Tracking the COVID-19-Virus in Germany, the USA, Italy and other hot spots in the world

Discussion in 'Coronavirus (COVID-19) News' started by Statistikhengst, Mar 14, 2020.

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  1. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    October 2020 was an astonishingly horrifying month in the history of COVID-19 across our world.

    Unfortunately, I sense that November and December will be far worse.

    I am.... depressed. Really depressed by this level of sickness, death, stress and in some corners, ignorance.

    It didn't have to be this way.
     
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  2. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    While those numbers clearly indicate that 2nd wave is upon us there is no lag between the EU nations and the USA that was there during the 1st wave. If anything the US is AHEAD of the EU nations this time around.

    Now I am going to make a prediction that nations in there southern hemisphere will be somewhat lower during this wave but will be the primary drivers of the NEXT wave when Spring starts in the northern hemisphere.

    The virus THRIVES indoors but does NOT disappear outdoors when there is warmer weather. It seems to be capable of surviving where the Flu virus cannot. That makes it far more SERIOUS since there can be NO respite WITHOUT an effective vaccine.

    We are on a global viral rollercoaster and we have learned how to treat the worst of the symptoms thanks to dedication and hard work of our scientists and medical staff worldwide.

    What WE must do is make their job easier by REDUCING the spread with MASKS, Social Distancing and frequent hand washing.
     
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  3. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    Pre-EOW-analysis tables for Sunday, 2020-11-001 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 1:
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations over 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases

    As indicated a while back: I am now only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 11 nations (all over 900,000 cases) throughout the week (Monday through Saturday) and will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week. You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves as you wish.

    This will be the new daily format apart from EOW (End of Week) / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Wishing you all good health.

    MY EXCEL TRACKING NOW ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE + 11 NATIONS

    WORLDWIDE:
    ֍֍֍֍****** 46,804,614 ******֍֍֍֍
    +437,141 daily cases
    +3,478,798 cases over the week before / +46,127 deaths over the week before


    CROATIA WENT OVER 50,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    KENYA & N. MACEDONIA BOTH WENT OVER 1,000 TOTAL COVID-19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY


    2020-11-001 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 009 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 001- total cases.png
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 002- total cases.png

    USA:

    ********* 9,473,911 *********
    +71,321 daily cases
    +584,732 cases over the week before / +5,961 deaths over the week before

    AVERAGE +CASES ARE NOW ABOVE +83,500 PER DAY
    MASSACHUSETTS WENT OVER 10,000 TOTAL COVID-19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY




    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 007 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png


    INDIA:
    ******** 8,229,322 ********
    +46,441 daily cases

    +320,272 cases over the week before / +3,612 deaths over the week before

    THE WAVE IN INDIA IS RECEDING VERIFIABLY

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ***** 5,545,705 *****

    +10,100 daily cases
    +151,577 cases over the week before / +2,941 deaths over the week before

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png

    The nations from just under 1,000,000 to 5,000,000 C19 cases follow in Part 2.
     
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  4. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    Pre-EOW-analysis tables for Sunday, 2020-11-001 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 2:
    'dreadnaught' nations from just under +1,000,000 to 5,000,000 total C19 cases - currently being tracked

    RUSSIA:
    * 1,636,781 *

    +18,665 daily cases
    +122,904 cases over the week before / +2,185 deaths over the week before

    OVER +15,000 FRESH C19 INFECTIONS FOR THE LAST 15 DAY IN A ROW
    AVERAGE DAILY DEATHS ARE THE HIGHEST THEY HAVE EVER BEEN IN RUSSIA



    2020-11-001 COVID-19 RUSSIA 000.png



    FRANCE
    * 1,413,915 *

    +46,290 daily cases
    +275,408 cases over the week before / +2,258 deaths over the week before



    2020-11-001 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png

    SPAIN:
    * 1,264,517 *
    +0 daily cases (no change from the day before)

    +125,415 cases over the week before / +940 deaths over the week before


    2020-11-001 COVID-19 SPAIN 000.png


    ARGENTINA:
    * 1,173,533 *

    +6,609 daily cases
    +82,944 cases over the week before / +2,244 deaths over the week before

    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 ARGENTINA 000.png

    COLOMBIA:
    * 1,083,321 *

    +9,137 daily cases
    +67,436 cases over the week before / +1,361 deaths over the week before


    2020-11-001 COVID-19 COLOMBIA 000.png

    UNITED KINGDOM:
    * 1,034,914 *

    +23,254 daily cases
    +161,114 cases over the week before / +1,821 deaths over the week before

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 UK 000.png


    MEXICO:
    924,962

    +6,151 daily cases
    +38,162 cases over the week before / +3,010 deaths over the week before
    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 MEXICO 000.png


    PERU:
    904,911

    +2,408 daily cases
    +16,196 cases over the week before / +380 deaths over the week before


