Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

COVID-19 worldwide statistics EOD Report for Saturday, 2020-05-002 (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT)​

HERE the entire posting for EOD the day before, Friday, 2020-05-001 (EOD GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT). Also in quote form:

During the run of the day on 2020-05-002, there were 2 intermittent reports:
USA EOD report 2020-05-001, posted 2020-05-002, 17:20 GMT +2, #7633.
Russia update, 2020-05-002, 18:16 GMT +2, #7754.

And now, the COVID-19 statistics from Saturday, 2020-05-002, EOD GMT +0:

***3,481,329***
+82,876 cases today over yesterday.
244,663 COVID-19 deaths worldwide.
1,691 Americans died from COVID-19 today, a decrease from the day before.
​

Confirmation of the statistics from 2020-05-002 at this WAYBACK MACHINE LINK. Not the stats at the top, but rather, click on "yesterday" at the top of the large excel table.

NOTE: You will see a new column, to the right of the date column, in the excel table. A friend suggested to me that it might be a good idea to include the day of the week as well. So, I did that. And Mondays are highlighted with a light peach background, just so that we can orient from the first standard work-day of the week to the next.

We saw +82,876 new cases on 2020-05-002, as compared the day before (+94,253), 11,377 less cases than the day before, the first day of cases reducing after four straight days of cases steadily rising. The growth rate was 2.44%. Yesterday, the growth rate was 2.85%.

In terms of deaths: 244,663 total, +5,215 today over yesterday, making for a 2.18% growth rate (yesterday: 2.40%). The growth rate in the number of daily deaths has swung wildly back and forth. The death rate decreased in a statistically significantly way from it's peak on 2020-04-029 (7.09%) to 7.03%. The day before, it was: 7.05%.

The % of recovered people rose from 31.78% yesterday to 32.20%.

The countries with the most new cases:​

Currently, and unsurprisingly, the USA leads with the most new cases and has been doing so for a long time, but Russia is now no. 2 and closing fast. Brasil was in 3rd the day before, but this time, Brasil is in 4th place. Peru is also showing a massive increase in daily cases. On 2020-05-002, 15 nations added more than 1,000 new COVID-19 cases. The day before, it was 16.

The countries with the most new daily deaths:
​

The USA lead in deaths and the report from 2020-05-002 shows that somewhat less US deaths were reported than the day before, an encouraging sign.

10 nations reported over +100 daily deaths (the day before, it was 11). 4 of those 10 countries are from the Americas.

Ecuador had a high amount of daily deaths (+308 ) and appears, I believe, for the first time ever in the upper zone of the new deaths rankings.

Total deaths per country, descending:​

There are TWENTY-TWO nations with over +1,000 COVID-19 deaths to date. There are 53 nations with 100 total deaths or more (yesterday, there were also 53).

New: Total Tests administered per country, descending:​

This listing (top 27 or so) may surprise some people. As you can see, 9 nations have administered more than 1 million tests (the day before, it was 8 ) respectively. Yesterday, France went over 1 million tests and joined the other 8 nations already over that mark. India and Canada will soon join that category. Also, keep an eye on the trajectory of Brasil's testing.

And now, on to the more expansive listing:

Total cases per country, descending (500 cases or above):​

There are now 89 nations in the "thousand club, with Tunisia having crossed over the 1,000 line. Cyprus, Latvia and Honduras are up next to cross the 1,000 line in the next days.

Of those 89, 37 are in the "10,000 club. Denmark may be next, but Bangladesh and Serbia, who are having far more daily cases, may get there sooner. Further, 8 of those 35 are at 100,000 or more (USA, Spain, Italy, France, Germany, the UK, Turkey and Russia). With the sudden, rapid increase in cases Brasil is likely to cross the 100,000 line on 2020-05-003. And Iran will follow not long thereafter.

To put these numbers into perspective:​

1.) the current number of confirmed COVID-19 cases worldwide (3.48 million) = between the populations of the entire states of UTAH and CONNECTICUT (USA), also the population of Busan (South Korea).

2.) the current number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in the USA (1.16 million) = just over the population of the entire state of MONTANA (USA), also the population of Auckland (New Zealand).

3.) The current number of people who are still sick with COVID-19 (2.12 million) = just over the population of the entire state NEW MEXICO (USA), also slightly less than the population of Isfahan (Iran).

4.) The current number of people who have recovered from COVID-19 (1.12 million) = almost exactly the population Cologne (Germany), or Mexicali (Mexico). This is how big these numbers have become.

5.) The current number of deaths from COVID-19 (244,800) = very close to the the populations of Louisville, KY or Norfok, VA (USA) or the population of Braunschweig (Germany).

Facit: The world crossed over the 3.4 million mark early in the morning on 2020-05-002 and landed at slightly less than 19,000 shy of 3.5 million mark in COVID-19 cases. The number of daily deaths was less than the day before. We will easily cross over the 3.5 million mark today.

