Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

In the last hour or so, the world went over the 8 million mark, I noted it between appointments. Russia's figures pushed us over the 8-million line:



Assuming that yesterday's numbers stay exactly as they are (see: posting directly above this one), then we have already jumped +23,576 C19 cases over 2020-06-014 and in most of the world, the day is just beginning, if at all.

.Stat

 

HERE the entire posting for EOD the day before.

During the run of the day on 2020-06-014, there were some other analyses of size:
Future Upperdecks #1 and #2: the halfway point, posted 2020-06-014, 09:39, #10104.
USA EOD report for 2020-06-013, posted 2020-06-014, 14:54 GMT +2, #10111.

To confirm this quick analysis or to sort the date as you wish, use the following links to work the table on your own:
- the WORLDOMETER website for today, or
- the WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future. In order to to that, search for one day later than you want, then use the "yesterday" function at the top their large excel table. On some days, WORLDOMETER also provides a "2 days ago" function as well, which is the case today.

COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Sunday, 2020-06-014 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):​

*******7,984,067*******
+124,188 cases today over yesterday.
There are 122 nations with at least 100 COVID-19 cases.
There have now been 435,181 COVID-19 deaths worldwide.
598 Brazilians, 424 Mexicans, 331 Americans and 321 Indians died from COVID-19 on this day.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
​

The weekly average in daily cases shot up from +122,868 the week before to +128,838 per day this last week. Just one month ago, the weekly average was: +88,730.

Here you can compare this Sunday to the last four before. It's the second Sunday in a row to show more than +100,000 C-19 cases. We have now see 14 straight days of +100,000 or more new C-19 cases per day and you can extend that statistic out to 18 out of that last 19 days, save 2020-05-031.

Just seven days before this Sunday, we crossed over the 7 million mark. Just hours after this Sunday ended, we crossed over the 8 million mark, will be noted in the analysis for 2020-06-015.

The weekly average in daily deaths went down from +4,483 the week before to +4,300 deaths per day this last week.

The number of deaths from this Sunday closely track to the two Sundays prior.

Total cases per country, descending (countries circa +200 C19 cases and above):
​

In terms of total cases per country, there are now 122 nations in the "thousand club". At 983, 980 and 961, respectively, Cyprus, Niger and Jordan are next up to cross over the 1,000 line.

Of those 122, 60 are now in the "10,000 club", with the Czech Republic having crossed over the 10,000 line on 2020-06-014.

16 of those 60 are now at 100,000 or more. At 98,787, Canada is up next. However, Canada's daily case load has slowed down considerably, a very hopeful sign for that nation. Bangladesh has now jumped over China and at a rate of about +3,000 new cases per daily, will probably go over the 100,000 mark in 4, maximum 5 days, perhaps before Canada, even.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:



The USA lead in new cases over Brazil, and with India, all three had more than +10,000 new cases apiece. This has been going on for days now.

64 countries had +100 or more new cases, 1/3 of all nations in the world. The day before, it was 63. Of those 64, 20 countries had +1000 or more new cases. The day before, it was 21. If you look at the list of top cases, you will see that they come from all over the world, but the Europe is the least represented on that upper list.

In terms of total deaths per country, descending, there are now 77 nations with 100 total deaths or more, with Oman going over the 100 line on 2020-06-014. That is more than 1/3 of all nations on the Earth. At 88, 87 and 84 total deaths respectively, Somalia, Mauritania and Cuba are next to cross over the line.

Of those 76, 32 nations now have over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date. Currently at 972 deaths, Saudi Arabia will soon cross over the 1,000 deaths line. There are now 11 nations between 500-1000 total deaths and you can be guaranteed that by the end of this month, most, if not all of them will have gone over this gruesome marker.

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:



Brasil, Mexico, the USA and India lead with the most deaths.

If you look back at the major European hotspot countries from March/April/part of May, none of them posted over +100 daily deaths . Italy, UK, France, Germany and Spain had +44, +36, +9, +3 and 0, respectively. Yes, you read that correctly: on 2020-06-014, Spain recorded ZERO C19 deaths, and for the seventh day in a row! There can be no doubt that the wave that hit Europe is receding.