    2020-11-001 COVID-19 PERU 000.png
     
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  5. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

    COVID-19 worldwide statistical analysis for the week of 2020-10-025 through 2020-11-001
    (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):


    ֍֍֍֍*** 46,804,614 ***֍֍֍֍
    A record-shattering +3,478,798 cases over the Sunday before (was +3,061,594 one week earlier).
    THE WORLD WENT OVER 44, 45 & 46 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES WITHIN THIS WEEK


    TOTAL C19 cases: 165 nations with 1,000+, 112 with 10,000+, 78 with 50,000+, 50 with 100,000+, 9 with 1,000,000+

    There have now been 1,205,144 COVID-19 deaths worldwide, +46,127 of them occured in this week (+40,750 the week before).
    ---------------------------------------------------------

    Worldwide WEEKLY rolling averages: record-shattering +496,971 new C19 cases per day / +6,590 deaths per day
    +5,961 US-American, +3,612 Indian, +3,010 Mexican, +2,941 Brazilian & +2,258 French new deaths were recorded in this week.
    The number of serious/critical (ICU) cases worldwide: 85,243 (+7,516 over the week before)

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:
    [​IMG]

    It was a huge newsweek on the COVID-19 front...foremost that the world is now jumping 1 million C19 cases in every 2.01 days. Also big news is the fact the the world went over +500,000 cases for three days in a row and stayed over +400,000 cases for the entire week. It's a whole new Covid-19 world out there.

    Also, the USA set a new record and went over +100,000 cases in one single day, for the first time ever.


    Also, in this week, the number of nations with over 1,000,000 total C19 cases jumped again, from 8 to 9, with the UK crossing over the 1,000,000-line in this week.

    Also very disheartening is that Germany (where I live and work) crossed over the +10,000-case line more than once this last week. Germany is on lockdown as of today, 2020-11-002.

    If you compare the weekly average of this week before to the preceeding week, you will see that the average +daily cases rose considerably (+496,971 vs +437,371 the week before, a significant jump) and the average deaths also rose (+5,821 the week before to +6,590 now). That translates to 345 C19 infections and 4.6 deaths PER MINUTE, EVERY MINUTE.

    There can be no doubt about it: the 2nd major wave for the entire world is now here.


    [​IMG]

    By clicking on the hyperlink (in the title), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. You can see that for the entire week, there were 18 nation-rubrik changes, 5 less than the week before: Azerbaijan, Kenya (2x), Angola, Slovakia, Myanmar, Sri Lanka, Bulgaria, Bosnia/Herzegovina, Austria (2x), Japan, UK, Croatia, Canada, Turkey, Poland and North Macedonia.

    The way the rubrik table is presented, you can easily (and mathematically) see how the week has developed until its end.

    Total cases per country, descending (this time, countries with circa +1,000 C19 cases and above):
    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 003- total cases.png
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 004- total cases.png

    India is not going to be catching up to the USA in total C19 cases anytime soon. In India, the wave is verifiably receding, whilst in the USA, it is raging. Very soon, the USA will leave the 8-digit-zone and enter the 9-digit-zone in total C19 cases, a very, very sobering thought.

    In terms of the countries with the most new cases:

    Actually, when you only see weekly reports, the +cases for just one day doesn't make a lot of sense, because Sundays tend to be a lot lighter than the middle of the week, and that skews our senses. Nonethless, I have decided to present the Sunday +cases this time because these days, even on a Sunday, you need two screenshots just to capture all the nations with over +1,000 fresh C19 infections.

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 005a- new cases 001.png
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 005b- new cases 002.png


    And when you look at the entire week among the nations I am tracking (11 of them), here is how the weekly stats worked out in +cases:

    Worldwide: +3,478,798
    -------------------------------------
    USA: +584,732
    India: +320,272
    France: +275,408
    UK: +161,114
    Brazil: +151,577
    Spain: +125,415
    Russia: +122,904
    Argentina: +82,944
    Colombia: +62,436
    Mexico: +38,162
    Peru: +16,196

    Those 11 nations, all over, at or shortly before a total of 1,000,000 C19 cases, accounted for 55.80% of all worldwide +cases in the last week.

    And it should be said again that on Friday, 2020-10-030, with the week being analysed, the USA set a new and gruesome record by going over +100,000 C19 cases in just one day. Kind of gives Halloween an entirely new feel, nöööö....

    In terms of total deaths per country, descending:
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 006 - total deaths.png

    The top 4:

    USA, total deaths: 236,471 / 19.62% of worldwide deaths (19.89% on the Sunday before). The USA is currently expected to hit 250,000 deaths Mid-November, 2020.

    Brazil, total deaths: 160,104 / 13.31% of worldwide deaths (13.56% on the Sunday before). Extrapolated 200,000 death date, based on the daily average of 657 deaths per day, from 2020-10-014 = New Years Day 2021.

