart suffers from the same problem as the Georgia charts.

https://covidtracking.com/data/state/colorado

 

Only if they have similar epidemic "ingredients" to Gallup, which is fairly unique in the country.

 

Propaganda Alert!

If there are "ginormous" holes in the story, perhaps you'll enlighten us as to what they are.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/gallup-new-mexico-riot-control-act-roads-closed-coronavirus/

https://apnews.com/95e72d5449bc3265da4b83b174865033

https://www.cnn.com/2020/05/01/us/new-mexico-town-lockdown-coronavirus-trnd/index.html

https://www.foxnews.com/politics/new-mexico-governor-orders-roads-closed-gallup-stop-coronavirus-spread

 

Correct. For every country, but especially for the USA at current, take a look at the current "active" cases within the confirmed cases; "active" is nice burocratic-speak for people who are still sick.

Across the world, the % of those active cases that are seriously ill is between 2-6%. I am taking an educated stab and saying that at least 3% of the 903,000 current active cases in the USA are people who are far closer to death than to life. That's 27,000 out of the current crop of sick people.

First when the number (and %) of people who are recovered is decidedly higher than the active cases can we even consider breathing easier. Right now, both numbers are still rising.

 

The U.S. has also prioritized testing on reservations of the indigenous populations, so the number of tests per capita is similar to the big city hotspots. More tests; more cases.