Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

lol
You are the ONLY one who didn't get the memo apparently.

 

I understand where you are going here, but an asymptomatic who has been tested is not an old case. And an asymptomatic whose condition has not been diagnosed yet is neither an old nor new case, but rather, an undiscovered case.

I do think the factor 10 is probably pretty close to the truth here. Officially, the USA is at 2.3 million confirmed infections since the pandemic broke loose. But more than likely, there are at least 23 million infected people in the USA alone, we are probably not catching 9 out of 10 since many asymptomatics won't have symptoms worth getting it checked. That's the horrible part about this disease.

Have you tested positive?

 

This thread is about COVID-19, and not about any other COVID.

Please read the OP and inform yourself.

 

"Since the Pandemic Broke loose"
"That's the horrible part of this disease"

Oh,... the language of fear mongering

 

Wait. Is that the best you have to offer? Really?

The pandemic has indeed broken loose. It has gone from 82,000 cases on February 27th 2020 to almost 8.9 million cases now, a more than 100-fold increase.

And yes, there are a number of horrible parts to this disease.

If you do not understand this, then education could help you.

What will not help you is constantly insulting and taunting people.

For that problem, if unresolved, there is the report function.

 

No, but it is easier than the South Carolina Bar Exam....which I also passed.

 

Right, and I'm a NASA scientist

 

I haven't even gotten tested because I hadn't felt the need to get tested(no fever, no cough that's outside of my norm as an asthmatic) and I can still use my tastebuds effectively. I just used a hypothetical example. But it is possible(given that it's everywhere now and the barometers are no longer limited to country or exposure to those who've been to certain areas) that I/my family could be carrying. I pray otherwise.

 

6 minutes ago, the world went over 8.9 million C19 cases:





Timestamp for GMT +0 is false. Should be 22:31, not 23:31. typo.

 

What the mass testing does, is discorvering the spread of the virus, same does antibody. But the important is to find infected people so one can isolate them and prevent the spread.
There is no new or old cases, there is just undiscovered cases, which come to light through mass testing.
Take the case in Germany, meet packing plant, Toenning, 1000 cases. Makes Germany look bad. With the cluster in Goettingen Germany went from way below 1 to 1.76. There is an other one in Berlin.
They went instantly in. Tested everybody plus the kitchen sink and than quarantined everybody, plus possible contacts. They locked up entire neighborhoods and are testing every person and than do contact tracing and testing.
Testing provides the info about the spread and it helps to limit the spread if there is a effective contract tracing at hand, if you have clusters like the meet packing plant or party time in a large apartment complex.

 

Not just Right and Left leaning, either. The entire spectrum is covered in the group of nations winning the fight.

It shows that when it comes to decency, determination, strength, and 'people-first' - neither side of politics has the monopoly.

 

Unfortunately this isn't the seasonal flu. You don't always simply recover and that's it. It can permanently damage body systems, even in the young. Dying is the worst outcome, but there are plenty of other pretty awful outcomes happening. For example if you have a moderate to severe case, you're going to be out of action for up to 8 weeks. It can take much longer to recover from than the flu, even when symptoms aren't as bad as the flu. It's also producing secondary bacterial infections (pneumonia) in otherwise fit and well people under 65.

No matter how much you'd like to believe it's always going to be a three day sore throat - and in many it is - that's just not the case. It has very wide array of presentations. EG ten teenagers could be infected, and while none will likely die, half of them will be sick enough to be in bed for a few days, one or two will be sick for weeks, and one may be permanently compromised for life but won't know until years later.

 

Have you heard about the actor Nick Codero? He's 41, has Coronavirus, has been in the hospital for 79 days, been put in a medically-induced coma, has had a leg amputated, been on a ventilator and had had a pacemaker put in.

This is what this virus can do to an otherwise healthy younger person.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.usatoday.com/amp/3218371001

 

There are more professional people posting here, than you realise.

 

Exactly. And I'll bet he normally sails through a bout of the seasonal flu.

 

This. The whole "flu" thing with regards to the coronavirus, stopped being a thing about 3 and 1/2 months ago. This is a deadly disease, the likes of which the human race hadn't encountered before. It probably won't swallow us whole(thank god), but it's going to claim a substantial number of more lives and probably millions more affected with the disease even if it doesn't claim our lives.

 

...i don't believe a NASA scientist would say that Brazil is doing just fine in regards to covid-19

 

I think it's safe to say Florida and Arizona have uncontrolled spread.



I have to admit I thought it would be Georgia.