    India, total deaths: 122,642 / 10.18% of worldwide deaths (10.27% on the Sunday before). India will likely go over 200,000 C19 deaths around January 12, 2021.

    Mexico, total deaths: 91,753 / 7.61% of worldwide deaths (7.66% on the Sunday before). No extrapolation for 100,000 deaths quite yet.

    Combined (610,970), the top four nations currently represent 51.70% of all total deaths in the world to-date (was 51.81% the week before).



    In terms of the countries with the most daily deaths:
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 007 - new deaths.png .

    Of the 11 nations that I am tracking daily, here is how the weekly stats worked out in +deaths:

    Worldwide: +46,127
    -------------------------------------
    USA: +5,961
    India: +3,612
    Mexico: +3,010
    Brazil: +2,941
    France: +2,258
    Argentina: +2,244
    Russia: +2,185
    UK: +1,821
    Colombia: +1,361
    Spain: +940
    Peru: +380

    Those 11 nations, all over, at or shortly before a total of 1,000,000 C19 cases, accounted for 57.91% of all worldwide +deaths in the last week, commensurate with the 55.80% of all plus cases.

    In terms of Total Tests administered per country:

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 010a- total tests 001.png
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 Worldwide 010a- total tests 002.png

    65
    nations have now administered more than 1 million tests apiece, with Lithuania and Hungary having crossed the 1,000,000 during this last week; of those 65, 12 nations have performed more than 10 million apiece. Of those 12, 3 have performed more than 100 million apiece.

    END-FACIT: Logistical case growth, not exponential, but still, we are accumulating a huge number of C19 cases per day.

    -Stat

    Appendix - There were some important analyses thoughout the week from 2020-10-025 through 2020-11-001:
    Pre-analysis tables for 2020-10-025, posted 2020-10-026, 16:54 GMT +2, #12659.
    Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-10-025, posted 2020-10-026, 17:41 GMT +2, #12660.
    USA EOD analysis for 2020-10-026, posted 2020-10-026, 18:18 GMT +2, #12661.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-026, Part 1, posted 2020-10-026, 09:52 GMT +2, #12664.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-026, Part 2, posted 2020-10-027, 09:54 GMT +2, #12665.
    8 month lookback to 2020-02-027, posted 2020-10-027, 15:34 GMT +2, #12667.
    4 noteworthy changes to the online excel-data, posted 2020-10-027, 16:09 GMT +2, #12668.
    Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-10-027, posted 2020-10-028, 09:05 GMT +2, #12671.
    USA EOD analysis for 2020-10-027, posted 2020-10-028, 09:07 GMT +2, #12672.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-028, posted 2020-10-029, 10:00 GMT +2, #12675.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-028, posted 2020-10-029, 10:04 GMT +2, #12676.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-029, Part 1, posted 2020-10-030, 09:39 GMT +2, #12677.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-029, Part 2, posted 2020-10-030, 09:41 GMT +2, #12678.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-030, Part 1, posted 2020-10-031, 10:01 GMT +2, #12687.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-030, Part 2, posted 2020-10-031, 10:04 GMT +2, #12688. #12688.
    Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-10-031, posted 2020-11-001, 11:02 GMT +2, #12693.
    Pre-analysis tables Part II for 2020-10-031, posted 2020-11-001, 11:06 GMT +2, #12694.
    WORLDWIDE EOM analysis, for 2020-10-031, posted 2020-11-001, 19:29 GMT +2, #12700.
    USA EOM analysis for 2020-10-031, posted 2020-11-001, 19:27 GMT +2, #12699.
    Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 11:25 GMT +2, #12703.
    Pre-analysis tables Part II for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 11:27 GMT +2, #12704.
     
    Last edited: Nov 2, 2020
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  6. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT

    COVID-19 in the USA: statistical analysis for for for the week of 2020-10-025 through 2020-11-001
    (GMT +0 - Greenwich = 20:00 EDT):

    ******** 9,473,911 ********
    THE USA WENT OVER 9,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES DURING THIS LAST WEEK.

    A record-shattering +584,732 new COVID-19 cases over the week before (it was +501,380 the week before that).
    On 2020-10-030, with +103,530 new cases, the USA set a new +cases record for the entire world
    KENTUCKY, COLORADO & NEVADA went over 100,000 total confirmed COVID-19 cases during this week.

    KANSAS & NEW MEXICO went over 1,000 total confirmed COVID-19 deaths during this week.
    MASSACHUSETTS went over 10,000 total confirmed COVID-19 deaths during this week.
    There are currently exactly 4,000 COVID-19 deaths among US-Veterans who were in care from Veterans Affairs.



    The USA has now officially recorded 236,471 total COVID-19 deaths, +5,961 of those deaths were recorded during this week.
    ***On Election Day, the US will very likely reach the 237,500 deaths I extrapolated 3 months ago for Election Day***

    USA WEEKLY rolling average = 83,533 new infections & 852 deaths per day.
    17,205 C19 cases in the USA are listed in critical care (+828 over the week before).
    TOTAL PERFORMED C19 tests: 145 million, 33 states have now performed over 1 million tests apiece.


