Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Statistikhengst, Mar 14, 2020.

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  1. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

    COVID-19 stats for Wednesday, 2020-09-030 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Worldwide & top 4 nations:

    As indicated yesterday: only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 4 nations (all over 1,000,000 cases). I will let the tables and screenshots speak for themselves and you can interpret them for yourselves. This will be the new format apart from weekly / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Since 2020-09-030 is also EOM, there will also be two pretty thick analyses coming out later in the day (my time)

    Wishing you all a good Thursday.

    -Stat

    Worldwide:

    ֍֍֍**** 34,147,983 ****֍֍֍
    THE WORLD GOES OVER 34,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 000.png

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 009 - rubrik worktable.png

    USA:
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 000.png

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 002 - total cases.png

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA  007- rubrik worktable.png


    INDIA:

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD BRAZIL 000.png

    RUSSIA:

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD RUSSIA 000.png
     
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  2. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

    COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for EOM September 2020 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

    ֍֍֍**** 34,150,555 ****֍֍֍
    THE WORLD WENT OVER THE 34,000,000 COVID-19 CASES ON 2020-09-030


    +8,522,365 new C19 cases over EOM August 2020.
    TOTAL C19 cases: 165 nations with 1,000+, 101 with 10,000+, 61 with 50,000+, 38 with 100,000+, 4 with 1,000,000+.

    There have now been 1,018,212 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +163,783 of them over EOM August 2020.
    INDIA is now only -1,292 away from 100,000 total COVID-19 deaths in that nation.

    Worldwide 7-day rolling averages: +294,967 new C19 cases per day / +5,275 deaths per day
    ---------------------------------------------------------

    +1,179 Indian, +955 US-American, +952 Brazilian, +560 Mexican & +418 Argentinian new deaths were recorded on this day.
    +34,273 Indian, +24,004 US-American, +22,447 Brazilian & +13,005 Mexican deaths over EOM August 2020.

    The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 66,012
    SIXTY nations on Earth have now administered +1,000,000 (or far more) C19 tests.

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 000.png

    The changes in the daily averages, from 2020-08-031 through 2020-09-030:
    +cases: +260,790 to +294,967 (+34,177) / +deaths: +5,418 to +5,275 (-143).

    What this means is that right now, the world is reaping an average of +34,177 more cases per day than just one month ago, but 143 less people are dying daily than one month ago. +294,637 = 204.6 fresh C19 cases per minute.

    Our world jumped +8.5 million C19 cases in the month of September, 2020.

    And of course, our world went over 1,000,000 total C19 deaths in this month, a dark month in our world's history, to say the least.

    The excel tables for the USA, India, Brazil and Russia on this day can be seen HERE.

    Here presented showing EOM June, July, August and September:

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 009 - EOM rubrik worktable.png

    This graphic is very telling. Two examples:

    -90 days ago, at the end of June, 2020, there were 121 nations with over 1,000 total C19 cases. Now, there are 166.
    -90 days ago, at the end of June, 2020, there were 9 nations with over 10,000 total C19 deaths. Now, there are 18.
    And so forth and so on.


    Total cases per country, descending (this time, countries with circa +50 C19 cases and above):
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 001 - total cases.png
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 002 - total cases.png
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 003 - total cases.png
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 004 - total cases.png
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 005 - total cases.png

    India, which passed Brazil in total cases 24 days ago, is now +1,496,681 cases ahead of Brazil and -1,137,095 cases behind the USA. As you can see, India has now well over the halfway point between the USA and Brazil and is now less cases behind the USA than it is ahead of Brazil. It is now only a matter of time before India assumes rank 1 among the nations in the COVID-19 rankings.

    Also, both Colombia (829,679) and Peru (814,829) have both passed the 800,000 mark and (with Spain as well) are well ahead of Mexico. It is quite possible that both of them will hit 1,000,0000 cases in the same week, probably by middle of October, 2020.

    In terms of the countries with the most new cases:

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 006 - new cases.png

    Consider this: almost the entire screenshot is filled with countries with over +1,000 new C19 cases. There are also countries we are seeing for the 1st, maybe, 2nd time, for instance: Tunisia, Guadeloupe, Poland, Jordan, etc.

