Trump is going to lose reelection.

Discussion in 'Political Opinions & Beliefs' started by Pelham Gardens, Jan 17, 2019.

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  1. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    You are distracted by the historical precedent that does NOT take into account the UNPRECEDENTED problem that the Dems were facing in the Senate.

    The Dems were DEFENDING 26 out of the 35 seats that were up for election this cycle.

    Of those 26 seats there were TEN that were in RED states that your beloved BLOTUS had won in 2016.

    Holding on to all of those 10 seats AND defeating any of the GOP's 9 seats was a MASSIVE undertaking.

    As it was the Dems did better than expected by FLIPPING two of the GOP seats to blue. That minimized what would have been a serious LOSS.

    So the Blue Wave ensured that the Dems kept their Senate losses to the bare minimum.
     
  2. ArchStanton

    ArchStanton Banned

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    And may I add, without the massive voter fraud in California called 'motor voter' and giving driver's licenses to illegals, your blue wave would have looked like a blue ripple.
     
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  3. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Complete and utter baseless claptrap without any shred of credibility.

    The illegal vote fraud occurred in North Carolina and it was 100% Republican VOTER SUPPRESSION at it's worst!
     
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  4. Sanskrit

    Sanskrit Well-Known Member

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    Absent some Black Swan between now and the election, my estimate is Trump has about ~80% chance of winning against any possible Democrat.
     
  5. Lee Atwater

    Lee Atwater Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Does proof of obstruction of justice qualify as a black swan?
     
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  6. jay runner

    jay runner Banned

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    The wall is a physical symbol of national sovereignty. With no wall globalism takes over and the USA is but a client puppet state.
     
  7. Sanskrit

    Sanskrit Well-Known Member

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    Maybe, combined with all the other hundred to thousand rabid TDS turds, each little turdlet piece could lump together and function as a Black Swan... in Trump's favor.
     
  8. Crawdadr

    Crawdadr Well-Known Member

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    If you are not first your last. Hilary got more votes yet is not President. That means she did not do what needed to be done, The Democrats had a rough road but that means nothing if they did not over come that and win.

    By the way he is not my "blotus" as you say. My guy did not win either. I am a neutral participant.
     
  9. TrackerSam

    TrackerSam Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    No land slide?
     
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  10. TrackerSam

    TrackerSam Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Every president had the electoral college. That's how they were all elected. funny.gif
     
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  11. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    Nor did Hillary.
    She also did not have the electoral college.
     
  12. TOG 6

    TOG 6 Well-Known Member

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    All but one.
    One President did not have the most votes, electoral or popular, and won.
     
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  13. TrackerSam

    TrackerSam Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Because military personnel get paid less than inmates in prison. It's not free, it's a different form of compensation.
    You guys want everything free. Old St. Jack Kennedy is mortified. Ask not what you can do for your country, ask your country for more free stuff.
     
  14. TrackerSam

    TrackerSam Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    That and $5 will get you a Starbucks with Hillary..................as long as you're buying. How many states did she win? Not nearly enough.
     
  15. TrackerSam

    TrackerSam Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    No. It's just Hillary falling down the stairs in a drunken stupor.
     
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  16. yabberefugee

    yabberefugee Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    I'll settle for another electoral win.
     
  17. 61falcon

    61falcon Well-Known Member

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    Dirty Donald will not be in a position to seek reelection from a jail cell.
     
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  18. drluggit

    drluggit Well-Known Member

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    Hillary should run again. And this time... it's personal.....
     
  19. Professor Peabody

    Professor Peabody Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Because your Magic 8 Ball told you so?
     
  20. Chuck711

    Chuck711 Well-Known Member

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    President Obama created among other things Telsa and the Great economy that Trump has claimed credit for.

    What President Obama has not done is surround himself with unqualified personnel or criminals as Trump does.

    Trump was elected to run the country by a minority................... not shut it down.

    He can't even keep the doors open ............. just like Trumps previous businesses.
     
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  21. Marine1

    Marine1 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Giving the go ahead of attacking bin Laden's home is the only thing I give Obama credit for in the Middle East.


    CIA director Brennan admits ISIS was “decimated” under Bush, but ...

    www.aei.org/.../brennan-admits-isis-was-decimated-under-bush-but-has-grown-under-...

    1. Cached
    Nov 17, 2015 - by the CIA's own estimate, ISIS has grown on President Obama's watch from ... And then it grew quite a bit in the last several years, when it split then from .... The US under George W. Bush government destroyed Saddam Hussein's ..... in some form or another well before 1999, and clearly grew under Pres.


    US Pilots Confirm: Obama Admin Blocks 75% of ISIS Strikes

    https://freebeacon.com/.../us-pilots-confirm-obama-admin-blocks-75-percent-of-isis-st...

    1. Cached
    Nov 20, 2015 - U.S. Pilots Confirm: Obama Admin Blocks 75 Percent of Islamic State Strikes ... Strikes against the Islamic State (also known as ISIS or ISIL) targets are often ... and now as the pilots come back to talk to us they say three-quarters of ... State targets within two days after the terror attacks in Paris that killed 129.


    Why the Middle East Hated Obama But Loves Trump - POLITICO ...

    https://www.politico.com/.../story/.../donald-trump-middle-east-barack-obama-215441

    1. Cached
    Jul 31, 2017 - Russia won in Syria thanks to President Barack Obama's inaction. The Middle East unraveling of the past decade is due in no small part to ...