    STAT'S EXCEL-TABLE:

    [​IMG]

    The USA is getting hammered by what for the world is the 2nd wave, but may simply be the 3rd loop of the 1st wave in the USA, since we never really tamped-down on the virus the first time.

    The currentl 7-day rolling averages calculate to = 58 new infections and 0.6 deaths per MINUTE. EVERY MINUTE. NON-STOP.

    The infection rate and the rate of ICU bed use is obviously going in the wrong direction.

    Worst yet, the average daily deaths is now exactly where my extrapolation (see: bottom of analysis) pegged it to be 3 months ago . Remember, deaths are a lagging indicator, so the skyrocketing number of daily cases can only mean considerably more daily deaths starting about the 3rd week of November, 2020.


    [​IMG]

    By clicking on the hyperlink (directly above this screenshot), you can learn to interpret the worksheet. For the entire week, there were 6 unit / rubrik changes: Kentucky, Colorado, Nevada, Kansas New Mexico and Massachusetts.

    TEXAS led in +cases the first four days of this week, while ILLINOIS lead the last 3 days. On Saturday, 4 of the 5 top states were all neighboring states from the upper Midwest.

    The way the rubrik table is presented, you can easily (and mathematically) see how the week has developed until its end.


    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total confirmed C19 cases, descending:

    [​IMG]
    [​IMG]



    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily cases:
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 003 - new cases.png

    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, new daily deaths:
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 005 - new deaths.png
    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total deaths:
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 004a - total deaths 001.png
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 004b - total deaths 002.png
    COVID-19 in the USA, by all 57 UNITS, total tests performed/documented:
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 008 - total tests 001.png
    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 008 - total tests 002.png

    -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FACIT: we ended the 7-day period analysed with 236,471 total US deaths from COVID-19.

    [​IMG]

    This means that we have currently lost the equivalent of the population of IRVING, never to get it back again.


    As of 2020-08-001, I adjusted the extrapolation upward from an estimated average +700 deaths per day (from 2020-06-001 through 2020-07-031) to an estimated average of +850 deaths per day in the USA. Here the current projected milestones:

    2020-09-020: 200,000 deaths (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-10-013). 200,000 deaths were reached 5 days before, on 2020-09-015.
    2020-11-003 (Election Day): 237,500 deaths
    2020-11-018: 250,000 deaths
    (the old extrapolation projected: 2020-12-023).
    2020-12-031: 286,697 deaths on New Years Eve, 2020 going into 2021.

    At current:

    2020-11-001 COVID-19 USA 006 - extrapolation.png

    This means that we are currently at +724 deaths over the extrapolation, which puts us also currently slightly less than 1 day ahead of the next milestone-projections. The USA's current daily death average = +852, which squares exactly with this extrapolation. Wow.

    I know it may be tiring to see these statistics all the time, but I do think it's important to follow the data-path every day and to put it in print, for posterity's sake, so that the naysayers cannot say "nay" without looking totally ignorant.

    NEW CONCLUSION: mitigate!

    -Stat

    Appendix -
    There were some important analyses thoughout the week from 2020-10-025 through 2020-11-001:
    Pre-analysis tables for 2020-10-025, posted 2020-10-026, 16:54 GMT +2, #12659.
    Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-10-025, posted 2020-10-026, 17:41 GMT +2, #12660.
    USA EOD analysis for 2020-10-026, posted 2020-10-026, 18:18 GMT +2, #12661.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-026, Part 1, posted 2020-10-026, 09:52 GMT +2, #12664.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-026, Part 2, posted 2020-10-027, 09:54 GMT +2, #12665.
    8 month lookback to 2020-02-027, posted 2020-10-027, 15:34 GMT +2, #12667.
    4 noteworthy changes to the online excel-data, posted 2020-10-027, 16:09 GMT +2, #12668.
    Worldwide EOD analysis for 2020-10-027, posted 2020-10-028, 09:05 GMT +2, #12671.
    USA EOD analysis for 2020-10-027, posted 2020-10-028, 09:07 GMT +2, #12672.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-028, posted 2020-10-029, 10:00 GMT +2, #12675.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-028, posted 2020-10-029, 10:04 GMT +2, #12676.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-029, Part 1, posted 2020-10-030, 09:39 GMT +2, #12677.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-029, Part 2, posted 2020-10-030, 09:41 GMT +2, #12678.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-030, Part 1, posted 2020-10-031, 10:01 GMT +2, #12687.
    EOD general quick analysis for 2020-10-030, Part 2, posted 2020-10-031, 10:04 GMT +2, #12688. #12688.
    Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-10-031, posted 2020-11-001, 11:02 GMT +2, #12693.
    Pre-analysis tables Part II for 2020-10-031, posted 2020-11-001, 11:06 GMT +2, #12694.
    WORLDWIDE EOM analysis, for 2020-10-031, posted 2020-11-001, 19:29 GMT +2, #12700.
    USA EOM analysis for 2020-10-031, posted 2020-11-001, 19:27 GMT +2, #12699.
    Pre-analysis tables Part I for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 11:25 GMT +2, #12703.
    Pre-analysis tables Part II for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 11:27 GMT +2, #12704.
    WORLDWIDE EOW analysis for 2020-11-001, posted 2020-11-002, 12:50 GMT +2, #12705.
     