The next question is - what are they going to do about it.

US testing numbers are out of sight, but I'm not sure anyone is really tracking them.

 

As much as I hate to say it, until we're able to know with specificity who has the virus, what stage of the virus they're at, etc that the best course of action is an indefinite lockdown. How that will affect the economy, isn't good but millions being sick or even tens of thousands being ill with the potential to spread to thousands more is an untenable situation for any economy either.

We're in a lose-lose, but by waiting out the virus and complying with a lockdown we can eventually win what is essentially a war of attrition. The virus needs hosts, the virus needs us to be carriers to give to other would-be hosts. By staying indoors, we kill off the virus(or the virus kills us off, sadly) and there's fewer and fewer hosts(until eventually, there's no more hosts.)

And then the virus is gone as no one else is left to pick up the bug. The issue actually is this: According to research done, in the last couple of months US activity has dwindled, but it didn't stop... Basically, these cases that we're dealing with shows that going half-assed, still means a successful transmission of the virus to other hosts(albeit fewer hosts than if we were say behaving like normal) and thereby, the virus is still kicking our ass.

At the same token, there are these other health conditions and priorities that if they're not treated means that they can die, newly born babies and children need their daily checkups, etc. So by nature, there's still a need for minimalist movement.

I think the crucial thing is how did China deal with other societal needs while locking down? How can society's needs be met in a minimalist society? That's a secret key for us in the fight against the coronavirus.

 

The problem with this virus is it's virulence. It's incredibly contagious, so half measures are barely better than no measures. It's very clear now .. four months in .. that you can't stop it unless you lock down nationally and cease all movement. IOW, all national and state borders closed, no one to travel further than their local hospital/pharmacy/supermarket, no movement at all except for the bare minimum essentials (hospital/pharmacy/supermarket) and no more than two people together outside the home. No recreational activities, all beaches/parks/national parks and forests, lakes, rivers, etc closed. All schools, childcare centres, and colleges closed. That's a rough outline of how we did it - and we survived the 'boredom and claustrophobia', plus no one died due to lack of healthcare for other conditions. Govt established COVID clinics very quickly, so that people weren't going to their family doctor or hospital emergency rooms for testing. This left our medical resources mostly intact.

As regards basic needs met, we were allowed to go out to buy food and medications. If we weren't prepared to take that risk to get food in, many exempt businesses introduced temporary delivery options when the big supermarkets stopped theirs for a while. In other countries, where people weren't allowed out at all (New Zealand, Jordan, etc), anyone caught short was supplied with groceries .. organised by Govt and delivered by military. NZ even supplied in-home childcare for those who had to work. Vietnam fed people, and I believe Greece had systems in place to help also. Not sure how Taiwan handled that part .. but I have no doubt they were perfectly capable of doing whatever needed doing at the time.

 

HERE the entire posting for the worldwide C19 stats for EOD the day before.

During the run of the day on 2020-06-020 and leading into the morning of 2020-06-021, there was a large number of other important analyses:
USA EOD report for 2020-06-019, posted 2020-06-020, 18:17 GMT +2, #10290.
FL / AZ compared to one month ago, posted 2020-06-020, 19:01 GMT +2, #10291.
Worldwide update, 2020-06-020, 20:57 GMT +2, #10312.
USA Update, 2020-06-020, 23:21 GMT +2, #10323.
The world goes over 8.9 million C19 cases, 2020-06-021, 00:37 GMT +2, #10336.

To confirm this quick analysis or to sort the date as you wish, use the following links to work the table on your own:
- the WORLDOMETER website for today, or
- the WAYBACK MACHINE when searching for today's date in the future. In order to to that, search for one day later than you want, then use the "yesterday" function at the top their large excel table. On some days, WORLDOMETER also provides a "2 days ago" function as well, which is the case today.

COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Saturday, 2020-06-020 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):​

********8,908,555********
+157,565 cases today over yesterday!
Five days in a row with over +140,000 new C19 cases, a record.
Our world will go over 9 million COVID-19 cases on Sunday, 2020-06-021
There are 124 nations with at least 100 COVID-19 cases.
There have now been 466,266 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +4,446 of them were on this day.
Brazil has now gone over 50,000 total COVID-19 deaths.
968 Brazilians, 647 Mexicans and 573 Americans died from COVID-19 on this day.
The +12% positive margin between "recovered" and "still-ill" cases continues to grow.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
​

The weekly average in daily cases for the week before was +128,838 per day.
The weekly average in daily deaths for the week before was +4,300 deaths per day.

