Climate Change: It's bad and getting worse

Discussion in 'Environment & Conservation' started by Wyzaard, Jun 25, 2011.

  1. cassandrabandra

    cassandrabandra New Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2009
    Messages:
    16,451
    Likes Received:
    111
    Trophy Points:
    0
    from the Oxford English Dictionary:

    preponderance: the quality or fact of being greater in number, quantity, or importance

    so ... preponderance of evidence means .... it is a fact that there is more evidence (greater in number, quantity) and/or more important evidence.
     
  2. Ethereal

    Ethereal Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2010
    Messages:
    40,617
    Likes Received:
    5,790
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Sorry, but the standard of science is much higher than that. Maybe if you had a clue about it, you'd know.

    :)
     
  3. cassandrabandra

    cassandrabandra New Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2009
    Messages:
    16,451
    Likes Received:
    111
    Trophy Points:
    0
    you indicated that the use of the word preponderance was the problem for you.

    I enlightened you as to the meaning of the word.

    that doesn't have anything to do with science, however I must say that if you had a clue about the science of climate change you would be well aware that there is a preponderance of evidence which supports the theory of AGW.
     
  4. Wyzaard

    Wyzaard Banned

    Joined:
    Mar 6, 2011
    Messages:
    1,328
    Likes Received:
    15
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Evidence has already been provided; put down the Denier Kool-Aid, and grow up already.
     
  5. Ethereal

    Ethereal Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2010
    Messages:
    40,617
    Likes Received:
    5,790
    Trophy Points:
    113
    The "preponderance of the evidence" is a standard of proof used in civil suits. Science holds itself to a much higher standard.
     
  6. Ethereal

    Ethereal Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2010
    Messages:
    40,617
    Likes Received:
    5,790
    Trophy Points:
    113
    Take a law class child. The "preponderance of the evidence" is a standard of proof that applies in civil suits; it is a lesser standard of proof than "beyond a reasonable doubt" which is a standard that applies in criminal cases; in science the bar is set much higher than in a civil suit; if you knew the first thing about science or law, you'd be aware of this.

    :)
     
  7. Wyzaard

    Wyzaard Banned

    Joined:
    Mar 6, 2011
    Messages:
    1,328
    Likes Received:
    15
    Trophy Points:
    0
    We're not talking about civil suits, but verified climate change; you're dissembling.
     
  8. Ethereal

    Ethereal Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2010
    Messages:
    40,617
    Likes Received:
    5,790
    Trophy Points:
    113
    You're the one who made an appeal to the "preponderance of the evidence". I just thought that I would inform you how low of a standard of proof that is; much lower than scientific standards.
     
  9. Wyzaard

    Wyzaard Banned

    Joined:
    Mar 6, 2011
    Messages:
    1,328
    Likes Received:
    15
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Which have been met when it comes to AGW.
     
  10. squidward

    squidward Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 23, 2009
    Messages:
    37,112
    Likes Received:
    9,515
    Trophy Points:
    113
    but not verified causes
     
  11. Roy L

    Roy L Banned

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2009
    Messages:
    11,345
    Likes Received:
    12
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Who has denied that climate is changing?
     
  12. Roy L

    Roy L Banned

    Joined:
    Feb 19, 2009
    Messages:
    11,345
    Likes Received:
    12
    Trophy Points:
    0
    No, they have not. Piling up a mountain of post hoc fallacies, ignoratio elenchi fallacies, cherry-picking exercises, data massage, etc. does not alter the preponderance of evidence. It just shows you don't have any evidence.
     
  13. cassandrabandra

    cassandrabandra New Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2009
    Messages:
    16,451
    Likes Received:
    111
    Trophy Points:
    0
    as I already stated, from the OED:

    preponderance: the quality or fact of being greater in number, quantity, or importance.

    it doesn't imply anything to do with science, or law.

    it just means there is a lot more evidence.

    trying to use a word in a different context from what it was intended doesn't mean you win an argument.
     