    Last edited: Nov 2, 2020
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  7. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    Man oh man, these analyses tire out my brain. I'm taking the rest of the day off from COVID-19.

    I really miss having nice discussions here. Perhaps after the General Election is ad acta.
     
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  8. Derideo_Te

    Derideo_Te Well-Known Member

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    Looks like you are going to nail that extrapolation right on the money given that yesterday's total was 236,471.
     
    Last edited: Nov 2, 2020
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  9. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Let's not forget, 11 - 4 - 20, no more covid, all gone vanished.

    Or-Well, just joking....................................................................
     
  10. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Washing hands wearing masks are all good things. But once indoors, or spending a lot of time indoors, they ain't going to do duddly.
    Its a airborne virus, extremly aggresive. If you are indoors, store, office etc. and the air is not constantly clean, down to the virus level, that air you breath, or your eyes touches might reach a contamination level, were it infect everybody.
    That is the major problem we are facing, fall, winter, spring, the virus polluted air inside.
    If a Covid coughs, sneezes, exhales, speaks, mask or no mask, the Covid will unload viruses in the air and that virus can be in that air for more than 24h.
    Here is a other kiker.
    2 days, you go to Walli, grocery, pharmacy, parts shop. In every of those stores you just catch a few. As a single occurrent, would not be enough to make you sick, you even would not know, ever.
    But than the accumulation over 48h could be as bad as a nice little cough from a Covid straight into the face, early Covid.

    I know I am such a bright ray of sunshine.
    IT"S AIRBORNE and that is the difference, Eyes, Nose, Mouth.
    You wash your hands, because you might have touched a contaminated surface. But you should wash your face, too, because of the air.

    I know, I am such a bright ray of sunshine.


    That's why people love me so much.



    GROEOEOEOEOEOEHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
     
  11. crank

    crank Well-Known Member

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    Simple - don't be indoors. Not sure why people would need to be indoors when not at home or work? Groceries can be delivered, and just about everything else on planet earth can be purchased online. Medical appointments maybe? If not that, then it's likely people are going to public indoor places because they want to.
     
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  12. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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    Are we experiencing, what my generations parents must have felt, the war generation, how their live s got torn apart, by something they had no control over. Victims, powerless, because of a force they can not control.
    I am a old war horse, but it was my choosing, now it is mandatory draft, no choice, 100% draft.
    We are all in it, World Wide, 7 billion, WW-C.
    I have tried to wrap my mind around that and failed miserly.

    One day, maybe next year, or the year after, with the vaccine this will end.
    But than we will truly tally it up and than Bro, we will get truly stunned, the tally, I think, will be around WWII.

    Mind you, brother, I am the positive guy, to much Bier still to drink.

    But one day

     
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  13. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    COVID-19 stats for Monday, 2020-11-002 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 1:
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations over 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases

    As indicated a while back: I am now only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 11 nations (all over 900,000 cases) throughout the week (Monday through Saturday) and will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week. You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves as you wish.

    This will be the new daily format apart from EOW (End of Week) / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Wishing you all good health.

    NOTE: there are some changes in the Rubrik-worktables (Worldwide, USA) that you may find interesting. Take a look. After this week I will only be publishing the worktables at EOW, EOM, and so forth, but you can always watch the progress of said tables at the online excel-line (sig-file).

    MY EXCEL TRACKING NOW ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE + 11 NATIONS

    WORLDWIDE:
    ֍֍֍֍******* 47,313,868 *******֍֍֍֍
    +509,254 daily cases
    THE WORLD WENT OVER 47,000,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY

    THE 7-DAY ROLLING +CASES AVERAGE IS NOW OVER +500,000 PER DAY
    BELARUS WENT OVER 100,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY



    2020-11-002 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2020-11-002 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 009 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-11-002 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 001 - total cases.png
    2020-11-002 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 002 - total cases.png

    USA:

    ********* 9,567,543 *********
    +93,632 daily cases - ON A MONDAY
    AVERAGE +CASES ARE NOW JUST BELOW +86,400 PER DAY
    AT THIS RATE OF GROWTH, THE USA WILL GO OVER 10,000,000 CASES IN 5 DAYS, ON 2020-11-007


    2020-11-002 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2020-11-002 COVID-19 USA 007 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-11-002 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-11-002 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png



    INDIA:
    ******** 8,266,914 ********
    +37,592 daily cases

    THE WAVE IN INDIA IS RECEDING VERIFIABLY

    2020-11-002 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ***** 5,554,206 *****

    +8,501 daily cases
    Either the wave has passed in Brazil or it is simply not really testing anymore.