8 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (it was 10 the day before). 5 of those 8 countries are from the Americas.

I would just like to remind about this series I have running, for which there will be large analysis at the end of June, 2020:

"Future Upperdecks" Series, #1: Ethiopia, Central African Republic, Mauritania and Malawi, posted 2020-05-030, 19:00 GMT +2, #9612.
And "Future Upperdecks" Series, #2 (7 other nations). It's all explained at the links. A halfway-point update was just released:

Future Upperdecks #1 and #2: the halfway point, posted 2020-06-014, 09:39, #10104.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country, 22 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece:



The USA has now performed 24.8 million tests (500,000 thousand more than the day before) while Russia has performed 14.9 million tests (300,000 more than the day before). Brazil, which is now rank 2 among all nations in terms of COVID-19 infections and in terms of total deaths, has performed 1.5 million such tests.

Facit: on 2020-06-014, the world sailed to just under 8 million total C19 cases. We are easily on our way to 10 million confirmed C19 cases by the end of June 2020.

Now at 117,858 total deaths, the USA has long surpassed a gruesome milestone in our world's history, one that no country should ever reach. A new extrapolation indicated 266,000 total US deaths by the end of this year is now currently running.

Brazil, currently at 43,389 total deaths and growing around 1,000 deaths per day, overtook the UK in number of total deaths on 2020-06-012 and is now rank 2 among the C19 dead, behing the USA.

The world-wide curve has generally flattened, which was the primary goal of mitigation. The steady rise in the growth rate in total cases is, however, not a good sign. The question now is: how long will the plateau last? Let's see what the planned testing of the entire cities of Wuhan (China) and Los Angeles (USA) bring.

Editorial comment (I am gonna leave this here for a while): my gut tells me that we are going to see one or more very unpleasant surprises in this month as concerns COVID-19: either a massive rise in cases and deaths where we were not looking, or something new about the illness itself that we had not known before, something that will make going into the summer of 2020 (in the Northern Hemisphere) even more difficult. I am feeling this deep down in my bones. I have a very, very bad feeling about this month.


-Stat

 

Time for the Weekly Update to my State Rankings Project. You can find last week's post here: http://politicalforum.com/index.php...-in-the-world.569531/page-395#post-1071764286

I made no changes to the type of data provided. First up are the data with the States ranked according to their Mortality rate.











In terms of Mortality, the only change is that Arizona continues to drop in the rankings. They had the highest mortality rate for the longest time and that changed last week when they dropped to second. This week they have dropped further to 5th. The other members of the top 10 are the same and can be found in the same order.
Interesting Note: Arizona dropping by another 1.32% this week is really tremendous. That means they have shaved roughly 4% from their mortality rate over the span of three weeks. I would be curious to learn if it is because they are seeing their confirmed case count spiking right now or if they started with such a high mortality rate because the early deaths were disproportionately higher because of a coupe of specific attacks on vulnerable populations (i.e. nursing homes).

Cases (PC) Diff rankings show that the Wisconsin, Arizona, Alabama, Arkansas, and South Carolina are the top five States in terms of seeing their Cases, per capita, grow the most. The range being 1474.54 to 886.9. The five slowest States are Oregon, Vermont, West Virginia, Montana, and Hawaii. The range being 135.77 to 32.21.
Interesting Note: Wisconsin and Arizona, for the second week in a row, are #1 and #2 respectively and both grew faster than last week. The fact that four of the top five fastest growing States are in the South bodes very poorly for the theory that this virus will die out in summer.

Cases (PC) Growth Rankings show that Arizona, Arkansas, South Carolina, Alabama, and Wisconsin are the top five States in terms of seeing their Cases grow, as a percentage, the most. The range being 32.73% to 24.12%. On the opposite end are Michigan, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Jersey, and New York. The range being 2.55% to 1.38%.
Interesting Note: Again, Arizona is number #1 in this category with the growth rate percentage wise being roughly equal to last week. Arkansas and Wisconsin also make a repeat appearance in the top five of this category. Similarly, New Jersey and New York are #49 and #50 respectively, again, this week.