Here you can compare this Saturday to the last four before. It's the fourth Saturday in a row to show more than +100,000 C-19 cases, the fifth (2020-05-023) was just 62 shy of +100,000...

We have now seen 20 straight days of +100,000 or more new C-19 cases per day and you can extend that statistic out to 24 out of that last 25 days, save 2020-05-031. And we just saw 5 days in a row with more than +140,000 new C19 cases. Surely, every single day in the month of June, 2020 is likely to see well over +100,000 cases per day.

We are heading toward 9 million C19 cases by the end of day, 2020-06-021. Even as I write this report, we have already crossed over 8,925,000.

The number of deaths from this Saturday shows the top-heavy configuration of Brazil, Mexico and the USA leading the way, a configuration that we have gotten used to seeing in the last weeks. However, the USA is still under +1,000 daily deaths and I can now say with 100% certainty that my homeland will go an entire week without a day of +1,000 or more deaths, cause for joy in that country, to be sure.

Guaranteed, once Sunday, 2020-06-021 has come and gone, the new weekly average in C19 cases will be considerably higher than the week before, while the average daily deaths will rise slightly above the current average.

Total cases per country, descending (countries circa +700 C19 cases and above):
​

124-64-18-2​

In terms of total cases per country, there are now 124 nations in the "thousand club". At 985, 922, 901 and 898, respectively, Cyprus, Yemen, Burkino Faso and Georgia are next up to cross over the 1,000 line.

Of those 124, 64 nations are now in the "10,000 club". Currently at 9,839, Morroco is next.

18 of those 64 nations are now at 100,000 or more. Currently at 92,681 and growing between +3,000-4,000 cases per day, South Africa is up next to cross over the 100,000 line, most likely within 2-3 days. @Derideo_Te

Of those 18, 2 nations are in the "1,000,000" club: the USA and Brazil. At 576,952 C19-cases, Russia would seem to be next, but India, currently at 411,727 C19-cases, is growing cases twice as quickly as Russia and will very likely get there first.

In terms of the countries with the most new cases:

68-20-3​

68 countries had +100 or more new cases, 1/3 of all nations in the world. The day before, it was 72. Of those 68, 20 countries had +1000 or more new cases. The day before, it was 21. If you look at the list of top cases, you will see that they come from all over the world, but the Europe is the least represented on that upper list.

Of those 21, 3 nations had over +10,000 cases: The USA lead in new cases over Brazil, then India at rank 3. This has been going on for days now. The top three nations accounted for 80,874 (circa 51%) of all of the cases throughout the world from 2020-06-020.

​

In terms of total deaths per country, descending:

79-34-8-1​

There are now 79 nations with 100 total deaths or more. That is more than 1/3 of all nations on the Earth. At 94, 93, 88, 87, 85 and 85 total deaths respectively, Quatar, El Salvador, Somalia, Haiti, Ghana and Cuba are next to cross over the line.

Of those 78, 34 nations now have over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date, with Iraq having crossed the 1,000-line on 2020-06-020. There are now 12 nations between 500-1000 total deaths and you can be guaranteed that by the end of this month, most of them will have gone over this gruesome marker. At 994 and 992, Ukraine and Argentinia are next.

Of those 33, there are now 8 nations with over +10,000 total COVID-19 deaths to date. Brazil went over 50,000 deaths on 2020-06-020.

And finally, of those 8, 1 nation has over +100,000 total COVID-19 deaths, completely dwarfing all other nations on the planet: the USA.

In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:


Brazil, Mexico, the USA, India and Chile lead with the most daily deaths.

If you look back at the major European hotspot countries from March/April/part of May, there can be no doubt that the wave that hit Europe is mostly receding, the outliers being both the UK (which was slow to respond) and off and on, Sweden (which decided to ignore conventional wisdom and do directly for herd immunity).

10 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (it was 10 the day before). 5 of those 10 countries are from the Americas.

I would just like to remind about this series I have running, for which there will be large analysis at the end of June, 2020:

"Future Upperdecks" Series, #1: Ethiopia, Central African Republic, Mauritania and Malawi, posted 2020-05-030, 19:00 GMT +2, #9612.
And "Future Upperdecks" Series, #2 (7 other nations). It's all explained at the links. A halfway-point update was just released:

Future Upperdecks #1 and #2: the halfway point, posted 2020-06-014, 09:39, #10104.