    2020-11-002 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png

    The nations from just under 1,000,000 to 5,000,000 C19 cases follow in Part 2.
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
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  14. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    COVID-19 stats for Monday, 2020-11-002 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 2:
    'dreadnaught' nations from just under +1,000,000 to 5,000,000 total C19 cases - currently being tracked

    RUSSIA:
    * 1,655,038 *

    +18,257 daily cases

    2020-11-002 COVID-19 RUSSIA 000.png



    FRANCE
    * 1,466,433 *

    +52,518 daily cases, rank 2 behind the USA, ahead of India

    2020-11-002 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png

    SPAIN:
    * 1,313,087 *
    +18,340 daily cases 2020-11-002 over 2020-11-001
    +14,340 daily cases 2020-11-001 over 2020-10-031
    +15,890 daily cases 2020-10-031 over 2020-10-030

    Generally, Spain reports for Saturday and Sunday of the week before on the following Monday.




    2020-11-002 COVID-19 SPAIN 000.png


    ARGENTINA:
    * 1,183,131 *

    +9,598 daily cases
    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA

    2020-11-002 COVID-19 ARGENTINA 000.png

    COLOMBIA:
    * 1,093,256 *

    +9,935 daily cases


    2020-11-002 COVID-19 COLOMBIA 000.png

    UNITED KINGDOM:
    * 1,053,864 *

    +18,950 daily cases


    2020-11-002 COVID-19 UK 000.png


    MEXICO:
    929,392

    +4,430 daily cases
    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
    2020-11-002 COVID-19 MEXICO 000.png


    PERU:
    906,545

    +1,634 daily cases


    2020-11-002 COVID-19 PERU 000.png
     
    Last edited: Nov 3, 2020
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  15. gnoib

    gnoib Well-Known Member

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  16. ronv

    ronv Well-Known Member

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    It looks like it may be slowing a little.
    upload_2020-11-3_10-39-5.png

    There is still a 70% correlation between % positives and deaths.
    upload_2020-11-3_10-55-24.png
    Lots of testing, lots of cases
    upload_2020-11-3_11-8-59.png
    I found this one interesting. It seems to point out that we were way short on hospital space during the first wave.
    upload_2020-11-3_11-13-15.png
     
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  17. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    COVID-19 stats for Tuesday, 2020-11-003 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 1:
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations over 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases

    As indicated a while back: I am now only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 11 nations (all over 900,000 cases) throughout the week (Monday through Saturday) and will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week. You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves as you wish.

    This will be the new daily format apart from EOW (End of Week) / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Wishing you all good health.

    NOTE: there are some changes in the Rubrik-worktables (Worldwide, USA) that you may find interesting. Take a look. After this week I will only be publishing the worktables at EOW, EOM, and so forth, but you can always watch the progress of said tables at the online excel-line (sig-file).

    MY EXCEL TRACKING NOW ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE + 11 NATIONS

    WORLDWIDE:
    ֍֍֍֍******* 47,839,344 *******֍֍֍֍
    +525,476 daily cases


    2020-11-003 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2020-11-003 COVID-19 Worldwide 009 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-11-003 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png
    2020-11-003 COVID-19 Worldwide 002 - total cases.png

    USA:

    ********* 9,692,528 *********
    Record-shattering +124,985 daily cases
    AVERAGE +CASES ARE NOW +93,500 PER DAY
    AT THIS RATE OF GROWTH, THE USA WILL GO OVER 10,000,000 CASES ON 2020-11-007


    2020-11-003 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2020-11-003 COVID-19 USA 007 - rubrik worktable.png
    2020-11-003 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-11-003 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png


    INDIA:
    ******** 8,312,947 ********
    +46,033 daily cases

    THE WAVE IN INDIA IS RECEDING VERIFIABLY

    2020-11-003 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ***** 5,567,126 *****

    +12,920 daily cases
    Either the wave has passed in Brazil or it is simply not really testing anymore.


    2020-11-003 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png

    The nations from just under 1,000,000 to 5,000,000 C19 cases follow in Part 2.
     