Deaths (PC) Diff Rankings show that Rhode Island, New Jersey, Arizona, Illinois and Massachusetts are the top five States in terms of seeing their Deaths, per capita, grow the most. The range being 57.71 to 44.62. On the opposite end are Puerto Rico, Montana, Maine, Hawaii, and Vermont. The range being 0.94 to 0.00. (Hawaii and Vermont saw zero new deaths).
Interesting Note: Rhode Island, New Jersey, Massachusetts and Arizona make their appearance in the top five for the 2nd week in a row (For MA, NJ, and RI, that makes three weeks in a row). Again, Hawaii manages to show itself as a true success story in the US given that it has shown zero new deaths for nearly six weeks.

Deaths (PC) Growth Rankings show that Alaska, Arkansas, South Dakota, Nebraska and Utah are the top five States in terms of seeing their Deaths, as a percentage, grow the most. The range being 20.0% to 14.88%. On the opposite end are Michigan, New York, Maine, Vermont, and Hawaii. The range being 2.05% to 0.0%.
Interesting Note: The top five in this category reflects the fact that small changes in the death count for states with very few deaths can mean large shifts appear on the relative percentage side. These five States saw a grand total of 42 more deaths, per capita (about the same as Massachusetts saw in one week).

Mortality Diff Rankings show that New Hampshire, Illinois, Rhode Island, New Jersey and Massachusetts are the top five States to see their Mortality go up the most. The range being 0.363% to 0.147%. On the opposite end are Louisiana, Oklahoma, Puerto Rico, South Carolina and Arizona. The range being -0.392% to -1.323%.
Interesting Note: As I previously noted (again), Arizona seeing it's mortality drop so much is really standout, but it is probably the result of seeing its infection count increase so much. The mortality rate in New Hampshire and Rhode Island continue to increase at the fastest rate in the country for the third week in a row.

Testing (Positive %) Diff Rankings show that South Carolina, Arizona, Alabama, Mississippi, and Arkansas are the top five States in terms of seeing their Percentage of Positive Test increase the most. The range being 1.562% to 0.465%. On the opposite end are Virginia, Delaware, New Jersey, District of Columbia, and New York. The range being -1.722% to -2.075%.
Interesting Note: New York and New Jersey continue to demonstrate that they are getting a better handle on identifying all of their positive cases by seeing their positive testing percentage drop at the fastest rates for the 3rd week in a row. On a bright side, it is only the top 10 States which saw their positive testing percentage increase at all compared to last week.

Tests Per 100K Diff show that New York, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Louisiana, and District of Columbia are the top five States to see their Tests Per 100K increase the most. The range being 2245.54 to 1577.09. On the opposite end are Hawaii, Oregon, Idaho, Mississippi, and South Carolina. The range being 441.33 to 206.08.
Interesting Note: New York continues to affirm itself as one of the greatest States in the Country in terms of their response to the virus. It hit them the hardest, but they continue to prove that this virus is beatable if you try really, really, really ****ing hard.

Tests Per 100K Growth show that Montana, Vermont, Virginia, Tennessee, and Arkansas the top five States to see their tests, as a percentage, increase. The range being 24.33% to 22.91%. On the opposite end are Hawaii, Massachusetts, North Dakota, Mississippi, and South Carolina. The range being 11.59% to 4.40%.
Interesting Note: There is a lot of turnover in this category (only Arkansas remained in the top five and Massachusetts remained in the bottom five). Expect South Carolina to see its testing ramp up over the next week or two given that their case count and positive testing percentage are spiking while their testing growth rate (over the last week) remains the absolute worst in the country.

 

HERE the COVID-19 USA numbers for the day before.

And now:

COVID-19 USA statistics EOD Report for Sunday, 2020-06-014 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0):

**2,162,228**
+20,004 cases today over the day before.
117,858 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA.
331 Americans died from COVID-19 on this day, the smallest daily death toll since 2020-03-026.
870,050 people have recovered, 1,174,320 are, however, still sick.​

In order to confirm my quick analysis, please go directly to the WORLDOMETER website today or to the WAYBACK MACHINE after today. If you use the wayback machine after today, search for one day later than the date you want, then use the "yesterday" function at the top their large excel table. This way, you have more control over what you want to see and when you want to see it.