    Israel recorded more +cases than Russia. Reflect upon that for a minute.

    There is now no doubt that Europe, or at least part of Europe, is entering a second wave, and it does not look good. Between them, the neighboring nations of France and Spain recorded a combined +23,861 fresh C19 infections on 2020-09-030 and in sum total, Europe logged over +68,300 new cases on 2020-09-030. German Chancellor is warning that, if her nation doesn't take this more seriously, that Germany will likely be seeing +19,200 average daily cases by Christmastide. I am pointing this out because the Europeans by far have taken this pandemic more seriously than the Americans and if among them, Germans are facing such catastrophic figures come December, just imagine what may happen in the Americas deep in Wintertide.

    In terms of total deaths per country, descending:
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 007 - total deaths.png

    The top 4:

    USA, total deaths: 211,740 / 20.80% of worldwide deaths.

    Brazil, total deaths: 143,962 / 14.14% of worldwide deaths. Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 711 per day, from 2020-09-013 = +96 days from now: 2020-12-020.

    India, total deaths: 98,702 / 9.69% of worldwide deaths. Extrapolated 100,000 death date, based on the daily average of 1,167 per day, from 2020-09-015 = +15.3 days: 2020-10-001. However, it looks as if that is going to happen on Friday, 2020-10-002, one day later than extrapolated, instead. Still, the extrapolation was pretty darned accurate, I must say.

    Mexico, total deaths: 77,163 / 7.58% of worldwide deaths.

    Combined (531,567), the top four nations currently represent 52.21% of all total deaths in the world to-date.

    In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 008 - new deaths.png

    5 of the top 10 nations are from the Americas.

    In terms of Total Tests administered per country:

    60 nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece, with Nepal and Finnland having crossed over the 1,000,000-case line in the last days; of those 60, 11 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece, with Turkey having crossed over the 10,000,000-line on 2020-09-027: China, the USA, Russia, UK, India, Brazil, Germany, Spain, Italy, France and Turkey.


    END-FACIT: on 2020-09-030 (EOM September 2020), the world landed at 34.15 million. The world will go over 35 million confirmed COVID-19 cases on Sunday, 2020-10-004.

    -Stat
     
    Last edited: Oct 1, 2020
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  3. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

    COVID-19 USA statistical analysis for EOM September 2020 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

    ******* 7,447,282 *******

    +1,235,486 new C19 cases over EOM August 2020 (14.50% of worldwide +cases in this month).
    There have now been 211,740 COVID-19 deaths in the USA, +24,004 of them over EOM August 2020.
    USA 7-day rolling averages: +43,961 new C19 cases per day / +735 deaths per day
    ---------------------------------------------------------

    The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases in the USA: 14,193
    Total USA C19 tests administered: 107.5 million

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 000.png

    The changes in the daily averages in the USA, from 2020-08-031 through 2020-09-030:
    +cases: +42,309 to +43,961 (+1,652) / +deaths: +946 to +735 (-211).

    What this means is that right now, the USA is reaping an average of +1,652 more cases per day than just one month ago, but 211 less people are dying daily than one month ago. That's a steeper reduction in daily deaths than worldwide, to note. +43,961 = 30.5 fresh C19 cases per minute.

    The USA jumped +1.2 million C19 cases in the month of September, 2020.

    And of course, the USA saw 24,000 C19 deaths in just one month. This is better than what hit NY and NJ in April, 2020, but it is still bad, very, very bad.

    Here presented showing EOM June, July, August and September:

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA  007- EOM rubrik worktable.png

    This graphic is very telling. Two examples:

    -90 days ago, at the end of June, 2020, there were 46 Units with over 5,000 total C19 cases. Now, there are 55.
    -90 days ago, at the end of June, 2020, there were 24 Units with over 1,000 total C19 deaths. Now, there are 34.
    And so forth and so on.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, Total cases:
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 002 - total cases.png

    New York is on the cusp of 500,000 total C19 cases.
    Minnesota and Mississippi are on the cusp of 100,000 total C19 cases.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, + cases:

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 003 - total deaths.png

    Again, evidence that the Midwest of the USA is driving the current surge just as much as the South and the West Coast.
    Wisconsin is getting hammered especially hard right now.