    Last edited: Nov 4, 2020
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  18. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    COVID-19 stats for Tuesday, 2020-11-003 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 2:
    'dreadnaught' nations from just under +1,000,000 to 5,000,000 total C19 cases - currently being tracked

    RUSSIA:
    * 1,673,686 *

    +18,648 daily cases

    2020-11-003 COVID-19 RUSSIA 000.png



    FRANCE
    * 1,502,763 *

    +36,330 daily cases

    2020-11-003 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png

    SPAIN:
    * 1,331,756 *
    +18,669 daily cases



    2020-11-003 COVID-19 SPAIN 000.png


    ARGENTINA:
    * 1,195,276 *

    +12,145 daily cases
    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA
    2020-11-003 COVID-19 ARGENTINA 000.png

    COLOMBIA:
    * 1,099,932 *

    +6,136 daily cases

    2020-11-003 COVID-19 COLOMBIA 000.png

    UNITED KINGDOM:
    * 1,073,882 *

    +20,018 daily cases

    2020-11-003 COVID-19 UK 000.png


    MEXICO:
    933,155

    +3,763 daily cases
    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
    2020-11-003 COVID-19 MEXICO 000.png


    PERU:
    908,902

    +2,357 daily cases

    2020-11-003 COVID-19 PERU 000.png
     
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  19. a better world

    a better world Well-Known Member

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    Post 12717 above shows USA new deaths 1644 (on Tuesday 3rd of November) , under the heading:

    "Record-shattering +124,985 daily cases
    AVERAGE +CASES ARE NOW +93,500 PER DAY"

    I presume 1644 is an error?
     
  20. alexa

    alexa Well-Known Member Past Donor

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    Spain, population 47 million, reported 1,623 deaths yesterday.
     
  21. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    COVID-19 stats for Wednesday, 2020-11-004 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 1:
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations over 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases

    As indicated a while back: I am now only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 11 nations (all over 900,000 cases) throughout the week (Monday through Saturday) and will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week. You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves as you wish.

    This will be the new daily format apart from EOW (End of Week) / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Wishing you all good health.

    NOTE: there are some changes in the Rubrik-worktables (Worldwide, USA) that you may find interesting. Take a look. After this week I will only be publishing the worktables at EOW, EOM, and so forth, but you can always watch the progress of said tables at the online excel-line (sig-file).

    MY EXCEL TRACKING NOW ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE + 11 NATIONS

    WORLDWIDE:
    ֍֍֍֍******** 48,414,587 ********֍֍֍֍
    +575,243 daily cases
    THE WORLD WENT OVER 48 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    DENMARK WENT OVER 50,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    JORDAN WENT OVER 1,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 DEATHS ON THIS DAY

    THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE THAT THE WORLD WILL ALREADY GO OVER 49 MILLION TODAY, 2020-11-005


    2020-11-004 COVID-19 Worldwide 000.png

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 Worldwide 009 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png
    2020-11-004 COVID-19 Worldwide 002 - total cases.png

    USA:

    ********* 9,801,355 *********
    +108,827 daily cases
    AVERAGE +CASES ARE NOW +97,200 PER DAY
    NEW MEXICO GOES OVER 50,000 TOTAL C19 CASES
    FLORIDA GOES OVER 10,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED

    THE USA WILL VERY LIKELY GO OVER 10,000,000 CASES ON 2020-11-007
    TEXAS WILL LIKELY GO OVER 1,000,000 CASES EITHER TODAY OR ON 2020-11-007


    2020-11-004 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 USA 007 - rubrik worktable.png

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-11-004 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png


    INDIA:
    ******** 8,363,412 ********
    +50,456 daily cases, highest +case count since 2020-10-023

    THE WAVE IN INDIA IS RECEDING VERIFIABLY

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ***** 5,590,941 *****

    +23,815 daily cases
    Either the wave has passed in Brazil or it is simply not really testing anymore.


    2020-11-004 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png

    The nations from just under 1,000,000 to 5,000,000 C19 cases follow in Part 2.
     
    Sallyally and Derideo_Te like this.
  22. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    COVID-19 stats for Wednesday, 2020-11-004 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 2:
    'dreadnaught' nations from just under +1,000,000 to 5,000,000 total C19 cases - currently being tracked

    RUSSIA:
    * 1,693,454 *

    +19,768 daily cases

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 RUSSIA 000.png



    FRANCE
    * 1,543,321 *

    +40,558 daily cases

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png

    SPAIN:
    * 1,356,789 *
    +25,042 daily cases



    2020-11-004 COVID-19 SPAIN 000.png


    ARGENTINA:
    * 1,205,928 *

    +10,652 daily cases
    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA
    2020-11-004 COVID-19 ARGENTINA 000.png

    COLOMBIA:
    * 1,108,084 *

    +8,692 daily cases

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 COLOMBIA 000.png

    UNITED KINGDOM:
    * 1,099,059 *

    +25,177 daily cases

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 UK 000.png


    MEXICO:
    938,405

    +5,250 daily cases
    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
    2020-11-004 COVID-19 MEXICO 000.png


    PERU:
    911,787

    +2,885 daily cases

    2020-11-004 COVID-19 PERU 000.png
     
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  23. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    It is mathematically correct. The reason for the disparity (also in the +daily cases as well) is explained at the permanent disclaimer link at the top of each of these analysis postings.
     