The USA is marching toward well over 100,000 COVID-19 deaths by the end of May, 2020, possibly over 122,000.

Russia continues the extreme rapid ascent of total testing and COVID-19 positive cases. So is Brasil, which appears to have come out of nowhere. Also, Peru and Ecuador as suddenly experiencing large jumps in part of their statistics.

The world-wide curve is logistical and therefore, perhaps manageable. The very low growth rate in total cases is a good sign. Let's all hope it stays this way.

-Stat

 

Level of care and staffing depends on how much money you have.

The required minimum staff to resident ratio varies per state.
https://elderlaw.uslegal.com/assisted-living-facilities/state-provisions/

 

Sounds like you and everyone else there are completely safe then.

 

I've heard Birx mention testing indigenous people specifically during the task force briefings for several weeks.

 

Ingredients, plural.

 

Anecdotes are not facts!

 

Non sequitur response!

 

Yes. Constant stress and worry destroys the immune system and general health.

 

What have you to offer? I do a lot of research for myself. I'm not anyone's research assistant.

 

Nursing homes should be used to isolating residents in the event of infectious disease outbreaks. Eg Gastoenteritis is very common.

 

Here the COVID-19 numbers for the previous report, Friday, 2020-05-001 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0)


Here the COVID-19 numbers for Saturday, 2020-05-002 in the USA (EOD = GMT +0):

​

NOTE: You will see a new column, to the right of the date column, in the excel table. A friend suggested to me that it might be a good idea to include the day of the week as well. So, I did that. And Mondays are highlighted with a light peach background, just so that we can orient from the first standard work-day of the week to the next.

Confirmation of the statistics from 2020-05-002 for the USA at this WAYBACK MACHINE LINK. Not the stats at the top, but rather, click on "yesterday" at the top of the large excel table on the web-page.

As you can see, by EOD on 2020-05-002, we were at 1,160,774 (1.61 million) cases, 67,444 total deaths, of which 1,691 were reported on that day - less daily deaths than the day before. 173,318 people have recovered, leaving 920,012 people still listed as sick to one degree or another.

If you look at the daily deaths in column H, you will see that the USA has suffered more than 2,000 deaths per day on 8 of the last 12 days, but on the first two days of May, we went under the +2,000 daily death mark, an encouraging sign. More on this later in the report

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total cases, descending:​

45 out of 50 states have over 1,000 confirmed COVID-19 cases. 20 of those 45 have more than 10,000 cases. Rhode Island is on track to join that category very soon.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, new daily cases, descending:​

8 states reported over +1,000 new cases on 2020-05-001. The day before, it was 13.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, top 25, total tests administered, descending:​

I thought it would be a good idea to get a feel for where the most tests are taking place within the USA. You can see for yourself.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, new daily deaths, descending:​

What we can see at a glance is that there were somewhat less total deaths in the USA on 2020-05,001. NY lead in the number of daily deaths.

5 states reported more than +100 daily deaths, the day before, it was 5. The total daily deaths stayed under 2,000 for the second day in a row, which is cause to rejoice. I only hope that the cycle does not spring upward again.

COVID-19 in the USA, by state, total deaths, descending:​

14 states in the Union have a total of more than 1,000 COVID-19 deaths, as was the case the day before.

On 2020-04-028, over two postings, I extrapolated that if we "only" had +1,400 US deaths per day until the end of May, 2020, then we would reach over 103,000 dead Americans at that time, before the summer even begins . In the three days since and including 2020-04-028, we came in over that "only". Now might be a good time to look at that new excel table again:




So, instead of "only" 7,000 extrapolated deaths (1,400 * 5 = 5,600) over five days (2020-04-028 through 2020-05-002), we we actually had 10,647 actual deaths, 3,647 over the extrapolation.

This means that were absolutely no deaths to be reported today (2020-05-003) and tomorrow (2020-05-004) in the USA (that would be a great thing) and only 533 deaths reported on 2020-05-005, we would still be exactly on track to go over 103,000 deaths in the USA by the end of May. This simple math is horrifyingly unassailable.

Further, it is unreasonable to think that the deaths are simply going to stop. Look at the current number of active cases in the USA: 920,012. At least 2-3% of those cases are people who are in serious condition. That' between 18,400-27,600 people who are closer to death than to life right now. So, the extrapolation exercise is there to keep up sober in our thinking about what lies ahead.

Let's see what Sunday brings. I hope very much that the daily death total continues to recede, but we have seen this sinus-curve pattern in daily deaths before, so I am not holding my breath.

-Stat

 

Once again you make spurious allegations that you cannot substantiate.

Sad!

 

Nursing homes here are a disgrace. They put profits ahead of people and they are aided and abetted by the failure of leadership to enforce regulations that would ensure that the proper procedures and protocols are in place.