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, + deaths:
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 005 - new cases.png

    We are back up to at least 3 states recording +100 deaths or more in the middle of the week.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 004 - total deaths.png

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FACIT: we ended the day at the end of this month with 211,740 total US deaths from COVID-19.

    [​IMG]

    This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of more than the population of MODESTO or just slightly less than the population of BIRMINGHAM, never to get the one or the other back again.

    ADJUSTED EXTRAPOLATION (started on 2020-08-001)

    As of 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA. Here the current projected milestones:

    2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013). 200,000 deaths were reached 5 days before, on 2020-09-015.
    2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths
    2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths
    (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023).
    2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021.

    At current:

    2020-09-030 COVID-19 EOD USA 006 - extrapolation.png


    This means that we are currently at +3,143 deaths over the extrapolation, which puts us also currently 4 days ahead of the next milestone-projections. This value is lower than the corresponding day in the week before (+3,946), to note.

    I know it may be tiring to see these statistics all the time, but I do think it's important to follow the data-path every day and to put it in print, for posterity's sake, so that the naysayers cannot say "nay" without looking totally ignorant.

    NEW CONCLUSION: mitigate!

    -Stat
     
    Last edited: Oct 1, 2020
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  4. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    So, how y'all doing???
     
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  5. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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  6. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Meanwhile, today, October 2nd, 2020, India will go over 100,000 C19 deaths.
     
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  7. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    I think that on this day, the gravity of what has just happened should be recorded for posterity. Here screenshots from immediate media reporting nach President Trump's twitter announcement that he and Melania Trump have tested positive auf COVID-19, in no particular order:

    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - CNN.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - FOX.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - ABC.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - CBS.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - NBC.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - WAPO.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - NYT.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - USA today.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - TPM.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - Townhall.png
     
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  8. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    And part II:

    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - WSJ.png

    And some from foreign sources:

    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - ARD.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - ZDF.png
    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - Le Monde.png

    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - JPost.png

    2020-10-002 Trump tests C19 positive - Tass.png
     
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  9. Woogs

    Woogs Well-Known Member

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    In my state (Mississippi) the governor lifted the state-wide mask mandate on Wednesday. Trump comes down with the virus on Thursday. Crazy timing.
     
  10. Creasy Tvedt

    Creasy Tvedt Well-Known Member

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    Why is Team Biden sending out doorknockers to spread COVID after they initially announced that they wouldn't send out in-person canvassers due to fears that it would spread COVID?

    Has politics become more important than lives to Team Joe?

    Biden campaign begins in-person canvassing in swing states ...
    www.cnn.com › 2020/10/01 › politics › biden-in-person-...

    22 hours ago - Biden campaign begins in-person canvassing in swing states. By Eric Bradner, Jessica Dean and Jeff Zeleny, CNN. Updated 3:03 PM ET, Thu ...

    After pandemic delay, Biden launching in-person canvassing
    apnews.com › article › election-2020-virus-outbreak-jo...
    1 day ago - ... contact with voters because of the pandemic, Joe Biden's campaign is about to launch door-to-door canvassing across several battleground.

    Joe Biden's Campaign Will Resume Door-To-Door Canvassing
    www.npr.org › 2020/10/01 › in-reversal-biden-team-will-...

    22 hours ago - With just a month remaining in the presidential campaign, former Vice President Joe Biden's team is launching in-person canvassing in key ...
     
    Last edited: Oct 2, 2020
  11. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

    COVID-19 stats for Thursday, 2020-10-001 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Worldwide & top 4 nations:

    As indicated in the last days: only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 4 nations (all over 1,000,000 cases). I will let the tables and screenshots speak for themselves and you can interpret them for yourselves. This will be the new daily format apart from weekly / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Wishing you all a good Thursday.

    -Stat

    Worldwide:

    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 009 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    USA:

    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD USA 000.png

    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD USA 007 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:

    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD BRAZIL 000.png

    RUSSIA:

    2020-10-001 COVID-19 EOD RUSSIA 000.png
     
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  12. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    funny that, when the Trump campaign was (and still is) doing that, I did not see you complain at all.

    Hmmm, funny that.
     
  13. Creasy Tvedt

    Creasy Tvedt Well-Known Member

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    It was never my complaint. It was you guys that were the lockdown cultists.