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

From the screenshot, you can compare this Sunday to the last two Sundays. The daily new cases from this Sunday were very much in-line with the last two Sundays.

The weekly average in daily C-19 cases dropped from +24,326 per day the week before to +22,111 per day this last week, an encouraging sign, and at a time where worldwide, we are going in the opposite direction.

The very best news is that the daily deaths on this Sunday were under +1,000 and for the second Sunday in a row. This means that we finally had a week from last Monday until yesterday (2020-06-014) with only one single day at +1,000 daily deaths. You have to go all the way back to the last 2 weeks in March to find daily death figures somewhat close to these. Also, the US was not the leader in daily deaths across the world in 2020-06-014, but rather, rank 3, behind both Brazil and Mexico.

The weekly average in daily deaths dropped once again, from +985 new deaths per day three weeks ago to +896 deaths per day two weeks ago, to +770 deaths per day this last week. If you look at my extrapolation at the bottom of this analysis....you will see that I selected an average of +700 deaths per day until the end of the year. If this downward trend continues, and by G-d, we want it to continue, then that extrapolation explodes, which would cause me to delight.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total confirmed cases, descending:
​

Total confirmed C-19 cases:​

47 out of 50 states have over 1,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases. At 728 or less C19 cases, it will be a while before Hawaii, Alaska and Montana cross over this line, but I am very sure that in the fullness of time, they will.

36 of those 46 now have more than +10,000 cases, but with "Veterans affairs" (16,998 ) and the US Military (11,439) also having more than 10,000 cases, it's then actually 38, with Veterans Affairs at really rank 28 and US military personnel at rank 35. DC (9,767) and New Mexico (9,723) will shortly also cross that gruesome line.

New daily cases:​

45 states reported at least one new case. The five states with no new reported cases: ID, OR, KY, KS and RI.
32 states reported more than +100 new cases; the day before, it was 34.
6 of those 33 states reported over +1,000 new cases:



I think those numbers speak very clearly for themselves. CA has been leading the pack in daily new cases - and often with well over +3,000 cases - and so I expect that soon, daily deaths in CA will also rise. For the first time ever, AL reported more than +1,000 C-19 cases,

Look how far down that top 26 list the states of MA and PA are...

New daily deaths:​

I think this is the most important category when looking to see where other hotspots are emerging and since deaths lag behind new cases, the two rankings are often not the same.

33 of 50 states (+DC = 34) reported at least one death. The day before, it was 36.

Of those 44, 0 states reported more than 100 daily deaths, and that for the NINTH day in a row. This means that the deaths are being more evenly spread throughout the Republic.

Total deaths:
​

41 states now have at least 100 total deaths. That's more than 4/5 of the nation in terms of numbers of US states. In terms of population, it's far more than that. At 88, 87, 75 and 74 total deaths respectively, WV, ID and both Dakotas will soon cross over that marker.

Of those 40, 21 states in the Union now have a total of more than +1,000 COVID-19 deaths.


FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 117,858 US deaths from COVID-19. To make this easier to visualize, here is the listing of US-American cities with a projected 2020 population of between roughly 117,000-126,000:



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of more than ALL of INDEPENDENCE, never to get it back again. Think about that.

NEW EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-06-001)​

What happens if, on the average, instead of 1,400 dead per day (which was the extrapolation from 2020-04-028 through 2020-05-031), let's take 1/2 of that, "just" 700 dead per day every day from the beginning of June, 2020, until the end of this year?

This extrapolation is now up and running, you can find it at the online excel table (you'll find the logistical tab easily). I will do a report on this once a month, on the first day of the month, but you can check in on the numbers as often as you like to see if we really are on our way to 266,000 total US COVID-19 deaths, or not.