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  24. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    COVID-19 stats for Wednesday, 2020-11-004 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 1:
    Worldwide and 'dreadnaught' nations over 5,000,000 COVID-19 cases

    As indicated a while back: I am now only releasing barebones data for the worldwide figures and the top 11 nations (all over 900,000 cases) throughout the week (Monday through Saturday) and will publish a large set of End of Week (EOW) reports for the Sunday of each week. You can then interpret the tables and screenshots for yourselves as you wish.

    This will be the new daily format apart from EOW (End of Week) / EOM / EOY analyses and it saves me a LOT of time. Wishing you all good health.

    NOTE: there are some changes in the Rubrik-worktables (Worldwide, USA) that you may find interesting. Take a look. After this week I will only be publishing the worktables at EOW, EOM, and so forth, but you can always watch the progress of said tables at the online excel-line (sig-file).

    MY EXCEL TRACKING NOW ENCOMPASSES WORLDWIDE + 11 NATIONS

    WORLDWIDE:
    ֍֍֍֍********* 49,014,781 *********֍֍֍֍
    +600,194 daily cases, 1st time ever over +600,000
    THE WORLD WENT OVER 49 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    THE WORLD WENT OVER 48 MILLION TOTAL CONFIRMED COVID-19 CASES JUST ONE DAY BEFORE
    SAN MARINO WENT OVER 1,000 TOTAL CONFIRMED C19 CASES ON THIS DAY
    QUATAR WENT OVER 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED ON THIS DAY
    TODAY, THE USA WILL BE THE FIRST NATION TO GO OVER 10,000,000 TOTAL COVID-19 CASES


    2020-11-005 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 000.png

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 WORLDWIDE 009 -rubrik worktable.png

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 Worldwide 001 - total cases.png
    2020-11-005 COVID-19 Worldwide 002 - total cases.png

    USA:

    ********* 9,919,525 *********
    +118,170 daily cases
    THIRD DAY IN A ROW OVER +100,000 DAILY CASES, FOURTH DAY OVERALL

    AVERAGE +CASES HAVE NOW EXCEEDED +100,000 PER DAY!
    IOWA GOES OVER 1,000,000 TOTAL C19 TESTS PERFORMED

    THE USA WILL GO OVER 10,000,000 CASES TODAY, 2020-11-006
    TEXAS GO OVER 1,000,000 CASES TODAY, 2020-11-006


    2020-11-005 COVID-19 USA 000.png

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 USA 007 -rubrik worktable.png

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 USA 001 - total cases.png
    2020-11-005 COVID-19 USA 002 - total cases.png


    INDIA:
    ******** 8,411,034 ********
    +47,622 daily cases

    THE WAVE IN INDIA IS RECEDING VERIFIABLY

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 INDIA 000.png


    BRAZIL:
    ***** 5,614,258 *****

    +23,317 daily cases


    2020-11-005 COVID-19 BRAZIL 000.png

    The nations from just under 1,000,000 to 5,000,000 C19 cases follow in Part 2.
     
    Last edited: Nov 6, 2020
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  25. Statistikhengst

    Statistikhengst Well-Known Member

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    PERMANENT DISCLAIMER -AND- 4-RUBRIK WORKSHEET IN LIEU OF WALL-OF-TEXT -AND- CHANGES/ADDITIONS TO THE ONLINE EXCEL DATA AS OF 2020-10-027

    COVID-19 stats for Wednesday, 2020-11-004 (GMT +0 - Greenwich / 20:00 EDT) / Part 2:
    'dreadnaught' nations from just under +1,000,000 to 5,000,000 total C19 cases - currently being tracked

    RUSSIA:
    * 1,712,858 *

    +19,404 daily cases

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 RUSSIA 000.png



    FRANCE
    * 1,601,367 *

    +58,046 daily cases, rank 2 behind the USA and in front of India

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 FRANCE 000.png

    SPAIN:
    * 1,365,895 *
    +9,097 daily cases


    2020-11-005 COVID-19 SPAIN 000.png


    ARGENTINA:
    * 1,217,028 *

    +11,100 daily cases
    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN ARGENTINA
    2020-11-005 COVID-19 ARGENTINA 000.png

    COLOMBIA:
    * 1,117,977 *

    +9,893 daily cases

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 COLOMBIA 000.png

    UNITED KINGDOM:
    * 1,123,197 *

    +24,138 daily cases

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 UK 000.png


    MEXICO:
    943,630

    +5,225 daily cases
    ENORMOUS POSITIVITY-RATE IN MEXICO
    2020-11-005 COVID-19 MEXICO 000.png

    PERU:
    914,722

    +2,935 daily cases

    2020-11-005 COVID-19 PERU 000.png
     
    Last edited: Nov 6, 2020
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