In terms of Total Tests administered per country, 24 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece:



The USA has now performed 28.0 million tests (600,000 thousand more than the day before) while Russia has performed 16.7 million tests (400,000 more than the day before). Brazil, which is now rank 2 among all nations in terms of COVID-19 infections and in terms of total deaths, has performed 2.4 million such tests.

Facit: on 2020-06-019, the world sailed +157,000 new C19 cases up to 8.91 million total C19 cases. We are easily on our way to 10 million confirmed C19 cases by the end of June 2020.

Now at 121,980 total deaths, the USA has long surpassed a gruesome milestone in our world's history, one that no country should ever reach. A new extrapolation indicated 266,000 total US deaths by the end of this year is now currently running. Brazil, currently at 50,058 total deaths and growing around 1,000 deaths per day, is now rank 2 among the C19 dead and closing in on +100,000 deaths rather quickly.

The world-wide curve, which had generally flattened, is picking up slightly. It is still logistical, but there is a noticeable increase in overall daily C19 cases. That being said, new hotspots are verifiably emerging.


-Stat

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/

Today, 06/21/2020 we will have OVER 122,000 DEATHS because of the Covid19 virus.

Those who are comparing it to the Flu need to look at the FACTS!

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden/index.html

So let's do the MATH since that is what this thread is all about.

122,000 Covid Deaths is TWICE the WORST number of Flu deaths in a season.

122,000 Covid Deaths is 3.3 times the AVERAGE number of Flu deaths in a season.

122,000 Covid Deaths is TEN+ times the LOWEST number of Flu deaths in a season.

And that is ONLY 4 months of Covid deaths.

250,000 deaths by the end of the year would be over twice where we are now at 122,000.

250,000 Covid Deaths is FOUR+ times the WORST number of Flu deaths in a season.

250,000 Covid Deaths is 6.6 times the AVERAGE number of Flu deaths in a season.

250,000 Covid Deaths is TWENTY+ times the LOWEST number of Flu deaths in a season.

And that is still LESS than an entire year which marks each Flu season.

So the ASININE comparisons to the Flu have all been DEBUNKED by the ACTUAL Covid19 Death counts to date and as the death toll continues to mount the FACT that the virus is way more LETHAL than the Flu has been CONFIRMED.

The Math does not lie and it is dishonest to disparage those Covid deaths by likening them to the Flu. Those posters who insist upon using that disingenuous allegation are only harming their own credibility.

 

HERE the COVID-19 USA numbers for the day before.

During the run of the day on 2020-06-020 there were some other important analyses for the USA, also one again from 2020-06-019:
Reorganizing the USA analyses from 50 states into 57 „units“, 2020-06-019, 11:30 GMT +2, #10250.
Preliminary figures for 2020-06-019, posted 2020-06-020, 09:42 GMT +2, #10281.
FL / AZ compared to one month ago, posted 2020-06-020, 19:01 GMT +2, #10291.
USA Update, 2020-06-020, 23:21 GMT +2, #10323.

And now:

COVID-19 USA statistics EOD Report for Saturday, 2020-06-020 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0):

**2,330,578**
+33,388 cases today over the day before.
Five days in a row of +25,000 or more new cases, for the first time ever.
121,980 total COVID-19 deaths in the USA.
573 Americans died from COVID-19 on this day.
972,941 people have recovered, 1,235,657 are, however, still sick.​

In order to confirm my quick analysis, please go directly to the WORLDOMETER website today or to the WAYBACK MACHINE after today. If you use the wayback machine after today, search for one day later than the date you want, then use the "yesterday" function at the top their large excel table. This way, you have more control over what you want to see and when you want to see it.

STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:​

From the screenshot, you can compare this Saturday to the four Saturdays before. The daily new cases from this Saturday were miles ago above the four before. This Saturday also marked the 5th day in a row with more than +25,000 new C19 cases in the USA, setting a new record.

The weekly average in daily C-19 cases from last week was +22,111 per day. We are going to surpass this average at the end of this week.

The weekly average in daily deaths from last week was +770 deaths per day. We are going to come in under this average at the end of this week.

Best news so far? The low death number for Saturday, lower than all four Saturdays before. I can now say with 100% certaintly that this will be the first week since March that we will have an entire week without one day hitting or going over +1,000 deaths, a sure sign that the death-wave in the USA is receding at this time.

As of the analyses by or for Monday, 2020-06-022, the "states" of the USA will be counted like this:
Reorganizing the USA analyses from 50 states into 57 „units“, 2020-06-016, 11:30 GMT +2, #10250.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total confirmed cases, descending:
​

Total confirmed C-19 cases:

47-38-(40)-13-6​

47 out of 51 "states" (including DC) have over 1,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases. At 803 or less C19 cases, it will be a while before Hawaii, Alaska and Montana cross over this line, but I am very sure that in the fullness of time, they will.