So, some dates to keep in mind. If this trends as I think it may, averaging at some point in time, +700 deaths per day, then we would likely reach the following milemarkers:

150,000 deaths on or around 2020-08-002.
200,000 deaths on or around 2020-10-013.
250,000 deaths on or around 2020-12-023.

Mitigate. Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the new extrapolation, which started on June 1st, 2020, to happen. Right now, we are 1,863 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation, which puts us slightly over 2.5 days ahead of the projection.

-Stat

 

Where things stand now...




While the original problem may have been testing, we've moved on to other issues--opening up too soon with Trump pressuring governors to do the wrong thing, Trump discouraging and politicizing the use of masks, and the antiracism protests.

 

Yeap protesting, rioting and looting has taken it's tole. Businesses openening can't touch millions and millions protesting and rioting over a weeks time.

 

I just got an email from the doctor's practice where I took the COVID-19 antibody test and the info they shared in this email is incredibly positive. Here a screenshot of the part I think is the most relevant:



What I underlined in blue: As of 2020-06-008, the actual number of people still infected with C19 in Bonn (population: 330,000) was 26 and in the outlying Rhein-Sieg area (population: 600,000), 24. So, in a metropolitan and suburban area just under 1,000,000 people, there are all of just 60 active C-19 cases left. Also, the practice says that for the last five weeks, they were not able to diagnose even one single person with an acute C19 infection. "Nachweisen" in this case means to prove, as in, via a test. "hohe Dunkelziffer" means a high-number of unreported cases and here the practice wrote that even if the number of presumed unreported cases in NRW were to be 5 times higher than we thought, this would still mean that only 1 out of 3,500 residents would be contagious. So, the chances of getting infected where I live, very close to the first cluster in NRW, is now extremely low. WOW.

Germany is beating the hell out of COVID-19. It's working!

Here the entire email, in German, should any of you want to use Google Translate to see some other interesting information:

@gnoib - jawohl, wenn Mutti spricht, dann hört sie Nation gebannt zu....

 

Jup, rather well done Mutti/Germany.
My home State and home Town looks equally very good

 

According to the NFL network, a number of pro football players in TX have tested positive for COVID-19.
No names were given (privacy issues)

 

Imagine this: a small (population: 2.9 million, just about the same as the state of Kansas in the USA) country, Quatar, the country with the highest per capita wealth of any country in the world, is just about to jump over China (pop: 1.4 BILLION) in the total number of C19 cases.

Currently:

 

Dallas Cowboys, they have over 5 cases confirmed.

 

We don't know how much any one thing has added to the transmission. There are way, way more people protesting than rioting, but many of those protesting aren't keeping their distance or wearing masks. As well, a lot of people asserting their "rights" aren't wearing masks, either.

Depends upon the business. Clubs are a potential disaster. Anyone for a cruise?

 

Mutti rocks!

 

Both Germany and Italy are staying down below 1% positives. The US clings to the 5% mark.
With the large Northeast cities in remission there must be a lot of small outbreaks holding the number up.

The Georgia canary is still singing.

But it looks like the Florida one is a little sick.

I think I heard on the tube tonight that the Miami mayor was stopping the relaxing of restrictions.

 

The numbers themselves aren't that much, but it's the percentage that counts. This trend will be repeated across the country. And Trump is holding a rally this weekend.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
GULFPORT, Miss. (WLOX) - It’s not just Monday’s one-day spike in positive COVID-19 cases, but the whole month of June that is causing concern.

The rise in cases follows in sequence behind a relaxation of coronavirus precautions state-wide.

“We have had more positives in the first ten days in June than we had the entire month of May,” said Matt Walker, VP of Clinic Operations at Memorial Hospital at Gulfport (MHG). “We will most likely triple or quadruple our positives in the month of June compared to May.”

“To some extent, I was afraid this was going to happen when we opened up the state,” said Dr. Jesse Penico, infectious disease specialist at MHG. “I would have rather been wrong, I’d have rather we were all wrong, but it did happen.”

Penico said the numbers are not simply a function of testing more people. He said his greater concern was that the rate of positive tests was so high.