 

I meant it as a possible source of perambulating infection.

 

Similar to here. Aged care is the last consideration when health care money is being allocated. Too hard.

 

All staff at nursing homes in Texas are required to use them.

You can't make masks out of thin air. China supplied most of the masks and other PPE for the entire world. There was a mask hoarding fest between countries for limited quantities. We are just now able to obtain a sufficient number of masks through ramping up our own production and being able to order stock from recently increased global production.

People are dying in nursing homes from the virus because people in nursing homes are society's most fragile and weak, with more than 50% only living 5 months after being placed in a home. If you are healthy enough to take care of yourself independently, or a family member can care for you until death or afford in-home care, you don't go to a nursing home.

 

SERVICES TO THE NATION'S PEOPLE

Under present circumstances, does the tally really matter? What is happening demonstrates an across the board Dereliction of Duty at the highest levels of government - and not just recently but for over half a century!

I suggest what matters is the rate of expansion of deaths per week. So, yes, it IS key to get the numbers right. But statistically, it is necessary to see the acceleration or lowering of the rate of deaths. And, frankly, compared to the precautions that the Europeans took about a month too late the US is not only later but totally unprepared.

And why? Because the US presently REFUSES to have a National Healthcare System - that is, paid for out of national taxation. But, oh yeah! Isn't it GREAT that the DoD is supported by national direct taxation of the population!

Now, why should that be happening? Because, as a nation, and particularly ever since Reckless Ronnie came to power in the early 1980s; we refuse to understand that the Government does have a key-role to play in two very high-priority "national services": namely, National Health Care and Post-secondary Education.

Enough of this cockamamie notion that the Market Does EVERYTHING RIGHT. That never was the truth and Donald Dork is the last in a long-line of Replicant Dorks who got the economic-equation all-wrong, all-wrong, all-wrong. It is now the most unfair of any developed nation on earth in terms of GDP-per-person.

So? So definitions must change. It is no longer JUST GDP that is the best indicator of a nation's progress. It is Services to the Nation's People that is taking its place.

As I have said many-a-time here: "There is no simple answer to the question of What Economy Is Good Enough for a People? Just honest debate of the question!"

It's a great shame that Covid-19 has had to kill so many of our loved-ones to convey that message ...

 

If one infected "super spreader" employee is working multiple homes in a chain, then yes, that would increase the risk of spreading faster. Even if a worker works at only one residence and is infected, then that would start the outbreak.

 

Employees still have to be in direct contact with residents. The only way the virus can start in a residence is from the outside and the only people going in and out now are employees. There's no way to control for that.

 

Okay, if you need someone to hold your hand and do your Google searches on federal help for Indian Reservations, I'll give you links which I've already looked into. Don't expect me to go finding info for you which you can look up yourself if you were sincerely interested and curious about getting an answer. I don't think your requests for information are motivated out of sincerity. Sad!

https://www.ihs.gov/coronavirus/
https://medium.com/@michael.woestehoff/coronavirus-in-indian-country-covid-19-actions-e02d717cd983

 

This is a ****ing cruel, inhumane and indecent way of describing anything pertaining to our senior citizens.

There is no way to know how many of them could have lived more than just a few more years had COVID-19, and frankly, it's none of your business to decide. Are you in possession of all of their medical records? Are you in possession of the exact stats over the deaths of seniors, per old folk's home, for every senior center in the nation?

I am quite sure that the people who have lost loved one in these facilities from COVID-19 are going to more than strongly disagree with you.

Your words may be couched in niceties, but actually, this is the most disgusting thing I may have ever read in PF, from any person at any time, ever. It's just a well-worded ****-you to our seniors, nothing less and nothing more.

Unlike you, were you to get sick with COVID-19, I would wish you well and hope that the disease would never come to you in the first place. And I wouldn't say, "oh well, the old gal would have croaked in a couple of months anyway, who gives a ****"

A society that is cruel to it's weakest is a society that does not deserve to survive.

Damn.

We are done here.

 

Criticism of which direction our health care should have gone or should go is a political opinion. I respect your right to have and voice your opinion.

 

Indeed. He said that all on his own.

 

Yes, I posted a chart with U.S. nursing home statistics of time until death yesterday. It is a sad fact that most people get placed at end of life.

Perhaps we should ask the elderly whether they would rather hug their children and grandchildren or have a relative hold their hand and risk dying a few months sooner, or if they'd prefer to be separated by a window in order to live a few more months. Which is more cruel?

 

It shocked me because Heisenberg is one of those bum-**** nowhere 1-pony towns and it was apparent to me in that very instant that if COVID-19 can reach a place like Heinsberg, then it will literally end up everywhere, which is exactly what is happening. And since Karneval had just come and gone, with about 50 million Germans having partied on the streets for 4 days in a row....