    1. Saudi Prince: Obama has made a mess of the Mideast ...
      https://www.ff.org/saudi-prince-obama-has-made-a-mess-of-the-mideast
      Saudi Prince
      : Obama has made a mess of the Mideast January 13, 2014 A Saudi prince sent a harsh message to President Obama and his administration, saying White House waffling and indecision has compromised the ability of the United States to nail down a …


    1. Obama admits Libya was 'worst mistake' - bbc.com
      https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-36013703
      US President Barack Obama has said failing to prepare for the aftermath of the ousting of Libyan leader Col Muammar Gaddafi was the worst mistake of his presidency. Mr Obama was answering a series ...
     
    Last edited: Jan 18, 2019
  22. Spooky

    Spooky Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Love how you guys are going back to the polling data again.

    You'd think you would have learned your lesson after last time but I guess that embarrassment just wasn't quite enough for you.

    Keep that chin up there buddy.
     
  23. Marine1

    Marine1 Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    https://www.usnews.com/news/the-report/articles/2015/08/23/the-part-time-economic-recovery
    [​IMG]

    The Part-Time Economic Recovery | The Report | US News
    www.usnews.com
    It is time for the presidential candidates to address the issue of unemployment and underemployment.



    But now that we're in the midst of a booming economy — which kicked in after Trump reversed almost all Obama's economic policies — we're supposed to believe that it's Obama who deserves all the credit.

    Yep. That's precisely what Obama and his Amen Chorus in the press want us to believe.

    In his speech in Illinois last Friday, Obama complained that Republicans were taking credit for his work.

    "When you hear how great the economy's doing right now, let's just remember when this recovery started," he said. "I mean, I'm glad it's continued, but … suddenly Republicans are saying it's a miracle."

    This week, White House Council of Economic Advisers Chairman Kevin Hassett wisely set the record straight. At a briefing on Monday, he noted that just about every important economic indicator showed the economy was stalling out in Obama's last year.

    Hassett explained that small business optimism had been on the decline before the November 2016 election. The percentage of businesses saying it's a good time to expand was, too. Business investment was stagnant. All those turned upward starting in 2017. Applications for new businesses are now well above the trend over Obama's entire second term, Hassett noted. And blue-collar jobs are growing faster than any time since the Reagan administration.

    Turnaround on GDP Growth
    There's more. The rate of GDP growth was decelerating in Obama's last year. It went from 2.3% in Q2, to 1.9% in Q3 to 1.8% in Q4 of 2016. Under Trump, GDP growth has averaged 2.9%. It was 4.2% last quarter and might be higher in the current one.

    The stock market also was stuck in neutral the year before the November 2016 elections. The Dow is up by some 45% since then.

    Real median family income didn't budge from August 2015 to November 2016, according to Sentier Research. It's up more than 4% since Trump came into office. Wages are on the upswing.


    https://www.investors.com/politics/editorials/obama-trump-booming-economy/



    • How good were the 10.9 million jobs under Obama?
      Money.CNN.com/2016/11/04/news/economy/jobs-under-obama/...
      Nov 03, 2016 · CNNMoney breaks down what kinds of jobs have been created and ... Almost all of the job gains under President Obama have been in so-called service jobs,


    The deep recession wiped out primarily high-wage and middle-wage jobs. Yet the strongest employment growth during the sluggish recovery has been in low-wage work, at places like strip malls and fast-food restaurants.

    In essence, the poor economy has replaced good jobs with bad ones. That is the conclusion of a new report from the National Employment Law Project, a research and advocacy group, analyzing employment trends four years into the recovery.

    “Fast food is driving the bulk of the job growth at the low end — the job gains there are absolutely phenomenal,” said Michael Evangelist, the report’s author. “If this is the reality — if these jobs are here to stay and are going to be making up a considerable part of the economy — the question is, how do we make them better?”

    The report shows that total employment has finally surpassed its pre-recession level. “The good news is we’re back to zero,” Mr. Evangelist said.

    But job losses and gains have been skewed. Higher-wage industries — like accounting and legal work — shed 3.6 million positions during the recession and have added only 2.6 million positions during the recovery. But lower-wage industries lost two million jobs, then added 3.8 million.
    HTTPS://www.nytimes.com/…/recovery-has-created-far-more-low…



    77 percent of 2013 jobs were part-time positions ...
    https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2013/aug/2/part-timer-nation...
    Aug 02, 2013 · Fully 77 percent of positions added to the market in 2013 have been part-time, in contrast to the positive economic news making the media rounds, according to payroll reports released in recent weeks.


    "There are now 1.2 million fewer jobs in mid- and higher-wage industries than there were before the Great Recession, according to data from the National Employment Law Project. In contrast, there are 2.3 million more jobs in lower-wage sectors than before the recession," according to CNBC. Nor is there the hoped-for renaissance in American manufacturing. We have some 300,000 fewer manufacturing jobs since President Barack Obama took office and 1.5 million jobs below the pre-recession level.



    https://www.usnews.com/news/the-report/articles/2015/08/23/the-part-time-economic-recovery
     
  24. Chuck711

    Chuck711 Well-Known Member

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    President Obama can't serve a third term .................. Do you want to change the constitution ?
     
  25. Xenamnes

    Xenamnes Banned

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    The republican party holds the senate, meaning they are free to confirm whatever judge Donald Trump may pick, all the way up to and including justices for the united state supreme court. Justices who may potentially just be waiting for the first opportunity to dismantle any policy supported by the liberal democrat party.
     

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