 

Just noticed that South Africa was ranked 8th in New Daily Cases right behind Mexico and at that rate it means that it will pass China in total cases in 3 or 4 days from now.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/south-africa/



As the nation with the most testing in Africa this could mean that the continent is about to follow the pattern of the rest of the world even if we do not have the data for the other countries.

 

I don't think anybody at a park in open air can catch this virus standing a few feet apart from anyone else.

There is not a single proven case where this has ever happened.

The hardest hit spots are always large cities with lots of people living in enclosed buildings with poor ventilation.

 

I'm very good friends with several from S. Africa now Americans, they're home country has been on extreme government order lockdown for months yet it's still sky rocketing.

 

HERE the entire posting for EOD the day before.

During the run of the day on 2020-06-015, there were some other analyses of size:
Preliminary numbers wordwide, USA Brazil for 2020-06-014, posted 2020-06-015, posted 10:29 GMT +2, #10125.
The world goes over 8 million COVID-19 cases, posted 2020-06-015, 10:34 GMT +2, #10126.
USA EOD report for 2020-06-014, posted 2020-06-015, 18:20 GMT +2, #10129.

To confirm this quick analysis or to sort the date as you wish, use the following links to work the table on your own:
- the WORLDOMETER website for today, or
- the WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future. In order to to that, search for one day later than you want, then use the "yesterday" function at the top their large excel table. On some days, WORLDOMETER also provides a "2 days ago" function as well, which is the case today.

COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Monday, 2020-06-015 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):​

********8,108,667********
The world goes over 8 MILLION confirmed COVID-19 infections.
+124,600 cases today over yesterday.
There are 122 nations with at least 100 COVID-19 cases.
There have now been 438,596 COVID-19 deaths worldwide.
729 Brazilians, 425 Americans, 395 Indians and 269 Mexicans died from COVID-19 on this day.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
​

The weekly average in daily cases for the week before was +128,838 per day.

Here you can compare this Monday to the last four before. It's the third Monday in a row to show more than +100,000 C-19 cases. We have now seen 15 straight days of +100,000 or more new C-19 cases per day and you can extend that statistic out to 19 out of that last 20 days, save 2020-05-031.

We went from 7 million to 8 million cases in 8 days. We ended this day already past 8.1 million and will sprint through the week above last weeks daily average, I assume.

The weekly average in daily deaths for the week before was +4,300 deaths per day.

The number of deaths from this Monday closely track to three of the four Mondays prior.

Total cases per country, descending (countries circa +200 C19 cases and above):
​

122-61-16-1​

In terms of total cases per country, there are now 122 nations in the "thousand club". At 985, 980 and 970, respectively, Cyprus, Niger and Jordan are next up to cross over the 1,000 line.

Of those 122, 61 nations are now in the "10,000 club", with Azerbaijan having crossed over the 10,000 line on 2020-06-015.

16 of those 61 nation are now at 100,000 or more. At 99,147, Canada is up next. However, Canada's daily case load has slowed down considerably, a very hopeful sign for that nation. Bangladesh has now jumped over China and at a rate of about +3,000 new cases per daily, will probably go over the 100,000 mark in 3, maximum 4 days, perhaps before Canada, even.

Of those 16, 1 nation is in the "1,000,000" club: the USA. However, shortly, Brazil will join the USA.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:

69-21​

The USA lead in new cases over Brazil, and with India, all three had more than +10,000 new cases apiece. This has been going on for days now.

A record-setting 69 countries had +100 or more new cases, 1/3 of all nations in the world. The day before, it was 64. Of those 68, 21 countries had +1000 or more new cases. The day before, it was 20. The big (and very unpleasant) surprise is that the small nation of Cameroon is one of those 21 nations. Having added +1,183 C19 cases in one day, this means that Cameroon's growth rate from 2020-06-014 to 2020-06-015 was: +13.63%. If you look at the list of top cases, you will see that they come from all over the world, but the Europe is the least represented on that upper list.

77-33-7-1​

In terms of total deaths per country, descending, there are now 77 nations with 100 total deaths or more. That is more than 1/3 of all nations on the Earth. At 91, 88 and 84 total deaths respectively, Mauritania, Somalia and Cuba are next to cross over the line.