    What happened? Why is it okay for Team Joe to spread the COVID door-to-door now?
     
  14. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    You really need to put some more elbow-grease into that trolling. It's gotten to be very boring.

    Actually, canvassing door to door, with mask and 6 feet of physical distance, is far safer than any Trump Nürnberg-rally ever was.

    So, the entire premise of your, ähm, interesting posting, is wholly false.
     
    Last edited: Oct 2, 2020
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  15. Creasy Tvedt

    Creasy Tvedt Well-Known Member

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    If canvassing door to door is safe now, why wasn't it before? What changed?
     
  16. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    That guy is about to go in my iggy. All snark; zero substance. I prefer honest debate.
     
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  17. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    INDIA has now crossed over 100,000 total COVID-19 deaths. It is the third nation in the world to reach this gruesome statistic, after the USA and Brazil.
     
  18. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Whoever said before that it was not safe? It's not the safEST, but it brings a low risk factor with itself, if you do it right.

    So, feel free to pony up exact names of people who have said it's not safer.
     
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  19. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    I am very split about the Bunker Boy's c19.
    On the one side he asked for it, but than nobody deserves it.
    But than I am a pragmatic, the worst thing that could happen a mild infection. He would come back telling us " told you so its just the flu".
    Despite 211,000 dead.
    He has it, I do not want him to die of it, but he needs to get hammered by it, so he finally takes it serious and quits making fun of people who take it serious.
    That he went to the fund raiser, knowing that his aid had the virus and he possible got exposed, shows what a irresponsible person he is. How many did he and his entourage infect?
    He deserves a rather good smacking from the virus. But I do not want him to die, nor his wife, nor his daughter or any of his stuffers.

    But the way they behaved, they had it coming, biggly.
     
  20. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Trump Jr on Carlson "He's in a bubble, if he can get it, I guess anyone can."
     
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  21. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Sent him to Cyberia a long time back for similar reasons.
     
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  22. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

    COVID-19 stats for Friday, 2020-10-002 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Worldwide & top 4 nations:

    As indicated in the last days: only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 4 nations (all over 1,000,000 cases) throughout the week. I will let the tables and screenshots speak for themselves and you can interpret them for yourselves. This will be the new daily format apart from EOW (End of Week) / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. I did write some news in the USA and India sections this time around, because I think it's important. Wishing you all a good Saturday.

    -Stat

    Worldwide:

    ֍֍֍**** 34,819,528 ****֍֍֍
    INDIA WENT OVER 100,000 TOTAL COVID-19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY



    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 000.png

    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 009 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD Worldwide 001 - total cases.png

    [​IMG]

    USA:

    ******* 7,549,323 *******
    PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP TESTED POSITIVE / WAS HOSPITALIZED FOR COVID-19 ON 2020-10-002.
    FLOTUS MELANIA TRUMP ALSO TESTED POSITIVE FOR COVID-19 ON 2020-10-002.

    ALSO REPORTED HAVING TESTED POSITIVE ON THE SAME DAY:
    Sens. Mike Lee and Tom Tillis (R-UT and NC), Chris Christie, Kellyanne Conway, also her mother, Ronna McDaniel, Bill Stepien, Father John Jenkens, 3 WH reporters, a number of Secret Service officers, at least 11 workers from the Cleveland presidential debate


    (1:20)

    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD USA  000.png

    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD USA 007 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:

    ****** 6,471,934 ******
    INDIA WENT OVER 100,000 TOTAL COVID-19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY


    [​IMG]
    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD INDIA  000.png


    BRAZIL:

    **** 4,882,331 ****

    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD BRAZIL 000.png


    RUSSIA:

    * 1,194,643 *
    RUSSIA IS APPROACHING +10,000 FRESH C19 INFECTIONS PER DAY


    2020-10-002 COVID-19 EOD RUSSIA 000.png
     
    Last edited: Oct 3, 2020
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  23. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Typhoid Mary now has a partner called Corona Donald!
     
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  24. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    The list of infections from the White House Super-Spreader event continues to grow:

    2020-10-003 COVID-19 WH Super spreader event.png
     
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  25. Curious Always

    Curious Always Well-Known Member Past Donor

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