  14. squidward

    squidward Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 23, 2009
    Messages:
    37,112
    Likes Received:
    9,515
    Trophy Points:
    113
    If there is a "lot", then please, just show me a little that describes a cause and effect relationship between mans activities and global climate.
     
  15. jackdog

    jackdog Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2009
    Messages:
    19,691
    Likes Received:
    384
    Trophy Points:
    83
    your preponderance would lose, considering Co2 is just a minor player in a sea of other factors that have an effect on Earths climate
     
  16. hiimjered

    hiimjered Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jun 6, 2010
    Messages:
    7,924
    Likes Received:
    143
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Gender:
    Male
    Preponderance means greater than 50%.

    It doesn't mean a lot more, 50.00000000000000001% is considered to be preponderance.

    If 49.99999999% points against climate change and 50.00000001% points in favor of it, it is considered to have a preponderance of the evidence.
     
  17. cassandrabandra

    cassandrabandra New Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2009
    Messages:
    16,451
    Likes Received:
    111
    Trophy Points:
    0
    that isn't what the dictionary says.

    do you have a source that states clearly and unequivocally that this is what preponderance means?
     
  18. hiimjered

    hiimjered Well-Known Member Past Donor

    Joined:
    Jun 6, 2010
    Messages:
    7,924
    Likes Received:
    143
    Trophy Points:
    63
    Gender:
    Male
    Even using the definition you posted, what I wrote is true:

    50.00001 is greater than 49.99999, therefore 50.00001 is a preponderance according to the definition you posted.

    There is no description of how much greater a factor has to be to be a preponderance, it just has to be greater.

    Since preponderance is most often used as a legal term, perhaps the legal definition would help more:

    Once again, anything greater than a 50/50 chance is considered to be a preponderance.
     
  19. Elmer Fudd

    Elmer Fudd New Member

    Joined:
    Jun 29, 2010
    Messages:
    823
    Likes Received:
    11
    Trophy Points:
    0
    It is not just the $$$$ and time, there has been an intellectual degradation. The propagandists have so twisted the energy situation via the left wing media to push the AGW agenda that the bulk of the people haven't a clue what the real issues are and what can and cannot be done. There are a GREAT many people in America and Europe that actually believe things like:

    1) we can replace fossil fuel generation totally with wind power
    2) electric cars are pollution-free
    3) you are exposed to radiation if you live near a nuke plant
    4) it is better for the planet to use plastic bags rather than paper
    5) carbon offset credits actually make a difference
    6) there is a special mineral called "clean coal"
    7) that white vapor that you see belching out of power plants is CO2

    and I could go on.....
     
  20. cassandrabandra

    cassandrabandra New Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2009
    Messages:
    16,451
    Likes Received:
    111
    Trophy Points:
    0
    the evidence is overwhelming.

    that denialists choose to ignore it won't make it go away.
     
  21. squidward

    squidward Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 23, 2009
    Messages:
    37,112
    Likes Received:
    9,515
    Trophy Points:
    113
    good then it should be easy for you to present the data that demonstrates causation.
     
  22. Wyzaard

    Wyzaard Banned

    Joined:
    Mar 6, 2011
    Messages:
    1,328
    Likes Received:
    15
    Trophy Points:
    0
  23. cassandrabandra

    cassandrabandra New Member

    Joined:
    Oct 10, 2009
    Messages:
    16,451
    Likes Received:
    111
    Trophy Points:
    0
    its already been done on this forum, over and over.

    learn to use google, and you can find the information yourself. :)
     
  24. MannieD

    MannieD New Member

    Joined:
    Dec 19, 2006
    Messages:
    5,127
    Likes Received:
    31
    Trophy Points:
    0
    Good article.
    From the article
    my bold
    And yet another organization/person taking the advice of the Luntz Research
     
  25. squidward

    squidward Well-Known Member

    Joined:
    Jan 23, 2009
    Messages:
    37,112
    Likes Received:
    9,515
    Trophy Points:
    113
    that was especially weak. I expected better out of you, ...........OK I lied. I really didn't expect better
     

Share This Page