Of those 76, 33 nations now have over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date, with Saudi Arabia having crossed over the 1,000 deaths line on 2020-06-015. There are now 10 nations between 500-1000 total deaths and you can be guaranteed that by the end of this month, most of them will have gone over this gruesome marker.

Of those 33, there are now 7 nations with over +10,000 total COVID-19 deaths to date. At 9,915, India will cross over the 10,000 line today, 2020-06-016.

And finally, of those 7, 1 nation has over +100,000 total COVID-19 deaths, completely dwarfing all other nations on the planet: the USA.

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:



Brasil, USA, India and Mexico lead with the most deaths.

If you look back at the major European hotspot countries from March/April/part of May, none of them posted over +100 daily deaths . UK, France, Italy Germany and Spain had +38, +29, +26, +15 and 0, respectively. Yes, you read that correctly: on 2020-06-015, Spain recorded ZERO C19 deaths, and for the eighth day in a row! There can be no doubt that the wave that hit Europe is receding.

7 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (it was 8 the day before). 4 of those 7 countries are from the Americas.

I would just like to remind about this series I have running, for which there will be large analysis at the end of June, 2020:

"Future Upperdecks" Series, #1: Ethiopia, Central African Republic, Mauritania and Malawi, posted 2020-05-030, 19:00 GMT +2, #9612.
And "Future Upperdecks" Series, #2 (7 other nations). It's all explained at the links. A halfway-point update was just released:

Future Upperdecks #1 and #2: the halfway point, posted 2020-06-014, 09:39, #10104.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country, 22 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece:



The USA has now performed 25.3 million tests (600,000 thousand more than the day before) while Russia has performed 15.2 million tests (300,000 more than the day before). Brazil, which is now rank 2 among all nations in terms of COVID-19 infections and in terms of total deaths, has performed 1.6 million such tests.

Facit: on 2020-06-015, the world sailed over 8 and 8.1 million total C19 cases. We are easily on our way to 10 million confirmed C19 cases by the end of June 2020.

Now at 118,283 total deaths, the USA has long surpassed a gruesome milestone in our world's history, one that no country should ever reach. A new extrapolation indicated 266,000 total US deaths by the end of this year is now currently running. Brazil, currently at 44,118 total deaths and growing around 1,000 deaths per day, overtook the UK in number of total deaths on 2020-06-012 and is now rank 2 among the C19 dead, behing the USA.

The world-wide curve has generally flattened, which was the primary goal of mitigation. That being said, new hotspots are verifiably emerging.


-Stat

 

That is because they are ACTIVELY TESTING the population in South Africa and FINDING the cases of Covid19.

Here in America we have STATES that are NOT TESTING and yet their HOSPITALIZATION rates are sky rocketing.

All that a lockdown accomplishes is to FLATTEN the CURVE so that the medical system is NOT overwhelmed with cases. They have achieved that goal and now they dealing with the Pandemic in a controlled manner because they KNOW where the cases are and they are using TRACKING and TRACING and QUARANTINE to keep it under control.

There is virtually no tracking, tracing and quarantine going on in America and our ONGOING daily new cases indicate that we are NOT coping well with the Pandemic. States are reporting that their ICU's are maxing out.

Granted we are doing better than Brazil but that is not saying much at all. South Africa, from what the data indicates, is doing a whole lot better at dealing with the Pandemic from a PROACTIVE point of view that has been successful in other nations. However it remains to be seen as to whether that will remain the case now that they have reopened their economy again. I wish them luck and hope that they prevail for the sake of everyone living there especially given that they lack the resources that we have.

 

HERE the COVID-19 USA numbers for the day before.

And now:

COVID-19 USA statistics EOD Report for Monday, 2020-06-015 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0):

**2,182,950**
+20,722 cases today over the day before.
118,283 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA.
425 Americans died from COVID-19 on this day, the smallest daily death toll since 2020-03-026.
889,866 people have recovered, 1,174,801 are, however, still sick.​

In order to confirm my quick analysis, please go directly to the WORLDOMETER website today or to the WAYBACK MACHINE after today. If you use the wayback machine after today, search for one day later than the date you want, then use the "yesterday" function at the top their large excel table. This way, you have more control over what you want to see and when you want to see it.