38 of those 47 now have more than +10,000 cases, with Oklahoma having crossed the 10,000-line on 2020-06-020, but with "Veterans affairs" (18,605) and the US Military (13,332) also having more than 10,000 cases, it's then actually 40, with Veterans Affairs at really rank 28 and US military personnel at rank 35. DC (9,984) and OK (9,706) will both cross that gruesome line in the next days.

Of those 37, 13 have more than +50,000 confirmed C19 cases, with North Carolina crossing over the 50,000-line on 2020-06-020.

Of those 12, 6 have more than +100,000 confirmed C19 cases. Currently at 93,797 C19-cases, Florida is next up to cross over the 100,000 line. Just to get a perspective: only 18 complete nations on the face of the Earth have come over 100,000 cases, the USA of course leading the way.

New daily cases:

48-36-8​

48 states reported at least one new case. The day before, it was 49. The 2 states to report no new cases: MI and RI.

36 states reported more than +100 new cases; the day before, it was 37.

8 of those 37 states, a record-setter, reported over +1,000 new cases (the day before, it was also 8 ), most disturbingly, 3 states this time around with +4,000 or more apiece:



We are seeing massive totals out of these eight states. Here the state charts with new cases by top counties, for CA, TX and FL:





You can see for yourself the distribution of new C19 cases among the top counties in each of those three US-states. For the second day in a row, both Carolinas appeared together in the +1,000 list. Earlier in the day, Arkansas had more cases than Ohio (I reported such at that time). But the end of the day, Ohio came in with slightly more cases than Arksansas, which still had more cases than Michigan, a former hotspot.

New daily deaths:

36-20-0​

I think this is the most important category when looking to see where other hotspots are emerging and since deaths lag behind new cases, the two rankings are often not the same.

36 of 50 states reported at least one death. The day before, it was 42.

Of those 42, 20 reported deaths in double digits, from +10 to +67.

Out of the entire Union, 0 states reported more than 100 daily deaths, and that for the 11th day in a row. This means that the deaths are being more evenly spread throughout the Republic.

Total deaths:

41-21-2
​

41 states now have at least 100 total deaths. That's more than 4/5 of the nation in terms of numbers of US states. In terms of population, it's far more than that. At 89, 88, 81 and 76 total deaths respectively, WV, ID and both Dakotas will soon cross over that marker.

Of those 41, 21 states in the Union now have a total of more than +1,000 COVID-19 deaths. Now at 979 and 943, respectively, Missouri and Mississippi are likely next to cross over that gruesome line.

Of thosse 21 states, 2 have suffered more than 10,000 COVID-19 deaths: NY and NJ, the original epicenters of the virus in February/March/April 2020.


FACIT: we ended the day analysed with 121,980 US deaths from COVID-19. To make this easier to visualize, here is the listing of US-American cities with a projected 2020 population of between roughly 117,000-126,000:



This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of more than ALL of AMHERST, never to get it back again. Think about that.

NEW EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-06-001)​

What happens if, on the average, instead of 1,400 dead per day (which was the extrapolation from 2020-04-028 through 2020-05-031), let's take 1/2 of that, "just" 700 dead per day every day from the beginning of June, 2020, until the end of this year?

This extrapolation is now up and running, you can find it at the online excel table (you'll find the logistical tab easily). I will do a report on this once a month, on the first day of the month, but you can check in on the numbers as often as you like to see if we really are on our way to 266,000 total US COVID-19 deaths, or not.

So, some dates to keep in mind. If this trends as I think it may, averaging at some point in time, +700 deaths per day, then we would likely reach the following milemarkers:

150,000 deaths on or around 2020-08-002.
200,000 deaths on or around 2020-10-013.
250,000 deaths on or around 2020-12-023.

Mitigate. Don't be fooled and don't be a fool: wear a mask. Wash your hands. Avoid large crowds. Think before you decide to demonstrate about anything right now: is it worth your health to do it? Get lots of good sunlight in open spaces. Respect the space of others. Stay healthy. We DON'T want the new extrapolation, which started on June 1st, 2020, to happen. Right now, we are 1,785 deaths ABOVE the extrapolation, which puts us 2.5 days ahead of the projection.

-Stat

 

How could anyone with a brain think SARS-CoV-2 is a "hoax?"

 

I believe the key word there was "brain".