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

From the screenshot, you can compare this Monday to the last four Mondays. The daily new cases from this Monday were very much in line with the last 4 Mondays.

The weekly average in daily C-19 cases from last week was +22,111 per day.

The weekly average in daily deaths from last week was +770 deaths per day.

Best news so far? The low death number for Monday, lower than the three-digit numbers the 3 Mondays before.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total confirmed cases, descending:
​

Total confirmed C-19 cases:​

47 out of 50 states have over 1,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases. At 736 or less C19 cases, it will be a while before Hawaii, Alaska and Montana cross over this line, but I am very sure that in the fullness of time, they will.

36 of those 47 now have more than +10,000 cases, but with "Veterans affairs" (17,155) and the US Military (12,152) also having more than 10,000 cases, it's then actually 38, with Veterans Affairs at really rank 28 and US military personnel at rank 35. New Mexico (9,845) and DC (9,799) New Mexico (9,845) will shortly also cross that gruesome line. There was a sharp uptick in C-19 cases in the US Military.

New daily cases:​

50 states reported at least one new case.
36 states reported more than +100 new cases; the day before, it was 32. Minnesota was one of the states under +100, a positive sign for that state.
4 of those 36 states reported over +1,000 new cases:



I think those numbers speak very clearly for themselves. CA has been leading the pack in daily new cases - and often with well over +3,000 cases - and so I expect that soon, daily deaths in CA will also rise. In 4 days time, more than 4,000 Arizonans have tested positive for C19 - the per capita rate is actually higher in AZ than it was at the peak in NY.

New daily deaths:​

I think this is the most important category when looking to see where other hotspots are emerging and since deaths lag behind new cases, the two rankings are often not the same.

38 of 50 states reported at least one death. The day before, it was 33.

Of those 38, 0 states reported more than 100 daily deaths, and that for the TENTH day in a row. This means that the deaths are being more evenly spread throughout the Republic.

Total deaths:
​

41 states now have at least 100 total deaths. That's more than 4/5 of the nation in terms of numbers of US states. In terms of population, it's far more than that. At 88, 88, 75 and 74 total deaths respectively, WV, ID and both Dakotas will soon cross over that marker.

Of those 40, 21 states in the Union now have a total of more than +1,000 COVID-19 deaths.


FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 118,283 US deaths from COVID-19. To make this easier to visualize, here is the listing of US-American cities with a projected 2020 population of between roughly 117,000-126,000:



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of more than ALL of BEAUMONT, never to get it back again. Think about that.

NEW EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-06-001)​

What happens if, on the average, instead of 1,400 dead per day (which was the extrapolation from 2020-04-028 through 2020-05-031), let's take 1/2 of that, "just" 700 dead per day every day from the beginning of June, 2020, until the end of this year?

This extrapolation is now up and running, you can find it at the online excel table (you'll find the logistical tab easily). I will do a report on this once a month, on the first day of the month, but you can check in on the numbers as often as you like to see if we really are on our way to 266,000 total US COVID-19 deaths, or not.

So, some dates to keep in mind. If this trends as I think it may, averaging at some point in time, +700 deaths per day, then we would likely reach the following milemarkers:

150,000 deaths on or around 2020-08-002.
200,000 deaths on or around 2020-10-013.
250,000 deaths on or around 2020-12-023.

Mitigate. Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the new extrapolation, which started on June 1st, 2020, to happen. Right now, we are 1,588 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation, which puts us slightly over 2 days ahead of the projection.

-Stat

 

Looks like Iran is showing what could happen by opening up too early. Additionally, today's temperature is 100F in sunshine, 75F night time

 

If Iran would stop testing, they would have much fewer cases.

 

I'm just following the number of deaths

 

Sorry, I was making a joke. That was a reference to something trump said yesterday.